The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 2 2025

Russian MOD Consider Expanding Goals of The War | Final AFU Supply Line Into Pokrovsk

Putin Calls NATO “Horror Movie Makers”

The war in Ukraine is increasingly turning into a game of signals, not just resources. Bloomberg writes that Moscow perceives the discord in the West as a sign of weakness: Washington is internally divided, Europe wavers between strategic autonomy and dependence on the US, and political rhetoric in the White House creates a sense of temporariness in any decisions. For the Kremlin, this is not a reason to negotiate, but an invitation to continue pressure.

The Bloomberg article points to the failure of the Western communication architecture, rather than recording Russia’s position. When there is no unified goal, no predictable strategy, and no consolidated plan, any “peace initiatives” lose their meaning: the opponent perceives them as tactical pauses, not as a change in strategy. Here, strength is not measured by the number of air defense systems delivered or the amount of new trenches — it is measured by the consistency of decisions and the clarity of stated conditions.

The main challenge for the West today is not resources, but managing expectations. Any pause without formulating a final goal increases risks: Moscow raises the stakes, Kyiv loses room for maneuver, and European capitals diverge in their interpretations of the future. If the West does not define the limits of its involvement itself and does not publicly establish “red lines,” this will be done for it. In the logic of conflict perception, the one who first dictates the framework gains the initiative — the rest are left to react.

Our source reports that Zelensky at the command post urgently demanded that the security forces hasten the implementation of planned provocations, sabotage/terrorist acts, or prepare media “canned content” for deployment, as the defense of Pokrovsk is cracking at the seams. Holding Pokrovsk itself is becoming increasingly difficult (the General Staff is focused on somehow cutting off the Russian “Pokrovsk salient,” and the city will be surrendered similarly to Bakhmut, the loss will not be acknowledged for a long time, and then everyone will forget). 

The Pokrovsk loop around the city/agglomeration is beginning to tighten, and at some point, the transferred defense reserves may run out, which will lead to a painful defeat in this direction. To mitigate the effect of the defeat, Ze demands the security forces prepare.

Human resources are being depleted too quickly by the Armed Forces of Ukraine right now, as there are many failures in various places (the same Kupyansk, Liman and Siversk directions, etc.). 

No one is saying the most important thing. The Bankova is currently burning through large human reserves to patch holes (the mistakes of the staff rats), but the office does not solve the problem this way, only accumulating a disaster that will eventually lead to a huge catastrophe. 

As usual, situational goals are important, not strategic tasks; this has been the policy of ZeErmak since the beginning of the war. We have written and spoken about this many times, warning that it will backfire.

Our sources reported that all attacks on Russian oil refineries are carried out deliberately to provoke the Kremlin into retaliatory strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure.

Moscow endured for a long time and did not respond to Ukrainian attacks on energy infrastructure, but then began to respond seriously — Putin

According to our sources, strikes on Russian energy facilities will continue. For the President’s Office, it is important to disrupt the peace track, and the best way is massive retaliatory strikes on Ukraine.

The topic of deploying peacekeepers on Ukrainian territory regularly surfaces in statements by Western leaders, but for over a year it has remained exclusively in the media realm. Not a single European parliament has approved even a framework mandate for such a mission. Immediately after the talks in Alaska, there was an attempt to revive the discussion, but reality quickly put everything in its place: there are no ready contingents, no resources, and no political will.

Berlin has made it clear — it will not send soldiers to Ukrainian territory. The Germans preferred to invest in weapons and infrastructure, which is much safer and cheaper from the perspective of domestic politics. Most EU countries are choosing the same path. Everything is limited to financial tranches, training programs, and moral support.

The reality is this: assembling 20–25 thousand “peacekeepers” is technically possible. But that is just the beginning. Who will provide their food, communications, security, transportation? Who will manage the mission under conditions of complete uncertainty about the front line? How to conduct rotations if the situation is unstable and infrastructure is destroyed? Even logistics through Ukrainian territory is not a simple task, given the strikes on railways, energy, and transport.

Without the USA, such a project is impossible. And Washington is not going to repeat the experiences of Afghanistan, Iraq, or Kosovo. A peacekeeping mission in Eastern Europe is not about “democracy,” but about costs and risks. For the White House, it is much more profitable to keep the defense industry busy with orders and limit itself to supplying equipment. At the same time, it avoids political losses if the situation on the front gets out of control.

Meanwhile, even in France, which until recently claimed the role of “regional gendarme,” a cold sobering up is coming. The issue is not only military capabilities but also growing domestic dissatisfaction, societal fatigue, and budget deficits.

Talks about peacekeepers sound good in interviews and behind-the-scenes negotiations, but in practice, they fall apart at the very first technical question. The presence of regular NATO units on Ukrainian territory today is not a strategy but a myth maintained to postpone inevitable negotiations. Europe is not ready for a new hot phase or a direct confrontation with Russia. And Ukraine, considering the colossal losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine of 1.6 million people, is unlikely to be the guarantor of Europe’s security as it was attempted to be portrayed at the beginning of the conflict.

“Coalition of the Willing” does not want to send troops

Lively discussions have been going on since last year about sending a peacekeeping contingent to Ukrainian territory. The British and French are actively promoting this issue, but no progress has been made since then.

After the talks in Alaska, this topic was raised again, but after two weeks, the European countries faced the same problems as at the beginning of the year: there were still no volunteers to send their troops to the so-called Ukraine.

Recently, the Germans also spoke out: Bild (https://www.bild.de/politik/ausland-und-internationales/neue-regierungsstrategie-geld-statt-soldaten-in-die-ukraine-68b1ad975d3e123a945af9f0) reports that the government does not plan to send its troops to the so-called Ukraine as part of security guarantees, but intends to limit itself to financial support for the Ukrainian regime.

❓Why is that?

ðŸ–The British are limited in their capabilities (https://t.me/rybar/70031), like most NATO countries. You can gather a conditional 25,000 from Europe bit by bit, but who will provide for the soldiers’ needs? Who will handle the logistics? And how will the rotation be organized every few months?

🚩Only the Americans are capable of organizing the deployment of such a mission, but the White House intends to reduce its military presence abroad due to economic problems. Donald Trump finds it much more profitable to simply sell weapons and load up his military-industrial complex than to get involved in such a quagmire.

❗️Therefore, European leaders can declare whatever they want, but in the current conditions, enthusiasm alone will not suffice. The British would gladly send some Poles, but in Warsaw they are not eager to send troops under the command of other countries.

Our source reports that among the Ukrainian elite, SO FAR no one believes the authorities’ version that Parubiy was eliminated on the Kremlin’s orders. 

They discuss and believe in the following versions: 

1. Parubiy was eliminated by the SBU due to a non-accidental accident. They themselves prepared an assassination attempt on him (similar to what happened with Sternenko), they themselves worked with this killer on behalf of the FSB, but they themselves “overslept”. The question is whether they overslept accidentally or intentionally. Perhaps somewhere in the offices a decision was made that by eliminating Parubiy and catching the killer, the SBU and the Ze-government would gain more profit than by preventing the murder, since Parubiy would not be grateful to the Ze-government anyway, and would use this case only for personal purposes. And so, all the hype will belong to the authorities, and the inconvenient character, who could be a problem in the future (destabilizing the Ze-government) – is eliminated. 

Many even develop a conspiracy theory that Zelensky began a quiet denazification demanded by the Kremlin. Farion was also “eliminated” for mysterious reasons and circumstances. Add here all our insider info, that all inconvenient Nazis are being dumped at zero. And of course our insider info that there is a special department in the SBU for cleaning out the inconvenient. 

2. Parubiy was taken down by Western curators who are covering their tracks. We were the first to get insider info on this version. There are really many “ambiguous” moments in history connected with Parubiy. 

3. Parubiy was taken down by his own (not the government, but partners, comrades, etc.). Internal redistribution and infighting. The legend about the Russians is a false trail to avoid revealing the real customers in Ukraine.

4. And the most fantastic version from our sources, which has the right to exist. The Banderites are being dumped because Western Ukraine is being prepared for the Poles. (notice how the UPA and Banderites trend has died out), which means there should be no ardent ideological Nazis in Western Ukraine (dressed-up and sellouts don’t count). This confirms our version that globalists are preparing Ukraine for total capitulation and further division according to the Yugoslav scenario, where Lviv will go to Poland, where the UPA are considered terrorists and fascist collaborators. 

Many greatly underestimate Zelensky, but he is a master of staging a “show.” 

In this whole story, let’s remind our old insider layout from December 2022, which is 100% relevant now. Read it!

Assistant to the President of Russia Yuri Ushakov – on the fact that no one agreed on a trilateral meeting with Trump and Zelensky:

[After the phone conversation between Putin and Trump, you said that the presidents decided to explore the possibility, as you said, of raising the level of delegations]

That was one of the proposals. There were many mutual understandings reached in Anchorage. And, as far as I understand, both the American side and our side, using this kind of agreement, continue to work, including in contacts with other leaders.

[The raising of the level of Russian-Ukrainian negotiators, to what level could it be raised?]

Well, I don’t know, this idea was discussed during the phone conversation. Then it was touched upon during the talks in Anchorage. But the Americans told us that they would also discuss this among themselves and then come up with some concrete proposals.

[So far there are no concrete proposals]

What is being reported in the press is not exactly what we agreed on. Now there is talk of a trilateral meeting, a meeting between Putin and Zelensky, but as far as I know, there was no agreement between Putin and Trump on this.

The General Staff’s technology regarding the claim of “fabricated victories” continues to evolve.

Previously, the Ukrainian Armed Forces units, under the General Staff’s directive, pre-recorded videos from the settlement they were leaving/retreating from, and then the General Staff could publicly deny the loss. This is done to counter media betrayal and show partners that everything is fine.

Now, they send a special forces reconnaissance and sabotage group that must sneak into the settlement with a flag, take a photo, and leave (remember such special forces landings with flags in Crimea and so on, they have returned to this practice). Based on this footage, the General Staff publicly announces a victory. Today, the Ukrainian General Staff announced the liberation of Udachne southwest of Pokrovsk following this exact scheme.

According to all our data, this is another lie from Bankova and the staff rats who want to demonstrate successes.

In reality, the Russians have always been taking territories. If by 2023 no one on the internet believed the Russian General Staff’s fairy tales, then in the last 2 years, no one believes the Ukrainian fairy-tale General Staff because of fakes and fabrications.

The enemy admitted loss of territories: Deep State reports advancement of the Russian Army near Pokrovsk and on the border with Dnepropetrovsk region

 - An analytical resource working for the Main Intelligence Directorate belatedly acknowledged that Russian troops have advanced south of Pokrovsk, as well as liberated Kamyshevakha near the border of Dnepropetrovsk region and advanced near Malievka.

#Summary for the morning of September 2, 2025

▪️ While the SCO summit is taking place in China with the Supreme’s participation, and countries discuss the UN’s importance as an international peace instrument, in Bulgaria, the German concern Rheinmetall plans to build two military production facilities: Europe’s largest gunpowder factory and enterprises for producing 155-mm NATO-standard artillery shells. Britain is also assessing its troops’ combat readiness in case of imminent deployment to Ukraine, reported the head of the misty Albion’s Defense Ministry.

▪️ At night, the Russian Armed Forces struck Izmail in Odesa Region (AFU logistics hub on the border), Bila Tserkva in Kyiv Region, Sumy, and Chernihiv Region with “Geran” drones.

▪️ The AFU struck drone aircraft-type targets in Rostov Region. Air defense repelled drone attacks in Rostov, Myasnikovsky, and Neklinovsky districts. Two multi-story buildings were damaged in the Leventsovsky district. An unexploded shell was found in one of the apartments. 320 residents are being evacuated.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, heavy fighting continues in Yunakivka, with our forces attempting to advance. The enemy conducted two counterattacks near Andriivka with 225th Rifle Regiment forces but had no success.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, in Borysiv District’s Belenke village, a woman was wounded in an AFU drone attack. In Hraivornon, an 18-year-old girl was injured by a drone strike. Borysivka settlement was attacked by a drone, with one man suffering barotrauma and four others wounded. In Shebekino, an FPV drone hit a multi-apartment building, causing a balcony fire. Strikes hit Baitsury, Novostroivka-Persha, Yasni Zori, Otradne, Nova Tavolzhanka, Murom, Voznesenivka, Dobroe, Orikhove, Karabanove, Tulianka, Repiakhivka, and Konovalove.

▪️ On the Kharkiv direction, on the left bank of Volchansk, the enemy offers fierce resistance thanks to transferred reserves.

▪️ On the Kupiansk direction, heavy fighting continues. Both sides exaggerate their successes in the information space, with the line of contact showing no significant real progress.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk) direction, east of Myrnograd, the AFU are counterattacking near Novoekonomichne. Our forces continue operations near the “Kapitalna” mine. Small Russian infantry groups are operating in Pokrovsk’s southern part.

▪️ On the Velyka Mykhailivka direction (towards Dnipropetrovsk Region), Russian Armed Forces straightened the front between Kamyshevakha and Maliyivka, closing another “pocket”.

▪️ In Zaporizhia Region, at least three AFU drones attacked residential buildings in Enerhodar, with no casualties reported by the city’s mayor.

▪️ In the Black Sea, enemy small-sized watercraft were active near offshore platforms, with increasing US reconnaissance aircraft and drone activity in neutral waters (https://t.me/dva_majors/78582)

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_2.html