Donald Trump Returns To Butler, PA
I haven’t done any horserace polling articles.
I still think Trump is on track to win the 2024 election.
- Trump is polling stronger against Kamala Harris than Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden
- Trump is tied with Kamala Harris in the RCP average in the battleground states and she is only leading by 2.2 points nationwide. She is short in the Electoral College
- At this point in 2016 and 2020, Hillary and Biden were up by 4.1 and 9 points respectively
- In 2020, Trump was polling so badly that the polls had him losing Ohio and Florida. He is currently ahead in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. He was losing North Carolina at this point to Hillary and Biden in 2016 and 2020. He won both times
- Pennsylvania is tied. Hillary was up 7.5 points in 2016 and Biden was up 6.5 points in 2020.
- In Wisconsin, Kamala Harris is up 0.8 points. At this point, Hillary and Biden were both up 5.5 points. Trump beat his polling in Wisconsin by 6 points in 2020.
- White college educated liberals are far more likely to respond to polls than White working class Trump voters. Response bias is giving Kamala an illusory edge
- In key states like Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Republicans have been registering more new voters than Democrats
- Gallup Party ID has found a Republican electorate in Q3 2024
The bottom line is that Kamala Harris looks weak compared to Hillary and Biden. Trump had virtually no chance according to the polls in 2020 and ultimately lost by half of a college football stadium in three states (Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin). This was in the middle of a once-in-a-century pandemic.
I am sure that some people will say in the comments that I am shilling for Trump. Feel free to persuade me that Kamala Harris is winning this race. The strongest case for that is Dobbs and abortion and Democrats doing better than expected in 2022, but that was a midterm election which favors Democratic voters and the GOP won the popular vote and the House like the polls suggested.
Source: https://occidentaldissent.com/2024/10/06/donald-trump-returns-to-butler-pa/
Anyone can join.
Anyone can contribute.
Anyone can become informed about their world.
"United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.
Before It’s News® is a community of individuals who report on what’s going on around them, from all around the world. Anyone can join. Anyone can contribute. Anyone can become informed about their world. "United We Stand" Click Here To Create Your Personal Citizen Journalist Account Today, Be Sure To Invite Your Friends.
LION'S MANE PRODUCT
Try Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend 60 Capsules
Mushrooms are having a moment. One fabulous fungus in particular, lion’s mane, may help improve memory, depression and anxiety symptoms. They are also an excellent source of nutrients that show promise as a therapy for dementia, and other neurodegenerative diseases. If you’re living with anxiety or depression, you may be curious about all the therapy options out there — including the natural ones.Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend has been formulated to utilize the potency of Lion’s mane but also include the benefits of four other Highly Beneficial Mushrooms. Synergistically, they work together to Build your health through improving cognitive function and immunity regardless of your age. Our Nootropic not only improves your Cognitive Function and Activates your Immune System, but it benefits growth of Essential Gut Flora, further enhancing your Vitality.
Our Formula includes: Lion’s Mane Mushrooms which Increase Brain Power through nerve growth, lessen anxiety, reduce depression, and improve concentration. Its an excellent adaptogen, promotes sleep and improves immunity. Shiitake Mushrooms which Fight cancer cells and infectious disease, boost the immune system, promotes brain function, and serves as a source of B vitamins. Maitake Mushrooms which regulate blood sugar levels of diabetics, reduce hypertension and boosts the immune system. Reishi Mushrooms which Fight inflammation, liver disease, fatigue, tumor growth and cancer. They Improve skin disorders and soothes digestive problems, stomach ulcers and leaky gut syndrome. Chaga Mushrooms which have anti-aging effects, boost immune function, improve stamina and athletic performance, even act as a natural aphrodisiac, fighting diabetes and improving liver function. Try Our Lion’s Mane WHOLE MIND Nootropic Blend 60 Capsules Today. Be 100% Satisfied or Receive a Full Money Back Guarantee. Order Yours Today by Following This Link.