Best Player Prop Bets for Ravens at Tampa Bay

Monday Night Football in Tampa Bay should be a good one. The Ravens (4-2) come into Week 7 riding a 4-game winning streak and playing their best ball as they sit atop the AFC North. The Buccaneers (4-2), who lead the NFC South, are coming off a 51-27 victory over the New Orleans Saints. It’s been seven straight winning weeks for us in the player prop department as we were able to go 3-2 last week in our picks for Commanders @ Ravens (and a clang off Mark Andrews’ hands from 4-1), bringing the overall record to 23-7. This week presents another prime opportunity as two of the NFL’s premier offenses are set to square off. The Buccaneers rank 3^rd in the NFL with 28.8 PPG with the Ravens sitting right behind them in 4^th with 28.3. Both defenses have had their fair share of struggles as well, giving us even more of a reason to anticipate an offensive showdown on Monday Night.

Here are five player props to consider heading into the Week 7 matchup. Let’s stay hot!

Derrick Henry Over 79.5 Rushing Yards (-135 ESPN Bet)

The Ravens offense has been able to dictate the tempo of each matchup vs opposing defenses. The main factor in that is Derrick Henry in the backfield. Regardless of the look the defense shows, handing the ball off to #22 is a good idea. Per NFL Pro, The Ravens generate +15.4 rushing EPA on designed runs against a stacked box which is the most through six weeks in the next gen stats era. We can anticipate the Buccaneers will come with plenty of heavy fronts and stack the box to neutralize The King, but that won’t discourage OC Todd Monken from giving him a heavy workload. This prop has stayed at 79.5 yards for the last four weeks, and he’s covered every time, rushing for 151, 199, 92, and 132 yards in those games; it hasn’t been close. The fact that we still sit at 79.5 is mind boggling and this is a classic case of not overthinking it and riding the trends. This feels like a comfortable spot.

Lamar Jackson Over 224.5 Passing Yards (-125 ESPN Bet)

At this point I’m just here to tell you the obvious. Put money on Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson, you will be in good shape. On their respective passing and rushing yards props this season, Henry and Jackson have covered a combined 10 out of 12 times. They are the engine of the most efficient offense in football. Lamar’s prop comes in at 224.5 yards a week after he threw for 323 against the Commanders, and Spencer Rattler threw for 243 yards against this Buccaneers defense in his NFL debut (which is even more shocking now if you saw Rattlers performance Thursday Night against vs the Broncos). The play action passing game in particular has resulted in great success over the last few weeks and has shown no signs of slowing down, so Lamar shouldn’t have an issue reaching this mark on Monday night.

Zay Flowers Over 5.5 Receptions (+110 ESPN Bet)

Flowers is the clear-cut Wide Receiver 1 in this offense, and the Ravens make it a point of emphasis to get him the ball. Over the last two games, Zay has racked up 16 receptions on 21 targets. The rationale remains the same as last week. Due to the Ravens being able to run the ball seemingly at will, defenses are forced to leave one-on-one matchups on the outside. Flowers has feasted on those opportunities and has become more and more comfortable as the season has rolled along. Whether its crossing routes on play action passes, wide receiver screens, or short push pass end arounds, the Ravens are looking to get Zay the ball and he has given them every reason to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. The Lamar Jackson Zay Flowers tandem is as connected as it’s ever been, and my money is on them picking up where they have left off the last few weeks.

Rashod Bateman Over 2.5 Receptions (-140 ESPN Bet)

If we’re banking on Lamar to have another productive day through the air, we might as well parlay it with his weapons. Rashod Bateman is one of the more underrated receivers in the league. His trademark ability is his outstanding route running. Per PFF, Bateman ranks 2^nd in the NFL in creating separation, doing so on 75% of his routes. That is an elite clip, and Lamar has started to look his way more often. 3 receptions feels like a mark Bateman should hit as he has done so in four of the Ravens’ six games so far, including the last two. The Buccaneers offense is sure to keep the pressure on the Ravens to put up points, and if they respond the way they have all season, Bateman will surely be involved.

Rashod Bateman Over 34.5 Receiving yards (-125 ESPN Bet)

Bateman averages 16.1 yards per reception this season and has done much of his damage on downfield shots. Tampa Bay is a defense that is vulnerable to chunk passing plays, ranking 29^th in the NFL in passing defense averaging 252.3 passing yards allowed per game. These Bateman props just seem too low for me considering his involvement in the offense. They will only go up as the season progresses, so I suggest taking advantage of the young first round wide receiver’s prop while it sits in the mid-30’s. A healthy Bate is a playmaker and someone the defense needs to keep an eye on. If they don’t, Lamar will find him down the field for a big chunk gain.

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