Testing ChatGPT’s Stock Predicting Prowess
We are putting ChatGPT to the test here, and we shall know the results by market close tomorrow.
We prompted ChatGPT with the following:
What is the most pervasive pattern to predict a less than -1.0 % Daily Change.
ChatGPT came back with:
The most pervasive pattern before a daily change of less than -1% seems to involve negative changes in the days leading up to the significant drop. On average:
- The day before the drop, the daily change was approximately -0.11%.
- Two days before the drop, the daily change was approximately -0.05%.
- Three days before the drop, the daily change was approximately -0.05%.
We interpret this as three small down days before a 1 percent flop. Given last week’s close in the S&P (the data we used was the S&P500 daily change) of:
Wednesday: -0.19 percent
Thursday: -0.29 percent
Friday: -0.65 percent
the market is set up for a 1 percent down move according to the data and ChatGPT’s analytical capacity or pattern recognition.
No guarantees and beware of hallucinations.
Place your bets and stay tuned, folks.
Source: https://global-macro-monitor.com/2024/03/17/testing-chatgpts-stock-predicting-prowess/
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