ES Morning Update October 11th 2024
A big dud yesterday as the CPI did nothing to move the market down. But all the technicals still suggest a pullback is coming prior to the last big rally up to 6000+ into the end of this month early November. When will it happen is the tough question as I thought it would happen last week but it’s just dragging out longer then I expected. As far as the wave count, here’s an updated chart…
Basically, we are still in Medium Wave 3 up instead of it ending at the prior 5830 high. The choppy sideways action that last week or so could not have been Medium Wave 4 down as it was too small in points, so it was likely just Small Wave 4 down with the 5830 top just being the high for Small Wave 3 up. It means we are in Small Wave 5 up now, which will just complete Medium Wave 3 up. Once finished we’ll see Medium Wave 4 play out, which still should be an ABC as it’s a larger degree wave and should have smaller waves inside it.
On the short term I think we are inside Tiny Wave 3 up from the 5725 low on 10/7, which was the end of Tiny Wave 2 with Tiny Wave 1 up ending at the 5808 high on 10/6. That means Small Wave 4 down, inside Medium Wave 3 up, ended at the 10/2 low of 5724. If this count is correct we have another higher high coming today or Monday to complete to end Tiny Wave 5, like 5860-5880, which will end Small Wave 5 and Medium Wave 3. Then we should see Medium Wave 4 down happen into the end of next week most likely. After that it’s straight up in Medium Wave 5 to 6000+ into the election.
Have a great weekend.
Source: http://reddragonleo.com/2024/10/11/es-morning-update-october-11th-2024/
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