Jets vs. Dolphins Betting Preview | Week 4 2025

(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change)

New York Jets Spread vs. Dolphins: +3.0 (-115) via Fanatics Sportsbook

The spread seems like a strong play this week, at either +3.0 or +3.5. New York’s moneyline (+130 at DraftKings and FanDuel) is also a viable option on Monday night. The Jets should be fighting for a win in Week 4.

Miami’s defense has allowed the most points this season, having coughed up more than 30 points in all three games. That includes a home loss against a weak Patriots offense. The Fins have clear defensive issues, and those issues begin in the trenches.

The Dolphins are 28th in rushing yards allowed and 22nd in yards allowed per carry. A Jets offense that enters the week ninth in rushing yards and 13th in yards per attempt should rumble through them. If Justin Fields plays, the rushing threat is only magnified. Miami’s secondary ranks 30th in yards allowed per pass attempt, so there will also be opportunities for the Jets through the air.

Although the Dolphins have been efficient on the ground offensively, they have the fewest rush attempts in the NFL. The Jets should have enough to win the early downs against the run. When Miami drops back to pass, it’ll expose weak pass protection and a QB with questionable decision-making skills, especially when under pressure.

The Verdict

The Jets have only faced playoff teams from last season and walked away from those three games kicking themselves that they don’t have two wins. They covered in two of those games. This week, they face a much weaker foe and one that they beat the spread against in each of last season’s matchups.

Meanwhile, Miami is floundering. They have two losses by double-digits, sandwiching a home game where they lost as favorites to a division rival.

This is a gettable game for the Jets, and taking them ATS or straight up is a worthwhile wager.

Jets vs. Dolphins Total Pick: Over 44.5 (-112) via FanDuel Sportsbook

Six of the last seven Jets vs. Dolphins games featured the winning team finishing with at least 30 points, including the four most recent matchups. Accordingly, five of those seven battles went over the total. Looking at this year’s squads, the over is 2-1-0 for both of them after three weeks.

The Dolphins rightfully caught flak for surrendering 97 points through three weeks, the most in the league. However, the Jets have allowed 93 points (t-28th), so they aren’t far behind. New York may be better at preventing yards, but the end result is both defenses coughing up more than 30 points per game.

It’s supposed to be a hot, sunny night in Miami. Neither team has proven they can get stops consistently. Trust the over in this one.

New York Jets Prop Bet of the Week: Any Team to Score 30+ Points (+125) via DraftKings Sportsbook

Rough defense has been alluded to a few times throughout this week’s article, but here’s a quick summary:

The Jets allow 31.0 points per game entering Week 4, and that includes coughing up 34 points to an otherwise struggling Steelers offense. The Dolphins are last in the NFL, allowing 32.3 points per game, and all three of their opponents exceeded 30 points scored.

In head-to-head matchups, the Dolphins have finished with at least seven points in four of their past seven dates with the Jets. That includes three of the four meetings in Miami. Meanwhile, the Jets dropped at least 30 in two of the three tilts that the Dolphins didn’t in that stretch, highlighted by 32 points the last time these teams crossed paths.

With some of the shortest odds on the Week 4 slate for this prop, lean on one of these teams to cross the 30-point threshold. A nice alternative is Jets over 20.5 points scored, which is the line at most books entering the weekend.