Jets vs. Dolphins: Can New York Cover the Spread on the Road?


The winless Jets roll into Miami as 3-point underdogs and both squads are desperate to flip 0-3 into momentum.
The NFL best bets are waiting. Let’s dive in.
Jets on the Road: Surprisingly Solid
The Jets might be 0-3 straight up, but don’t sleep on them at the window, they’re 2-1 ATS, including a perfect 1-0 on the road. Tyrod Taylor nearly stole a win vs. Tampa, tossing 197 yards and 2 TDs, proving this offense has juice.
New York is putting up 23 points per game (17th in the league), powered by a top-10 rushing attack and Garrett Wilson, who’s already at 229 yards and 2 scores.
Ugly record aside, the Jets have been sneaky good for bettors.
But Before We Continue…
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Dolphins: Home Field, But No Firepower
Miami’s offense has been streaky, but what about their defense? Let’s just say it’s been handing out points like candy. The Dolphins sit dead last in points allowed (32.3 per game) and are 0-2 in divisional play, dropping games to both the Patriots and Bills.
Tua Tagovailoa has historically owned the Jets, but this year’s roster could give him trouble. With Miami’s defense ranking dead last in DVOA and PFF grades, the Dolphins are a risky favorite, even at home.
Betting Trends to Watch
Looking for key angles to cash in on Monday Night Football? Check these trends:
- Jets are 6-13 ATS in September.
- Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games, but 0-10 ATS in Week 4 matchups.
- The Over has hit in 8 of the Jets’ last 10 games and 7 straight Dolphins home games.
BetAnything’s Pick: Jets +3.
To Wrap it Up
This matchup is a true coin flip and in those games, you always chase the value.
The Jets have flashed enough defensive firepower to keep it close, while Miami’s locker room drama adds extra risk.
With the spread tightening and momentum tilting toward New York, this is one of Week 4’s top NFL best bets.
No matter if you’re backing the Jets or fading the Dolphins, this game is a prime chance to play smart and profit big.
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Source: https://www.jetnation.com/2025/09/28/jets-vs-dolphins-can-new-york-cover-the-spread-on-the-road/
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