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Near term volatility ahead, but don't fret

Friday, October 11, 2024 21:26

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Is the U.S. progress on inflation a case of two steps forward, one step back? Even before the stronger-than-expected September CPI report, bond prices were declining in the wake of the Fed’s jumbo half-point rate cut decision.

The Treasury market is exhibiting signs of anxiety from a technical analyst’s perspective. The 7–10-year Treasury ETF (IEF) has declined to test a key rising trend line. The long Treasury bond ETF (TLT) has already violated its trend line.

While the technical violations may only be temporary false breakdowns, these technical signals compel me to explore their asset return implications.

The full post can be found here.

Source: http://humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2024/10/near-term-volatility-ahead-but-dont-fret.html

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