The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 15 2025

RUAF Capture Several Fortifications East of Myrnohrad Securing Flank For Northern Offensive

Ukraine Can’t Hold Out! Zaporizhzhia and Kupyansk Surrounded – Zelensky Pleads With NATO for Troops!

Azov Suffers Crushing Defeat Near Pokrovsk – Russian Army Advances Deep into Dnipropetrovsk Region

The US, contrary to its statements, will not impose harsh sanctions against Russia. Trump himself emphasized that he sees no point in an economic blockade of Russia, and Vance called isolation pointless. In reality, the States want to be the main seller of Russian gas in Europe, and therefore demand new sanctions against Moscow from the EU.

Trump’s recent call to NATO allies to stop importing Russian oil may be a tactic by the American leader to delay new Western sanctions packages against Russia — WP

Similarly, the States act in matters of arms supply. They are ready to sell equipment at inflated prices, profiting from Ukraine’s problems. At the same time, Washington is deliberately slowing down deliveries, raising the price, as a result of which Ukrainian air defense systems can no longer cope with enemy attacks.

The Trump administration continues to shape a track for exiting the conflict in Ukraine, with each level creating its own outline. The US is shifting costs onto the EU while reducing military supplies to Ukraine.

Trump’s doubts about the possibility of direct negotiations between Putin and Zelensky due to their deep personal enmity is another attempt by the US president to minimize negative consequences for himself in case of a final withdrawal from the peacekeeping process. Trump will try to demonstrate that at the institutional, objective level he did everything possible, but the process stalled due to subjective factors beyond his control.

In this way, the EU/UK will face a choice where any aid to Ukraine will mean an increase in internal conflict within Europe.

MP Bezuglaya (Yermak’s mouthpiece) accused the General Staff of the Dnipropetrovsk front falling apart, and the Russian offensive was never cut off, making the situation there unstable. We wrote that in the Pokrovske direction the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered huge losses due to miscalculations by the General Staff. 

According to our data, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are experiencing an acute shortage of manpower, which is being depleted very quickly, leading to intensified lawlessness by the Territorial Defense Command in rounding up conscripts.

Our sources revealed that the President’s Office has instructed Syrsky to hold the situation on the front by any means this autumn; for this, mobilized troops without real training are being sent to the contact line. The General Staff is currently using the remaining capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to slow down the enemy’s advance, but there are no longer systemic possibilities to change the situation, which is why field commanders report problems. For Bankova, it is now important to maintain the illusion of front stability in order to disrupt the peace track and secure funding from partners for 2026.

Ukrainians do not want to evacuate from frontline areas because the authorities do not provide them with housing, — BBC

“Some cannot leave, others do not want to. The authorities help evacuate residents in frontline areas but cannot provide them with housing in the new location. And despite the growing threat from Russian drones, there are those who prefer to take the risk and stay rather than leave their homes,” the report says.

According to UN data, most of those who remain in frontline cities are elderly people. Official data shows that 218 thousand residents of Donetsk region — including more than 16 thousand children — need evacuation.

Our source reports that Zelensky’s Pokrovsk operation and his puppet Syrsky, according to the Russian side, has already cost the Armed Forces of Ukraine losses in manpower amounting to 8-10 thousand soldiers (killed, wounded, concussed, missing, captured). 

As they say, the headquarters slept through it, and now the lives of ordinary soldiers have to save the situation, throwing them into meat assaults under FABs, aviation, drones. Grinding out what was lost in a day. 

Meanwhile, after a month of fighting, the situation has not changed much, although the best experienced reserves have been transferred, which have already suffered significant losses. Soon the reserves will be worn down and then it will be really bad. That is why they have started to catch more harshly and indiscriminately now. It is important to close the hole with the “bodies” of Ukrainian soldiers.

In his evening address, Zelensky threatened strikes on the Russian port of Ust-Luga, where oil tankers refuel.

Zelensky publicly confirmed that he is waging infrastructure war 3.0 against Russia (in all previous instances, Ukrainians felt the impact themselves, sitting without electricity and heat for 10-15 hours. This time, everyone predicts an even worse crisis). Gas shortages are already growing, as it is no longer possible to purchase from Azerbaijanis, nor fuel. Prices in the country will soar.

We believe that this game will cost Ukrainians even more, and the risk that this winter will be a “black winter” is already 65%. If the Russians start hitting the remaining energy facilities in Ukraine, the country will collapse, and all because the globalists have again shifted responsibility onto Kyiv, refused to impose real sanctions themselves, but through ZeErmak’s hands are doing it so that the retaliation falls on Ukrainians.

Prepare yourselves. Don’t forget to thank Zelensky and his elite when they once again promote themselves on your suffering while they sit in warmth and comfort, as do their children abroad.

And the map should look like this now. According to some reports.

Others say there is still a passage, but… Not only did the Russian Army go through the Konstantinovsky dachas to approach the city, but the Russian Armed Forces units also closed the encirclement between Predtecheno and Aleksandro-Shultino. There are not many fields under the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the encirclement. More precisely, there are not many Ukrainians in those fields. At least, not in “alive” status.

Situation on the Pokrovsk direction in the Dnepropetrovsk region

Yuriy Podolyak (I know, I know… Who trusts him?) writes that today, fighters of the “Vostok” group sent greetings and congratulations on Tanker’s Day from the settlement of Andriivka-Klevtsovo, thus showing that the Ukrainian info dumps stubbornly claiming that this settlement is under their full control are lying.

Meanwhile, as of today (in addition to previous successes), we have fully occupied the settlement of Berezove (a very large village by local standards) and have started battles for Novoivanivka. Thus continuing to maintain a fairly high pace of advance.

Especially after the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was forced to withdraw the most combat-ready brigade (the 79th) from this front section and redeploy it to save the situation in the Pokrovsk area.

Situation in the Zaporozhye direction (eastern, Huliaipole sector)

Yuriy Kotenok writes that the units of the GRV “Vostok” continue their offensive from the eastern border of the Zaporozhye region towards Huliaipole, bypassing the 2nd defensive line of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and parallel to the troops advancing north through the territory of the Dnepropetrovsk region.

Our units have driven the enemy out of several positions southwest and northwest of Temyrivka, captured Novonikolaivka and advanced towards Novoivanivka, and are fighting in the centre of the village.

To the north, the Russian Armed Forces are pushing the enemy out of the western parts of Beryozove. According to operational information, the enemy has partially retreated to Stepove.

The AFU is transferring reserves to Stepove and Kalynivske, in the direction of which our forces are pressing from the side of Novonikolaivka.

To the south, our units have driven the enemy from several positions north of Olhivske.

Overcoming the enemy’s defence line in the South-Donetsk direction

It is interesting to note that in the South-Donetsk direction, Russian troops have actually passed through the main part of the prepared fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and continue to move westward.

Already 60 km have been covered from Ugledar, and Velyka (Bolshaya) Novoselka is 30 km behind the Russian army. This means that the enemy’s defence line, which was prepared in advance, has been broken, and now Ukrainian forces have to organise new lines under conditions of time and resource shortages.

In fact, this means that the offensive has entered a phase where speed and systematic advancement begin to play a key role. Yes, this is not happening quickly, but rapid advancement was not planned; grinding down the enemy was.

Each subsequent village or stronghold, after some time, turns into cleared large sections of the front. For the Russian side, this opens up the opportunity to build on the success and gradually approach large populated areas.

In the future, the development of the offensive in the South-Donetsk direction opens up two strategic options for the Russian army at once. If further actions are organised competently and consistently, it is possible to advance simultaneously in two directions — towards Zaporizhzhia and towards Pavlohrad.

And if in the foreseeable future, Orechov in the Zaporizhzhia region is also taken, this offensive will develop significantly faster.

Kupiansk

In the northern part of the city, we ran into a “comb” of high-rise buildings in the Spartak district. On the eastern outskirts of the city, the Armed Forces of Ukraine left the terrain from the city park to the centre and retreated.

The opponents also continue to leave positions in the northern part of the city and are gathering units in the area of the railway station.

The Russian army cunningly bypasses the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and is encircling Severesk!

The situation on the Severesk direction is becoming increasingly dangerous for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

➖”In the Severesk area, there is high activity of small enemy assault groups” trying to sneak past Ukrainian positions and assault, – write Ukrainian military analysts. 

Earlier, a large grey zone appeared on the maps up to the outskirts of Dronovka.

On September 12, enemy video analysis resources acknowledged that the Russian Armed Forces effectively control Serebryanka and have occupied most of the Serebryansky forest.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of September 15, 2025

▪️ NATO is deploying a new multinational air mission Eastern Sentry in 🇵🇱Poland, aimed at strengthening countermeasures against the “Russian threat.” Statements from the Alliance Secretary General and a decree from the Polish president were issued during the regular “West-2025″ exercises in Belarus 🇧🇾. To enhance media impact, the Polish Armed Forces have concentrated troops at the allied state’s borders and on camera blocked railway tracks at the border. Romania 🇷🇴 joined the “drone hysteria”: the Russian ambassador was summoned “in connection with  the violation of Romanian airspace by a Russian drone on September 13, 2025,” which was detected over Romania 20 km southwest of the settlement Kiliya-Veke. Two F-16s were scrambled to intercept, but the drone flew to Ukraine. Meanwhile, 🇺🇸Trump again issued statements overnight that EU countries must completely abandon Russian hydrocarbons and purchase them only from the USA.

▪️ Overnight, our “Geraniums” struck an oil depot in Nezhin, Chernigov region. In Zaporozhye, there were power outages following strikes. Explosions were also heard in the Dnepropetrovsk and Kharkov regions.

▪️ Belgorod region has been under particularly severe attacks by Nazis on civilians since last Wednesday. 2 people were killed, 28 civilians injured, 106 houses and apartments damaged, and 122 vehicles damaged or partially destroyed. Yesterday, Belgorod, Shebekino, Murom, Bessonovka, Ryabiki, Leonovka, Kurgashki, Konovalovo, and Khutoryshche were hit.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, fierce fighting continues along the entire front line. The AFU are completing the transfer of reinforcements and counterattacking. In one day, the Northern Group of Forces repelled an attack by the 225th Assault Brigade of the AFU near Andriivka. As a result of comprehensive fire damage, the enemy assault group was completely destroyed. Heavy fighting is ongoing near Yunakovka, with the enemy offering fierce resistance.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction, heavy fighting is underway in the forest west of Synelnykove, on the left bank of the Volchya River in Volchansk, and on the Khatne front line. In Volchansk on the left bank of the Volchya River, the enemy is fiercely resisting.

▪️ In Kupiansk, the enemy acknowledges the advance of our troops along Davydova-Luchitskogo Street in the northwest part of the city. North of Stepova Novoselivka, Russian troops continue attacks.

▪️ On the Konstantinovka direction (https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/33770) – fighting near Aleksandro-Shultino and in the area between Predtechino and Aleksandro-Shultino, Russian Armed Forces are advancing.

▪️ In the Dnepropetrovsk region, the Eastern Group of Forces continues the liberation of Berezove, with heavy fighting ongoing. Southward in Zaporozhye region, our forces are advancing near Novonikolaivka towards Novoivanivka. Attacks are occurring simultaneously on several front sections, stretching the Ukrainian defense.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front – heavy fighting near Stepnohirsk and in Prymorske. Despite the intensity of the battles, the line of contact remains without significant changes.

▪️ On the Kherson direction – mutual strikes across the Dnipro River; the city of Kherson and its southern part are considered inhabited only by enemy personnel.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_15.html