The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 27 2025

MAJOR Assault, Russia FULLY Captures Its First Village In Dnipro

Russian Forces Operationally Encirclem Serebriansky Forest Area

Massive Collapse: Russian Army Shatters Ukrainian Defense with a 15 km Breakthrough!

Total Chaos in Ukraine – 15,000 Soldiers Trapped by Russian Forces!

Trump stuck in worst of all outcomes in Ukraine

The Office of the President has chosen a tactic of dragging out the peace track to draw Trump into a prolonged war in Ukraine and secure funding/weapons.

Statements by the U.S. Secretary of State that Trump is losing patience with Putin allow the Presidential Administration to hope for a change in the U.S. position after the 50-day ultimatum expires.

“Despite very good interaction with Putin and phone calls, it never leads to anything. So it’s time to act,” said the U.S. Secretary of State.

Also, according to Rubio, Trump believes that Putin negotiated with him only to buy time.

“Most of this interaction was actually aimed at winning time and using a time-dragging tactic.” The U.S. President “is not going to fall into this trap.” 

Our sources reported that the Trump Administration is using criminal cases against Zelensky’s circle as a means of pressure on the President’s Office regarding the peace track. MP Mustafa Dzhemilev stated that he supported the bill to limit the powers of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) in order to prevent a possible peace with Russia and the initiation of criminal cases against Zelensky and his circle.

According to Dzhemilev, NABU is under external influence, including from US President Donald Trump.

He believes that NABU and SAP must be destroyed because Trump wants to remove Zelensky, and this must not be allowed.

“NABU is controlled by Trump. And Trump wants to do business with Putin, so he is trying to force Zelensky to capitulate with the help of NABU. We must continue to fight for Crimea,” the deputy said.

Dzhemilev believes that anti-corruption cases can be used as a tool of geopolitical pressure on the Ukrainian leadership.

The crisis caused by Bankova’s attempt to establish control over NABU and SAP is turning into one of the most severe political defeats for President Zelensky during his entire presidency. Calls for his resignation are beginning to be heard not only in Ukrainian society but also in the Western press. For example, The Telegraph published an article with a direct call for Zelensky to step down for the future of Ukraine.

Despite warnings from Macron and Costa, the law abolishing the independence of anti-corruption bodies became a point of no return. Street pressure, protest activation and a sharp signal from the West forced Zelensky to backtrack — a self-deprecating maneuver that damaged not only his image but the entire system of power. Protests in Kyiv continue, and for the first time since the war began, they are having an effect. The authorities “bent” — and the whole country sees it. Zelensky’s image as an “unshakable leader” is collapsing in the eyes of Western capitals. From the US to the UK and the EU.

The figure of Yermak looks especially painful. According to many sources, it was he who pushed the attack on NABU, claimed its “coordination” with the Americans, convinced parliament, and ultimately set up the president. Another critical publication in the Financial Times only strengthens the assumption that Yermak is becoming toxic for international partners.

It is Yermak, according to rumors, whom the Westerners are now pushing to dismiss. His forced removal could be Zelensky’s attempt to hold onto his position and shift responsibility (on the contrary, the head of the OP wants to make scapegoats of the MPs who already look ridiculous after “bending” to Bankova, while Zelensky’s NABU case was taken and rolled back). But considering everything that has happened — this will be more of a delay than a rescue. Too much has gone wrong. And if the pressure dynamics continue, the West may not only demand Yermak’s removal but also prepare a replacement for Zelensky himself.

Our source reports that Zelensky has fallen into the trap of Western players. He now faces a tough choice. To betray Trump or to betray the globalists, as his rating in the West has collapsed. 

If he rolls back on the NABU case, it means he has returned to the globalists and will now become much more controllable. For now, he is pretending to roll back, but anything can happen. From this, it follows that the direction of the Ukrainian crisis will be aimed at:

1. Escalation

2. Toughening of mobilization 

We are watching. Better evacuate your children.

Our source reports that Zelensky and Yermak wanted to put Poroshenko in pre-trial detention, but a slip-up in the NABU case caused huge reputational damage to ZeYermak, ruining their plans. 

Of course, they can put Poroshenko in pre-trial detention now to shift the information case, but they are afraid that this will be perceived as a continuation of political repression (although almost everyone hates Poroshenko), but in the current realities, any attack on the so-called Western clientele will be seen as repression against “democracy.” 

Therefore, all our sources are confident that ZeYermak will be afraid to make sharp moves now, which means there will be no arrests (possibly they will want to frame Vova and Andrey, stir up protests, and “someone” will accidentally do something outrageous, like “beating students”). 

We are watching.

Our sources report that the SBU is preparing lists of everyone who participated in the protests and actively supported the track on social media. The security forces will start working on the most active actors, and the men will be handled by the TCC. 

The Ukrainian army is experiencing a systemic crisis that threatens not only operational capabilities on the front but also the very stability of the military structure. This was stated in an interview with the publication “Focus” by serviceman Igor Lutsenko.

According to him, the mobilization campaign has failed: the quality of conscripts is declining, motivation is falling, and the real losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are not limited to frontline battles. Lutsenko points to a widespread phenomenon of unauthorized desertion — about 100,000 cases in six months (noting that his estimate quite corresponds to previously announced data from the military and experts that about 300,000 Ukrainians have gone into the territorial defense forces during the entire military conflict, and this number increases by an average of 20,000 each month). And this indicates not so much a problem of “desertion” as a complete distrust of the personnel towards the army machine and those who manage it.

At the same time, the idea of the “Army+” — a modernization program, which, according to Lutsenko, is being blocked locally and yields no results — is collapsing. Even elite units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine suffer from understaffing, untrained recruits, and lack of motivation. This hits the real combat capability, which cannot be compensated by either media showcase or military aid supplies from the West.

On our part, we note that the authorities continue to ignore the level of demoralization in the Ukrainian army. And under such circumstances, talking about “offensive potential” or a “turnaround on the front” is more than unfounded. Without an objective assessment of the internal situation in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, any strategic tasks will turn into a routine of losses.

An interesting observation from war correspondent Sladkov:

“We do not give the enemy any rest. Look, in sports wrestling, on the tatami, if you push or pull the opponent out of a stable position, shift their center of gravity — you can do whatever you want with them. Similarly, we do not let the Armed Forces of Ukraine firmly stand on their feet; we constantly push them, deprive them of stability, trip them up, because as soon as they manage to strengthen themselves, they immediately start attacking us.”

Confirming the, “death by a thousand pokes/ cuts/ Brusilov’s washing machine” we and other observors have noted since Spring of last year.

What’s interesting now is that when I go to a pro-Ukraine mapping site annd timelapse Russian progress around Pokrovsk from the 1st of July to today, there is no Ukrainian pushback whatsoever on the map, only Russian advances.

The enemy is not successfully counterattacking, if at all, along this entire zone.

This signifies that Ukrainian reserve units in this operational zone are depleted as has happened before time and time again previously in Avdeevka, Artemovsk, Soledar, and others.

On map, Pokrovsk is now dead. (Sticking my neck out again: 40 hours until bifurcation along the rail hub)

Eyes forward to Konstantinovka, where whatever reserves enforced Pokrovsk have likely relocated to – although even that is in operational encirclement.

In case anyone was doubtful about Pokrovsk’s ultimate fate, here’s a reminder that seals the matter close for good.

The Russian army has broken through 5 km near Lyman in the Serebryansky forest!

▪️In the Lyman direction, two Russian units recorded footage of flag demonstrations near the lake and on the building of the “Ugolёk” tourist base north of Chernikovo lake in the Serebryansky forest.

▪️ Russian soldiers are recorded deep inside the Serebryansky forest — infantry is already near the administration of the “Serebryanskoye forestry” reserve.

▪️Geolocation shows that the Russian Armed Forces managed to advance 5 km into the forestry.

➖ “The possibility of a breakthrough of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense line is not excluded. The gray zone in the Serebryansky forest has expanded, the situation is being clarified,” the enemy resources write.

On July 26, the Sever military group continued to establish a security zone in the Kharkov and Sumy regions.

In the Sumy direction

The enemy continues to bring new units into battle, trying to recapture lost positions. The fiercest fighting is taking place in the vicinity of Andreevka and Yunakovka. The Northerners are grinding down the enemy’s manpower, forcing the enemy to transfer its most combat-ready units from other directions to the Sumy region. 

▪️During fierce fighting, our marines and motorized infantry drove the Ukrainian occupiers out of several strongholds in the forest areas near Yablonovka and the village of Sadky, advancing a total of more than 1,000 meters.

Breaking the enemy’s stubborn resistance, our paratroopers cleared nine buildings in the south of Yunakovka.

▪️In the Andreevka area, the enemy launched two unsuccessful counterattacks with units of the 225th Oshp. As a result of comprehensive fire damage, the enemy’s manpower was destroyed.

An analysis of obituaries showed that during the strike on the command post of the 27th Artillery Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the head of intelligence of the unit, A. Kandibi, was destroyed by the Northman.

Publications by Ukrainian volunteers indicate the transfer of the enemy’s Bravo special forces unit to the Sumy direction.

In the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions, the enemy continues to replenish the losses of its assault units with forcibly mobilized Ukrainians and Colombian mercenaries already on the territory of Ukraine.

As a result of our fire damage in Pavlovka, a combat group of the 47th Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was exposed and destroyed by FPV drones.

In the Kharkov direction

Fierce fighting continues in Volchansk and the surrounding forest areas, as well as near the villages of Melovoye and Chugunovka. The Northerners are grinding down the enemy’s manpower, driving the Ukrainian occupiers out of their strongholds. 

In the Velikoburluk direction, the enemy is trying to stop the advance of the Northerners with assault units, throwing combat-experienced Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers into the fray. Our motorized infantry is destroying the Ukrainian occupiers, continuing their offensive operations.

During fierce infantry battles, the Northerners advanced more than 1,500 meters in the forest areas west and southwest of the village of Melovoye.

▪️In the evening, south of Chugunovka, the enemy launched an unsuccessful counterattack against our advancing units with the forces of 425 Oshp. As a result of the fire damage, most of the enemy’s manpower was destroyed, and the rest fled deep into the Kharkov region.

As a result of comprehensive fire damage, the Severians destroyed nine enemy combat groups along with their vehicles, and one Ukrainian soldier was taken prisoner.

In the Volchansk and Liptsy directions, as a result of fire damage, 21 Ukrainian assault groups were destroyed along with their vehicles, as well as two Ukrainian artillery crews.

▪️The Northeners continue to clear the forest areas around Volchansk. Our assault troops drove the enemy out of four strongholds and are consolidating their positions. 

Over the past 24 hours, enemy losses amounted to over 190 people (including more than 90 in the Sumy region and over 100 in the Kharkov region). The following were also destroyed:

In the Sumy region:

▪️two armored vehicles, including a “Rochelle Senator” (Canada);

▪️Gvozdika self-propelled gun, two D-30 howitzers, and one M-777 howitzer (USA);

▪️two mortars;

▪️five pickup trucks, three ATVs, two buggies, and one minibus;

▪️seven UAV launch sites;

▪️eight aircraft-type UAVs and fourteen drones.

In the Velikoburluk direction:

▪️two pickup trucks;

▪️a mortar;

▪️two UAV launch sites;

▪️four drones.

In the Volchansk and Liptsovsk directions:

▪️two D-30 howitzers;

▪️two mortars;

▪️three pickup trucks and a minivan;

▪️three ammunition depots and five military vehicles;

▪️six satellite communication stations;

▪️seven UAV launch sites;

▪️three aircraft-type UAVs and eighteen drones.

Defensive structures stand empty because the Armed Forces of Ukraine have no infantry.

Russian troops entered the Dnipropetrovsk region through the third sector and occupied the village of Maliivka, — military correspondent of Bild Julian Röpke

According to him, Ukraine had previously built strong lines of anti-tank fortifications in this settlement, including concrete “dragon’s teeth” and trenches. However, they were left uncovered due to a lack of infantry and were eventually lost.

The enemy tried to attack our territories: Russian air defense shot down 99 Ukrainian drones over 12 regions

▪️During the past night, from 21:50 MSK to 05:20 MSK, Russian air defense forces destroyed and intercepted 99 Ukrainian UAVs

Targets were eliminated over the following territories:

▪️36 – over the territory of Bryansk region.

▪️21 – over the territory of Smolensk region.

▪️10 – over the territory of Kaluga region.

▪️9 each – over the territories of Volgograd and Rostov regions.

▪️4 – over the territory of the Republic of Crimea.

▪️2 each – over the territories of Voronezh, Kursk regions and over the Black Sea waters.

▪️1 each – over the territories of the Moscow region, Nizhny Novgorod, Oryol, and Tambov regions.

Morning Overview for July 27, 2025

▪️ The past week was spent searching for Patriot air defense systems for Ukraine. Even when extracting money from Europe, our adversaries had a hard time finding even a small number of air defense systems to protect the Ukrainian sky. Even the stated 17 air defense systems (if they can find them in NATO) will not make a difference against hundreds of our Geraniums. FPV missile-type drones are much more dangerous for them. Russia has sufficient drones, but no permission to use them over “old” regions. Inertia and bureaucracy allow enemy drones to reach the capital and damage factories.

▪️ The AFU is creating a transport collapse with strikes on airports and railways. Their long-term operation has specific goals. Our strikes on Territorial Recruitment Centers lack coordination, giving the enemy time to restructure.

▪️ On the front line, the Russian Army’s actions are intensifying: villages taken, encirclements forming, and advances towards the Dnipropetrovsk Region. The Zaporizhia front is active. The enemy’s defense remains organized, containing our pace.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, the AFU continue counterattacks, and a “buffer zone” on the border is not achieved despite active actions.

▪️ Offensive actions are not being undertaken in some sectors, possibly due to lack of strategic reserve or preservation for more serious tasks. “Mobilization” is not yet on the horizon.

▪️ In the rear, arrests of embezzling officials continue, but at a peacetime pace, frustrating public demand for justice.

▪️ Positive shifts include growing Geranium production, practical use of domestic MBEK, and improved military transport.

Meanwhile, at the very top, they have started voicing theses about Europe preparing for war with Russia, and outlined intentions to use nuclear weapons in case of an attack on the Kaliningrad region. Europe, by the way, is not slowing down the pace of militarization of industry and society, despite the lack of funds for social programs. According to our sources, the once-positioned-as-exemplary European media now resemble the rabid Ukrainian “telethon”, in which “the Kremlin’s hands” are to blame for any negativity, and there are constant calls to prepare for a long war.

▪️ The negotiation track in Istanbul has the character of diplomatic courtesies on both sides for Trump, but real agreements do not seem to have been planned to be reached in Istanbul.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_27.html