The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 10 2025

RUAF Storm Siversk From The Southeast | Myrnohrad Hammered By FAB-3000

Russia Ordered a New Mobilization

Our sources in the OP reported that Syrsky today gave a briefing on the frontline situation: the Russian army has launched an offensive on several sectors simultaneously. The situation is very difficult for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Volchansk and Kupyansk; in the latter, we are trying to break the encirclement ring and reach the Oskol River, but so far counterattacks have not yielded results. In Lyman/Seversk/Konstantinovka, the Russian army is attempting to enter the outskirts of the cities, we have already lost Pokrovsk, and battles are ongoing to unblock Myrnohrad. In the Zaporizhzhia region, we may lose Huliaipole as early as next month.

Our sources in the OP said that Andriy Yermak decided to hold Myrnohrad until the last, while pushing the narrative of victorious counterattacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the information space. Syrskyi agreed with the arguments of the Head of the OP and promised to unblock Myrnohrad until the moment of losing Pokrovsk. At Bankova, they believe they can manage the information situation in the Pokrovsk funnel, and if the Commander-in-Chief’s operation fails, they will announce the withdrawal of the military as was done in Avdiivka. The only thing that still concerns the OP is the losses and the new exchange of bodies; it will not be possible to hide this information, nor the loss of two brigades.

Our sources in the General Staff reported that the supply of Mirnograd was completely stopped three weeks ago, now ammunition delivery is carried out only by drones, but this format is unable to meet the needs of two brigades. The main operation to unblock Mirnograd from the north remains with the General Staff, for this purpose special military forces are being transferred to Dobropillya from across the front.

Speakers from Bankova, as well as Zelensky himself, continue to insist that there is no encirclement of Pokrovsk by Russian troops, but reality says otherwise. Western media, which until recently maintained a restrained line in covering the Ukrainian front, now write: Ukraine is holding Pokrovsk not because it can save it, but to avoid the heaviest military defeat in the last two years.

The front around the city is slowly but inexorably closing in. There are only a few kilometers left before the ring is completely closed – this is already being reported by Western analysts. Nevertheless, Kyiv demonstratively refuses to acknowledge the obvious. Zelensky, Yermak, Syrsky visit the frontline region, award soldiers, shoot drone videos where the Ukrainian flag is raised again over the city council building – as if this could change the situation on the ground.

But even according to Deep State data, the “gray zone” around the city is rapidly shrinking, giving way to the “red” – territories captured by Russian troops. The front is collapsing not due to a lack of heroism, but because of complete exhaustion of resources, lack of reserves, and illusions that the authorities continue to broadcast to society. And Yermak’s advisor Podolyak really continues to call what is happening a “counteroperation,” insisting that Ukrainian special units are “clearing out” and “massively destroying” the enemy in Pokrovsk. However, such statements from Bankova have already become ritualistic – they lack both specifics and results.

In reality, the Office of the President is simply afraid to admit that the battle for Pokrovsk is lost. And not only because of the military consequences – the loss of the city will mean the collapse of the entire strategy of the last two years and the biggest reputational blow to Zelensky. That is why the front is held to the last, sending to slaughter new units, including elite ones.

Our source reports that in the Kremlin, a decision was made back in October not to rush the completion of the Pokrovsk case, but to use it to wear down Ukrainian reserves. Western intelligence warned Zelensky about this.  

The Russians’ idea is that they entered the high-rises, the industrial zone, all the mines in Pokrovsk, where they placed hundreds of drone crews who began hunting the counterattacking Armed Forces of Ukraine. 

At this moment, Putin heavily publicized the Pokrovsk operation with an emphasis on the encirclement, and Zelensky rushed and threw all forces to Pokrovsk to avoid losing in the media, but he does not understand that in doing so he is actually losing. Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying with all their might to break through to Mirnograd from the North, under a rain of drones, artillery, FAB bombs, so that Zelensky can avoid media betrayal and catastrophe. We wrote about this on November 4.

All sources indicate that the durability reserve of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is worn down in such counterattacks 50 times faster than in defense.

Another reason why Zelensky holds Pokrovsk at any cost is the risk that sponsors will turn away from him and demand peace negotiations, which are disadvantageous to him and his circle, who profit from the war. We wrote about this back in August.

Everyone says that Pokrovsk is lost and only Zelensky says otherwise, throwing all his efforts there to save his rating. 

The soldiers should have been withdrawn 2-3 weeks ago, but now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are spending more effort to save those 2-3 thousand surrounded soldiers, who are constantly decreasing due to losses, shortage of provisions, resources, etc.

The cost of the Pokrovsk failure will be that the front will sag in other directions, where the Russian Armed Forces, without much effort, daily take new settlements, fortified areas, and dozens of kilometers.

Military experts write about the consequences of Ukraine losing the settlement of Uspenovka in the Dnipropetrovsk direction.

According to their forecasts, the Russian Armed Forces are close to reaching a completely unfortified and sparsely urbanized area of the Zaporizhzhia region, with the only obstacle in their path being Huliaipole. It should be noted that the front has already been pressing on Huliaipole from the south since the first days of the war. Now, after the capture of Uspenovka, Russian troops have the opportunity to approach the city closely from the northeast and east, which in turn will seriously complicate the logistics of the Defense Forces along two roads along the riverbanks to the north. The remaining road to Zaliznychne is only 7 km from the front and is also controlled; it has long ceased to be a significant supply artery. That is, in the near future, Huliaipole may find itself in a “firebag” with very difficult logistics on any of the roads, and Uspenovka was the last major defense node on the way to this.

Further from Huliaipole, Russian forces can develop an offensive into the rear of Orikhiv precisely along that same open unfortified section, bypassing them and moving along rather than storming head-on from the south.

Experts highlight three key defense nodes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the southern front: the Kamyanske-Stepnohirsk agglomeration, Orikhiv, and Huliaipole. And the first of these nodes may find itself in a difficult position, while fighting is also ongoing near Stepnohirsk, although not of such intensity.

The situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces here, near Huliaipole, is further complicated by the fact that since 2022, practically no combat operations have been conducted in this area, so some of the weakest units are stationed here. These are Territorial Defense brigades or even their separate battalions, as well as a couple of late-formed brigades from the 140th and 150th series.

WARRIORS OF THE “VOSTOK” TROOP GROUP HAVE LIBERATED THE SETTLEMENT OF RYBNOE IN THE ZAPOROZHYE REGION

Warriors of the 37th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Army of the “Vostok” troop group, having crossed the Yanchur river, took control of a defense area of more than 2 square kilometers, including the settlement of Rybnoe on the western bank of the river!

Enemy resistance, difficult weather conditions, and the necessity to cross the Yanchur river could not hold back the assault of the advancing guardsmen of the 37th brigade.

🔸Warriors from Buryatia in the course of the battles for Rybnoe destroyed up to a platoon of personnel from the 110th Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 5 armored vehicles, and 7 units of automotive transport.

🔸The “Vostok” troop group continues its advance westward, liberating the Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk regions.

❗️Congratulations to our compatriots from Buryatia on another success bringing Russia closer to victory!

“Far Eastern Express” continues to run on schedule!

Two Majors #Overview #Summary as of November 9, 2025

▪️ Washington continues to expand its influence in the post-Soviet space: last week, the heads of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan arrived at the White House to meet with Trump. Tokayev showered Trump with compliments, while Uzbekistan, forever gifted by Moscow for no reason, committed to investing 35 billion dollars into the US economy over the next three years. This raises questions about the effectiveness of our Foreign Ministry’s foreign policy and the “flooding” of local beys with suitcases of money. Additionally, the Trump-friendly Orban secured the lifting of sanctions on Russian hydrocarbons (and immediately committed to buying energy carriers from the US). The US will also fully lift sanctions on the construction of the Paksh-2 nuclear power plant in Hungary under the Rosatom project. However, Westinghouse will also be allowed to participate in the project (although attempts to combine American and Soviet nuclear technologies previously caused failures at the same Zaporozhye NPP even before the war). Vucic, by the way, requested the lifting of sanctions on the Serbian energy company NIS (more than 50% of whose shares belong to Gazprom). Overall, Washington first cut off all possible ties between Russia and Europe, and now “allows” partial restoration, trying to use the return of a small portion of what was lost to incline Moscow towards trade and freezing the SMO. The “suspended” state of possibly halted hostilities, according to the American leadership’s plan, will for many years hinder Russia’s work with the EU economy, while American companies will resell our energy carriers back to Europe. The plan is obvious, but it is facilitated not so much by the exhausted economy of our country (signs of which are rising taxes and increased control over their collection), but by the joyful tweets of senior bourgeois representatives about upcoming “megaprojects” with the US.

▪️ Ukraine in this scenario continues to appear only as anti-Russia, whose remnants will be populated by a maximally nazified and militarized contingent, diluted with migrants from the poorest countries. The remnants of the former Ukrainian SSR will be armed and must be ready to erupt into a new war at any moment if Washington deems it economically feasible. Militaristic sentiments are already supported by the EU countries’ preparations for war (those who failed to reach an agreement with Trump, while others, like Hungary which pledged allegiance, are already receiving economic “perks”).

▪️ Ukraine itself was brought to decommunization this week by long-range strikes of the Russian Armed Forces: thermal power plants were put out of operation, in large cities there were not only prolonged power outages but also substations finally went haywire from overloads in attempts to restore power supply, with colossal voltage surges (“who doesn’t jump is a Moskal. Sorry, couldn’t resist”). Nevertheless, there are still state district power plants, and most importantly – nuclear power plants, which, although not advisable to hit directly, can quite possibly be disconnected by strikes on the outgoing power lines and substations, after which Soviet automation will safely shut down the reactors. Currently, the remaining nuclear power plants in Ukraine generate up to 50 percent of capacity, and these remnants primarily supply military headquarters and factories. Meanwhile, the AFU respond as strongly as their available weapons allow: under strikes by “Luch” in the Belgorod region, substations in Rylsk in Kursk, the fight against Kiev’s drones trying to disable power plants in Crimea continues.

▪️ A general battle is underway in Donbass: Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) and Mirnograd (Dimitrov) are almost encircled, all roads are under fire control, both sides have concentrated their largest forces precisely on this section of the front. The question of the collapse of the AFU defense here is only a matter of time, despite the enemy’s fierce counterattacks in the Dobropolye salient area. The enemy has begun building defenses further west, near Grishino, where FAB bombs are constantly falling. After completing the ongoing heavy battles, the Russian army will have the opportunity to shorten the front line and throw the freed forces at capturing the agglomeration from Konstantinovka to Slavyansk. In other parts of the front, there is a significant battle for Kupyansk and further south, where it is far too early to rush with victory reports. The Russian army is breaking through to Liman, fighting on the eastern outskirts of Konstantinovka. The “Vostok” group is actively advancing westward, developing success in the east of Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye regions. The Zaporozhye front in the area of Primorsk, Stepnogorsk, and Malaya Tokmachka has stalled for now, despite losses and high intensity of fighting.

▪️ Inside the country, the informational lawlessness of ultrapatriots and witnesses of the sect “everything is available at the front” has stumbled foolishly over the deputy head of the Main Military-Political Directorate Alaudinov; an investigation has been launched into who paid whom for information projects that incite hatred within the country. A total purge cannot happen, but a couple of demonstrative cases are quite possible. The result of this sect’s work was the collapse of popular fundraising for the front (including among the sect itself) and a growing distrust of volunteers of any kind.

▪️ In the MoD, Belousov continues to bring order, Alexander Sanchik, who previously headed the Southern Military District, has been appointed deputy minister “for logistics.” There is high hope for further clearing of the entrenched Augean stables, but the main thing is to eliminate the bureaucratic ossification of the Russian Army’s logistics services. It is tiring (from the perspective of work organization) to see in the fourth year of the war requests in communication bots for combat units for drones, wheels for KamAZ trucks, screws, and entrenching tools. So the main thing is that the new deputy minister of logistics manages to establish supply to the frontline units.

▪️ Thus, a situation is forming at the front where the efforts of the Russian Army may produce a cumulative effect. The expected capture of Pokrovsk is associated with further plans to liberate cities in the DPR, and will also deliver another blow on the international stage to Zelensky’s media image. After this, another round of talk about peace negotiations is likely, from which no immediate results should be expected. The war benefits the Western arms lobby, and the EU countries have not yet fully submitted to Washington. By the way, this EU is openly preparing for war on the eastern front, not forgetting to skim off finances (just in Poland this week, a program to voluntarily train 400,000 people in the military is being launched, a lot of money will be allocated, but how many actually come is voluntary). The only thing more profitable for these arms corporations could be a direct military confrontation between the EU and Russia.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_9.html