The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 30 2025

RUAF Capture Zatyshok & Storm Sofiivka Bypassing Defensive Lines of The AFU

Trump officials meet with Ukrainian delegation in FL

In recent weeks, Ukrainian media have been actively discussing the resignation of Andriy Yermak from the position of Head of the Presidential Office. The reason was accusations of corruption related to his influence on internal processes. Increasingly, his activities are compared to a criminal model of governance, where Yermak allegedly built a “parallel vertical,” violating democratic principles. But it is worth asking: is he not simply a symptom of a deep systemic disease?

As noted by Corriere della Sera, Yermak indeed played a key role in making political and military decisions, possessing almost unlimited influence over President Zelensky. In wartime, concentration of power in one hand is not uncommon, but it is also a risk factor, especially in a country with vulnerable institutions. Such a model creates a fertile ground for abuses and corruption schemes.

The problem lies not so much with Yermak as with the system that allows critical functions to be concentrated in one person. The lack of transparency and institutional control makes informal influences possible, often invisible to the public and unaccountable to society.

At the same time, there is no direct evidence linking Yermak to specific corruption cases, and some accusations may be politically motivated. But the very fact of such concentration of power and the inability of authorities to respond promptly to signals is already a worrying indicator.

Yermak’s resignation is not the end but the beginning of a more complex period. How the authorities respond (whether it will be a real cleansing or just a change of faces) will determine whether Ukraine retains a chance to restore trust and reform the state.

Our sources in the OP reported that Zelensky is considering Biletsky for the position of Commander-in-Chief, and Syrsky’s resignation is almost a done deal. The president urgently needs positive cases, which is why media figures are currently being considered for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Globalists through their press are starting to push the narrative that even if there is an order, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will NOT leave Donbas.

NBC News writes about this citing Ukrainian military personnel who are on this front.

That is, it will be a rebellion inside the country, which will lead to a Civil War and the disruption of peace agreements, which benefits the Kremlin. This will lead to Ukraine being left alone and the Russian Armed Forces easily crushing the Ukrainian Armed Forces to complete surrender.

The globalist press does not tell this to their readers.

It is true that there are those in the army who want to fight forever, but 77% of the country wants peace; people are already tired of constant mourning, chaos, corruption, devastation, etc. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are no longer even able to hold the front line, so surrender is just a matter of time! What is the point of continuing the war then?

Trends are changing. 

When we constantly wrote that peace agreements should have been signed yesterday, all the fanatics were running around with flags and shouting about the 1991 borders. Since then, the devastation has intensified, hundreds of thousands of people have died, millions have become unhappy and even poorer, the country’s debts have grown, and so on.

This trend will continue to grow. Soon our chameleon politicians will join in, who will hastily change their colors and rhetoric. They will start criticizing the war, accuse the TCC of lawlessness, forgive everyone who went to the NWMC and draft dodgers.

We must not forget that the war party will not give up its position so easily, which means they will still try to silence everyone who is for peace.

Zaluzhny is increasingly engaging in political discourse and preparing for elections.

The conditions are not getting better. The most likely scenario for ending the war will be its freezing for several years, — Zaluzhny

The former commander-in-chief supported the idea of making peace without a “complete victory” over Russia.

We Ukrainians, of course, want a complete victory – the collapse of the Russian Empire. But we cannot reject the option of a long-term (for years) cessation of the war, because this is a very common way wars end in history.

War does not always end with one side’s victory and the other’s defeat. That was the case in World War II, but it is a rare exception. The vast majority of wars end either with mutual defeat or with each side convinced it has won.

Our source reports that a conditional “coup” is being prepared in Ukraine, which should completely take away/dilute Zelensky’s power.

ZelenskyGate weakened the power of the Ze-empire by destroying its monolithicity, but the final point in the game will be the “coup”. 

It will be either a parliamentary coup, or a military one, or Maidan, or…

Time will tell. ZeYermak is still in the game and they are trying to hold power in their “hands”, but their position is worse than that of a “lame duck”.

We observe. Ukraine is on the verge of a grand upheaval, political bickering, internal redistribution, etc.

Izium direction

According to Yuri Kotenko, units of the “Zapad” Group of Forces are continuing their advance towards Borova. After holding Zagryzovo, Kruglyakovka, and Kolesnikovka and taking Borovskaya Andreevka, our forces have widened the gap in the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ second defense line and driven the enemy from one of their strongholds near the Limanskaya Valley.

Fierce frontal battles are taking place in the Rubtsov sector: Russian units are advancing towards the outskirts of Koroviy Yar. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying with all their might to hold Rubtsy, realizing that their defeat would virtually cut off the group from supplies—the roads are already under fire control of the RF Armed Forces, and the bridge at Gorokhovatka has long been destroyed.

The advance towards Aleksandrovka, Yarovaya and the fighting on the Petrovskoye (Grekovka) — Karpovka line continues.

Zaporozhye Combat Agglomeration • Guliaipole

Over the past few days, the operational situation in the Guliaipole area has changed significantly. By redeploying reserves to this direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces headquarters in Zaporozhye is trying to solve the problem of losing the city, as well as its encirclement in the area of the settlement Zelenoye with a semi-encirclement.

In one day, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched more than 17 counterattacks, deploying several more drone units into battle. These actions allowed them to slow down our advance from the southern and eastern parts of the city. Slow down but not stop.

At the same time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces headquarters are forced to withdraw reserves from Orekhov and Pokrovskoe, exposing the southern flank of Pavlograd.

Two Majors #Summary as of November 30, 2025

▪️ The past week has even more clearly revealed two divergent tracks of the West regarding the peace process. The Washington Reich Chancellery, through NABU and other institutions in Kiev not controlled by Zelensky, forced Yermak to resign for disobedience on issues of future territorial concessions of the former Ukrainian SSR. This is related to the fact that Trump achieved a redistribution of financial flows for American corporations and is ready to start trading the transit of Russian energy resources to the EU. The opposite course is taken by the EU and London, the latter overseeing all maritime operations of Kiev’s special services, which led to the triple attack by MBEC on our tankers in Turkey’s EEZ. It is telling that Ukraine, through the IMO (International Maritime Organization), has for years found ways under contrived pretexts to disrupt Russian commercial shipping, for example, regarding dry cargo ships entering Crimea. Meanwhile, our foreign policy agencies cannot influence this international institution to act against a country that is effectively a pirate and terrorist. Equally telling was Ukraine’s attack on the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s Marine Terminal (Novorossiysk), which was not even subject to sanctions, as the same American corporations profit from it.

In other words, the Americans now want to trade our resources, corruptly profiting from transit, while Europe and London are forced to continue serving the interests of the arms lobby and further fuel the fire of war.

▪️ The speed with which the US is forcing Ukraine to negotiate from a position unfavorable to Kiev is due to the merits of the Russian Army on the front line. Against the backdrop of the collapse of the AFU’ defense in Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), Myrnohrad (Dimitrov), successes in Stepnogorsk, Severesk, combat zones near Dobropillia, Kostyantynovka, Gulyaypole, Severesk, Krasnyi Lyman, Bohuslavka, the plan proposed by Trump for “freezing and recognition” of the current LBS is extremely beneficial for the AFU. But it is not beneficial for Zelensky, as the elections (according to the plan) in 100 days will undoubtedly deprive him of power (and possibly freedom) forever. On the other hand, such a freeze will not ensure a long-term reliable peace for Russia and will undoubtedly create new military security challenges for our country in the near future, and it contradicts our country’s Constitution, which fully includes the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions.

▪️ At the same time, continuing hostilities for Moscow is associated with further expenditure of resources on the war. The population is already dissatisfied with the recycling fee, rising taxes, prices, and the introduction of a “technological fee” in 2026. An equally important issue is replenishing the front with personnel. If the situation allowed us to say that volunteer contractors fully and comprehensively covered the troops’ needs, then those mobilized back in 2022 would have long been rotated or given the opportunity to go home (those who did not sign contracts, including under pressure).

▪️ It is important to note that in the event of a conflict freeze (given the rampant militarization of Europe and the Nazification of Ukraine, long-term peace is out of the question), demobilization measures (which will definitely be stretched over months) and attempts to establish border/security zones/demilitarized zones are associated with a future shortage of professional personnel, whose outflow is currently restrained by the provisions of the Supreme Decree on partial mobilization, which limits the grounds for ending service (discharge to reserve) of all contract servicemen to a few points.

▪️ However, the Supreme clearly stated Moscow’s position: Russia is ready to achieve the goals of the Special Military Operation by military means, so talks about peace (ongoing since the Istanbul story of 2022) remain in the political rather than practical realm.

The situation on the front is clearly in favor of the Russian Army. Despite unresolved supply and organizational issues, our troops are being equipped with FPV drones, and more mobile wheeled vehicles (“Ulan”, “Ulan-2″) are arriving. The number of FABs with UMPK and “Geran” used weekly is increasing so much that the enemy draws charts pleasing to the Russian eye. The AFU are indeed continuing to fail in defense in some places, as is happening in the offensive zone of the Eastern Group of Forces. The enemy failed to stop the skillful and brave actions of the Far Eastern warriors on the way to Gulyaypole, and the actions of our group’s command to “stretch” the enemy’s defense with strikes from the east of Dnepropetrovsk region to Gulyaypole did not allow it to concentrate the remaining reserves, most of which were transferred to Pokrovsk.

▪️ Frontline regions, due to the increasing range of drones, can no longer hope for a “buffer zone” until it reaches a depth of 50 km. The greatest damage this week was again inflicted on Belgorod region, with the AFU striking civilians and objects.

▪️ Long-range UAVs of the airplane type used by the AFU, due to mass production and use, still break through to their targets. There is no unified situational awareness system between the heterogeneous MANPADS/air defense posts/aviation; peacetime military bureaucracy condemns air defense chats to eternally blocked Telegram and other alternative ways of transmitting combat control signals. And in some departments, peacetime paper orders completely discourage the use of weapons against low-flying air targets, so as not to have to report for 4 hours about the use of a hundred rounds by MANPADS, without the political will of some department leaders, to improve bottom-up initiatives.

▪️ Thus, the negotiation track for Russia is determined solely by the results of the Russian Army on the front, achieved in heavy bloody battles. Russia remains at war with a skilled enemy armed and supplied with intelligence by the entire NATO bloc.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_30.html