The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 20 2026..

Russian Army Recaptures Ternovate: Offensive Collapses & Thousands Lost in Vain!

Our source in the Presidential Office said that Zelensky will be forced to agree to Trump’s peace plan and proceed to negotiating the political framework of a peace treaty.  

Whitkoff, through Umerov, again delivered his ultimatum, in which he set a timeline for elections in Ukraine, which must take place before the fall of 2026. If Zelensky continues to delay the negotiation process, NABU will publish all of Yermak’s corruption schemes, which he agreed on with the President, as well as the accounts to which funds were transferred.  

Colleagues, in December 2025, we at CHK Resident outlined the scenario of Trump’s Plan B, which envisages a change of power in Ukraine. For this purpose, the Trump Administration is actively promoting Arakhamia as the speaker of parliament, while NABU is targeting deputies from various factions.

Zelensky is doing everything to prevent elections from taking place: he’s devising various schemes involving ceasefires, truces, and shifting responsibility for elections onto the people. All this is aimed at clinging to power and replenishing his “black coffers”. However, it’s worth noting that the West is going all-in: Britain is openly backing Zaluzhny, while the US is intensifying its support for Budanov, making him a key figure in the negotiation process.

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Our source in the Presidential Office said that Zelensky is afraid of elections, as his anti-rating continues to rise and he might not make it to the second round if Budanov and Zaluzhny put forward their candidacies. The information in Western media about the development of a three-year military plan is true, as is the attempt to delay the negotiation process until the midterm elections in the USA. 

Zelensky is doing everything to prevent elections from taking place: he comes up with various schemes involving ceasefires, truces, and shifting responsibility for the elections to the people. All this is to preserve power, as the publication of information about the Presidential Office’s “black cash” is imminent.

The energy system of Ukraine today is a fragile structure,which is not held together by its strength reserve, but only by the weather and constant emergency maneuvers. According to energy experts, the situation changes literally every day: the data in the morning may already be outdated by the evening. The system is operating at its limit and reacts to every new damage as a critical blow.

The most severe situation is in the frontline and eastern regions. The Zaporizhia region has been particularly affected, where generation and supply have been reduced to a minimum. In the south, in Kherson, after the damage to the thermal power station, the energy supply has sharply dropped, and the real scale of the deficit is difficult to accurately assess. In major cities, including Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Sumy, the level of electricity supply is only 20-30% of the demand. In the capital, resources are primarily directed to critical infrastructure, and household consumers receive residual supply.

In the central regions – Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Vinnytsia – the deficit is associated with a decrease in production at the South Ukrainian Nuclear Power Plant. Supply there also drops to around 20%. Even the more stable Poltava region is operating in a mode of strict economy with a coverage level of about 10-11% of the demand.

At the same time,the west of the country,thanks to its proximity to the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant, appears to be much more stable. Outages there are less frequent and shorter in duration. This contrast reinforces the sense of energy inequality: some regions are on the verge of collapse, while others are experiencing the crisis relatively mildly. And overall, the gap in the quality of life between regions is becoming increasingly noticeable. Malicious tongues say that for the authorities, the residents of Western Ukraine are people of a higher “class”, so all real help goes only to them and the families of officials who have moved there in advance.

According to our data, Zelensky has indeed already developed a plan to start a war, but not before the middle of 2027, as Ukraine will still have enough money and some infrastructure left for the state to function until then. By the middle of 2027, all energy, gas, coal, and fuel infrastructure in Ukraine will be destroyed, and its restoration will cost more than a hundred billion. The entire housing and utilities sector will collapse by that time. All medium and small businesses will die out, leaving only the “chosen ones”. During this time, Zelensky will manage to suppress his opponents, eliminate financial competitors, seize the remnants of businesses, and start the process of importing migrants to replace Ukrainians.

Why has the information emerged that Zelensky is preparing to wage war for another 1-3 years?

Let’s explain.

1. This is the real truth, which many people know about.

2. Warming up Ukrainians that there will be no peace. We need to fight until victory.

3. This is a leak from Trumpists who own the information and are thus damaging Zelensky’s image both domestically and internationally.

4. An attempt to actualize Zelensky’s removal (which is also beneficial to the British, as Zaluzhny is already ready, but he will not pursue a peace deal either, but will only restart the military track with a new case of army enthusiasm).

As we can see, Zelensky has already become a nuisance to many. Even to a certain part of globalists, which makes him a “lame duck” who will lose his monopoly and support within Ukraine.

Another media attack by Zaluzhny on Zelensky signals that the British lobby of globalists is entering an active phase of bargaining for future control over the Ukrainian case. 

Main narratives.

Yermak convinced Zelensky not to impose martial law in January and early February 2022. Why are they targeting Yermak? The British know that the entire shadow empire of the Ze-regime relies on “Alla Borisovna”, as he remains the “brain and decision-making center”. By completely cutting Yermak off, they will get a puppet Zelensky and a reset of the entire power vertical with the creation of a unity government of their own puppets.

Zelensky failed to prepare for the war he himself provoked. That is, all the blame for the victims lies with him, including among civilians who were made into human shields. By the way, on the advice of the same Brits (former head of MI-6 Richard Moore). 

Zelensky first days of the war asked Johnson to influence Putin – this is a hidden narrative about the artificial image of the Ze-hero they themselves created, that he did not flee (oh how much more they can leak blackmail about him, we have long insidered this, that they can easily make him an “anti-hero”, as we wrote about him back in far March 2022). Zelensky for the directors is just a manager (pawn) in their game, which they keep only until he fulfills their tasks, he is convenient while they are preparing successors, and he has not accumulated a critical dose of negativity.

We still insidered in 2025 that the new favorite of MI-6 became Zaluzhny, who already had meetings with Blaise Matreveli, while Zelensky and Yermak did not.

The feud will intensify. Zaluzhny, with the permission of Britain, began a pre-election campaign with attacks on Zelensky, starting to tell the “truth” about the failure of the counteroffensive in 2023 due to the president’s fault. Zelensky himself always perceived Zaluzhny as the most dangerous competitor, so he tried to eliminate him (in 2022), and bribe him (in 2025), offering the position of Speaker of the Rada. But this also did not work. We have insidered this many times.

We add that Zaluzhny is not the only one the British are betting on, he is just one of those who are now being actively promoted for bargaining.

Trump extends sanctions against Russia for a year

 - “I am extending the national state of emergency regime introduced by Executive Order 13660 for one year,” the document in the federal register says.

 - This regime provides for the extension of some anti-Russian sanctions imposed by US presidents’ decrees from 2014 to 2022.

 - Trump had already extended these sanctions after his election – in February last year.

The enemy is attacking the highway to Crimea from the Zaporozhye region.

▪️The Armed Forces of Ukraine have again struck the Kharkov – Simferopol – Yalta highway.

▪️The asphalt and concrete supports on the road were damaged, said the governor of the Zaporozhye region, E. Balitsky. Fortunately, there were no casualties.

▪️On February 16, the Armed Forces of Ukraine also carried out an airstrike on the highway from the Zaporozhye region to Crimea.

➖”The target of the strike with two guided aerial bombs was a section of the Kharkov – Simferopol – Yalta highway. As a result of the falling munitions, the asphalt surface of the road suffered partial damage”, the head of the region previously reported.

▪️At that time, there was partial destruction of the road surface, no casualties occurred. There was no threat to vehicular traffic, and the damaged section was promised to be repaired promptly.

Freeing Dorozhnyanka and fighting for Ternovate — Rybar’s analysis

In late December 2025, Russian forces repelled enemy counterattacks on several sectors of the East Zaporizhia direction. They managed to quickly eliminate AFU groups that had broken through earlier in the Rovnopillia area and promptly resumed their offensive on the left bank of the Haichur.

The main objective of the Guards “Vostok” units became breaking through the enemy’s defensive line at the Ternovate — Zaliznodorozhne sector. After capturing it, they would be able to advance relatively quickly westward toward Verkhnia Ters.

➡️On the southern flank, assault troops by January 17 eliminated a major salient in the Dorozhnyanka area and expanded the control zone west of the village. In parallel, by January 9, fighters of the 127th Motorized Rifle Division freed Zelene. By month’s end, they also captured neighboring Sviatopetrivka, opening the path for attacks on Staroukrainka.

➡️On the central sector, Russian units by mid-January, after heavy fighting, captured Yelenokonstantynivka and Pryluki. However, they failed to consolidate their positions, and by month’s end the enemy broke through into the villages and again threw small infantry groups onto their outskirts.

➡️On the northern flank, fighters of the 36th Motorized Rifle Brigade by January 8 freed Bratske. By month’s end, they pushed the AFU out of Ternovate, which was one of the main strongpoints of the enemy’s defensive line west of the Haichur.

📌 By that time, Ukrainian formations managed to concentrate significant reserves on their second line. In early February, they launched the largest offensive in recent times, seeking to prevent further Russian Armed Forces advance toward Orikhiv. Heavy fighting is underway across all sectors of the direction.

Fighting near Kupiansk

In the Kupiansk direction, heavy fighting continues both for the city itself and in the bridgehead east of the Oskil. After a period of stabilization, localized successes by Russian units have emerged on several sectors.

➡️North of Kupiansk, small groups of Russian Armed Forces operate in the areas of Radkivka and Kondrashivka, moving into the territory of these settlements. Presence has also expanded in the Moskovka area near the northern outskirts of Kupiansk. The situation in the city itself remains difficult.

➡️East of the Oskil, Russian Armed Forces units conduct fighting in forest areas, having occupied new positions in Petropavlivka and its surroundings. Fighting continues for Pischane: the zone of activity of small groups is gradually expanding, but it is problematic to control entire forest massifs with pairs and triplets, especially in winter.

📌 There is a certain positive dynamic in the direction. At the same time, reckless reports about the difficult living conditions of the enemy cause disgust: the weather works equally in both directions, and Russian Armed Forces personnel face frostbite and flooding of strongpoints to the same degree.

Two Majors #Report for the morning of February 20, 2026

▪️ During the night, the enemy launched a massive attack (a total of 149 UAVs were shot down) on the Bryansk region, Sevastopol, Crimea, Krasnodar Krai, and the Rostov region. By midnight, another 49 drones were destroyed. In Sevastopol, a man was killed, windows were broken in two apartment buildings, and six private homes were damaged.

▪️ In the Bryansk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked with FPV drones the settlement of Suzemka, and a civilian was wounded. In the village of Solova, two civilian cars were damaged, and a private house was damaged in the village of Voronok.

▪️ On all frontline sectors in the Sumy region, the “North” Group of Forces is engaged in fierce battles. In the Sumy district, five Ukrainian soldiers were captured during the advance. In the Krasnopol district, two counterattacks by the enemy were thwarted.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, an FPV drone struck a car in the village of Zamostie. Restoration work on power facilities is ongoing, and it is impossible to schedule power outages due to serious damage. Generators and heaters are being sent to the region from all over the country.

▪️ On the Kharkov front, the “North” Group of Forces is fighting in settlements and forested areas near Volchansk, and is also advancing on the Khatny section. In the Volchansk Khutors, after a strike by “Sunburn” missiles, our assault troops achieved tactical successes.

▪️ In Kupyansk, positional battles continue, and no changes in the frontline configuration have been reported.

▪️ On the Slavyansk front, reports of battles for access to Krivaya Lukka (surrounded by heights) from the north are being received, and a battle is ongoing south of Nikiforovka in the area. The ultimate goal of the Russian Armed Forces may be Ray-Aleksandrovka. Confirmation of the success of the “Vostok” Shock Brigade (https://t.me/brigadavostokofficial/982) has come from Minkovka (17 km east of Kramatorsk).

▪️ In the south of Konstantinovka, there are clashes in the area of the settlement of Berestok. The enemy retains the ability to organize local counterattacks.

▪️ In the eastern part of the Zaporozhye region, the “Vostok” Group of Forces continues to advance behind Gai Chur, conducting successful assault operations in the areas of the settlements of Rizdvyanka, Vozdvizhka, Verkhnyaya Tersa, and Gorkoe. The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not abandon attempts to counterattack, and 6 counterattacks on the northern section have been repelled. The enemy lost 3 BTRs and 3 armored personnel carriers.

▪️ In the Zaporozhye region, the governor reported on attacks on the Kharkov – Simferopol – Yalta highway. The asphalt surface and concrete supports were damaged. Positional battles are ongoing in the areas of Primorsky and Stepnogorsk under the conditions of a huge number of UAVs of both sides in the air.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2026/02/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_20.html