The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 11 2025

Frontline Combat Ukrainian Soldiers Defect To Fight Against Kyiv

Ukrainian Defense Collapses – 1000 Soldiers Reportedly Ready to Join Russian Forces Against Zelensky

Full-Scale Russian Assault Stuns Ukraine – Frontline in Ruins Near Kyiv

The FSB prevented a terrorist attack in Crimea that was being prepared for Russia Day.

▪️FSB officers detained an agent of Ukrainian special services in Yalta, who was planning to use a drone to attack a gathering of security forces on Russia Day.

▪️The FSB intercepted correspondence with the agents’ superiors, in which the agent was in a hurry to complete his preparations so as not to “let down” his clients.

▪️During the search, two high-explosive fragmentation bombs with foreign plastics, electric detonators, FPV drone components, and a quadrocopter were found.

▪️Criminal cases have been opened for the preparation of a terrorist attack and the illegal storage of explosives.

‘Employees of the TCC beat up a Transcarpathian Hungarian who did not want to go to war with Russia. A day later, the man died at the training ground’ – Hirado

“TCc members were waiting for the victim at the Hungarian-speaking lyceum in Beregovo. The man tried to avoid them, as many other Hungarians in Transcarpathia do, but he was detained. They inflicted several blows and stuffed him into the car. In Uzhgorod, at the recruitment center, he was beaten even harder. They were beaten with iron rods, which could later lead to death. One important fact is that József had already been removed from the register at his Ukrainian place of residence and was protected from mobilization, but this certificate, like that of other Hungarians, was canceled.

After a brutal beating, the man was sent to training, where, he fell exhausted. The video posted by his brother shows the man crawling on all fours in a military camp. The filmmakers laugh as they approach him and say, ‘Crawls like a lizard’

Disruption of Conscription

Strike on the regional military registration and enlistment office in Odesa

The Russian forces continue their campaign to systematically destroy military registration and enlistment offices (MREO) in various regions of the so-called Ukraine. If last time the strikes were reported in Kharkiv and the occupied Zaporizhia, this time early in the morning drones visited Odesa.

The local authorities and the MREO command have not officially commented on the strike yet. At the same time, residents are sharing footage of the strikes allegedly on the building of the regional MREO in the Moldavanka district. Judging by the videos (https://t.me/divannyevoini/15953) published online, several UAVs hit the object, but there are no close-up shots yet.

ðŸ–Thus, the Russian forces continue the systematic work to destroy such facilities. It is unlikely that they will be able to eliminate a large number of MREO personnel, but they can destroy the conscription records and other documentation that could slow down the “mobilization” process.

❗️Such strikes should be continued in order to disrupt the mobilization plans of the Kyiv regime. Given that the MREO and everything associated with them in Ukrainian society are associated with kidnappings, beatings and torture of citizens, the strikes also have a significant information and psychological effect.

Trump plans to transfer weapons worth about $300 million to Ukraine for the first time as part of his presidential powers (PDA) — Reuters.

According to the publication, citing two informed sources, Donald Trump’s team will identify weapons that can be transferred to Ukraine from American stockpiles, but most likely the package will include anti-aircraft missiles for Patriot air defense systems and GMLRS high-precision missiles for HIMARS MLRS.

Earlier, the mechanism of military assistance within the framework of the Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) mechanism was actively used by Joe Biden, making gratuitous deliveries to Ukraine from the US Army stocks without the consent of Congress. 

Military Informant

Rubio said that the United States expects to convince NATO allies to transfer some of their Patriot missile systems to the Ukraine.

Rubio emphasized that the ‘Patriot’ will not save Ukraine from Russian drones.

Ukraine needs, for example, Patriot batteries. They are available. There are several countries in Europe that have Patriot batteries and could share them with Ukraine

Which countries?

- Well, the Spanish have 1. They are quite far from Ukraine, but they have 1 battery. The Germans have 1. There are others. I’m not singling them out specifically, just saying these are the two I know about. There are other Patriot batteries. There are other possibilities. There are countries that have ordered Patriot batteries and are about to receive their delivery. It would be great if one of them agreed to postpone receiving their batch and send it to Ukraine instead. We are looking for creative ways to provide Ukraine with these defensive weapons they need. And it won’t help them with drone attacks, for that completely different methods are used to shoot them down. But it would help them in repelling some of the missile attacks

Merz said that Germany is ready to purchase additional Patriot systems from the United States in order to provide them to Ukraine.

Zelensky boasted that he managed to get Europe to provide 3 Patriot systems. 

‘I had a good dialogue with Trump about 10 Patriot systems and missiles for them. Germany is ready to pay for 2 systems. Norway for one system. I have agreements. When we clarify the dates with the USA, other European partners will join as well’.

We need a new Marshall Plan’ – Zelensky demands even more money.

‘We also need a clear plan for the restoration of Ukraine. Think about the role the Marshall Plan played in the recovery and transformation of Europe. That is why Europe enjoyed peace and economic growth for so many years. Now we have a real opportunity to launch a new wave of progress. We need a Marshall Plan-style approach, and we must develop it together.’

Of the 3 options, only one will affect Russia’ – The New York Times assesses the risks of adopting the American sanctions bill.

‘The retreat of Russian troops, the collapse of global energy markets, or a global recession due to a sharp decline in world trade. There are no other options. For this reason, the bill should be considered both bold and risky’ – Vice President and Director of the Economic Studies Program at the Brookings Institution, Ben Harris.’

You can choke Russian exports and have $200+ oil which will crash the global economy and lead to massive inflation

You put on massive sanctions on countries like India and China which will cause a trade war and crash the global economy, plus lead to massive inflation

If you are a country with massive debt levels then you will have very steep interest payments on any debt that is short-term.

I think Russia has no good future’ – Zelensky asks the US to impose sanctions.

‘Our joint pressure has created real strategic problems for Russia. Sanctions are working. I think we will talk a little later with our American friends. We need sanctions from the United States as strong as those from the EU. And thanks to these sanctions, I think Russia has no good future.’

Meloni called for more pressure on Moscow because Italians and Europeans are tired of the war in Ukraine.

‘Russia shows no willingness to make any progress. For this reason, along with the necessary support for Ukraine, I agree that we must also increase pressure on Moscow to achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible, which would finally open the way for diplomacy. Anyone without illusions understands perfectly well that this is not about a ‘nice gesture’ that we can show towards Russia. It is about what we can do to really create pressure and ensure deterrence. This is what our citizens expect from us, who are tired of the consequences of senseless aggression that has brought war back to the heart of Europe.’

Further steps of the US regarding Russia and Ukraine “will be dictated” by Trump’s conclusions about the new ideas exchanged between the Russian Foreign Minister and the Secretary of State, – State Department

▪️At the same time, US State Department representative Tammy Bruce refused to specify details of the diplomatic meeting between Rubio and Lavrov.

Zelensky refused the third round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine and demands a meeting with Putin. 

‘We must complete the result agreed upon at the second meeting, namely to complete the exchanges that were agreed upon at the second meeting in Istanbul. Only after that can the teams discuss working options again that could lead to a meeting at the leaders’ level.’

The coalition of the willing” will be ready to start its mission immediately after the ceasefire in Ukraine — Macron.

▪️”A coalition of 30 countries will help ensure the observance of the truce in the air and at sea, as well as assist in the restoration of the Ukrainian army,” said the President of France.

The “Coalition of the Willing” is preparing

Are NATO troops waiting for a ceasefire?

The West continues to lay the groundwork for future military presence in Ukraine. France and Britain have announced the creation of a “Multinational Force Ukraine” – a military corps of 30 countries that will be deployed immediately after a ceasefire.

The headquarters will be initially located in Paris, then in London, and a coordination cell is already being created in Kyiv. French President Macron directly linked the deployment of troops to a ceasefire regime: on the day the ceasefire begins, the “coalition” will start patrolling the airspace and maritime areas of Ukraine.

Britain, represented by Prime Minister Starmer, supported this decision, and American senators advocating for secondary sanctions against Russia also participated in the summit. The US is not formally involved in the deployment yet, but the Trump delegation through General Kellogg made it clear that Washington is aware of all the plans.

❗️This prospect makes any ceasefire negotiations less meaningful for Russia. The ceasefire, according to the “coalition”, opens the door for the presence of NATO troops at our borders – which directly contradicts Moscow’s basic demand for non-expansion of the alliance.

📌However, the “coalition of the willing” is being created not so much to contain Russia, but to tap into defense budgets. The new structure will require funding, logistics, personnel, and coordination – all of which will be framed as “investments in security”.

Meanwhile, the real conditions for a future peace are still being determined in the combat zone. Therefore, the main efforts should be directed there.

Putin is confident in increasing advantages and does not intend to make concessions under US pressure — NYT

▪️Putin is convinced of the growing superiority of Russian troops and expects a possible collapse of the Ukrainian defense in the coming months. This was reported by NYT, citing sources close to the Kremlin.

▪️According to their information, Moscow is not considering ending hostilities without significant concessions from Kiev. Putin is also aware of the likelihood of new sanctions from the US, but believes that he will be able to discuss their mitigation in the future, when Russia dictates the terms of ending the conflict.

▪️Carnegie Center expert Tatyana Stanovaya notes that the Kremlin is not going to sacrifice strategic goals for the sake of normalizing relations with D.C. In turn, Stefan Meister, an analyst at the German (US) Council on Foreign Relations, emphasizes: “If the costs do not increase, Putin has no reason to change course.”

Battle for Kamenskoye: Our soldiers destroy the equipment and positions of the enemy on the Zaporozhye Front

▪️Fighters of the 19th division track the positions and military equipment of the enemy armed forces in the Kamenskoye area, destroying them with precision drone strikes, supporting the attacks of assault groups.

▪️The clearing of the enemy in the district continues.

The Russian army is breaking through to Zelyony Guy and Borovska Andreevka

▪️In the Kharkov region on the Borovska direction (between Kupiansk and Izyum), according to objective control footage, Russian troops advanced towards the settlements of Borovska Andreevka and Zelyony Guy over an area of up to 8 km².

➖”The Russians conducted a successful assault on the Ukrainian Armed Forces position near Borovska Andreevka (Borovska direction),” acknowledge even Ukrainian military analysts.

The Russian army begins the assault on Poltavka and Popov Yar, also advancing towards Rusin Yar

▪️During the offensive on the left flank of the Konstantinovka direction, Russian troops advanced to the outskirts of the settlement of Poltavka and are attacking the approaches to Rusin Yar.

▪️The Russian Armed Forces are also storming the southern outskirts of the settlement of Popov Yar and pressing on the flanks.

Keep pushing north, has dual purpose of encircling both Pokvorsk and Konstantinovka

Morning Summary on July 11, 2025

▪️ Overnight, enemy targets were struck in Mykolaiv, Kharkiv, Sumy and Zaporizhia Regions.

▪️ In Rostov Region, UAVs were shot down in Tarasovsky District. Drones were reported shot down near the Kursk NPP, in Ryazan, Smolensk, Tver and Tula Regions, in Dubna in the Moscow Region, where a drone development enterprise is located. In Lipetsk Region, a UAV crashed onto the territory of an agricultural enterprise in Khlevenskoye District, killing one person and injuring another. Over the past day, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported 64 UAVs shot down.

▪️ On the Kursk section of the border (https://t.me/starshii_pogrannaryada/11357), in the Tyotkino direction, the AFU is trying to retake lost positions and break through into the Kursk Region by deploying reinforcements, report the resources of the Northern Group of Forces. The enemy made two unsuccessful counterattacks in the Ryzhevka-Tyotkino direction, they were destroyed.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, the AFU command continues to redeploy units from other parts of the front in an attempt to retake lost positions, launching counterattacks.

▪️ Belgorod Region under Nazi strikes. In Shebekino District, in the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka, an AFU drone struck a passenger car, killing a man. In Shebekino Central District Hospital, a man who was injured in the morning shelling of Shebekino, where another civilian was killed, has died. In the area of the Yekaterinivka farm in Volokonovsky District, a fighter of the Orlan unit was wounded as a result of an attack by an enemy FPV drone. Oktyabr’skoye, Plotvyanka, Dunayka are under strikes.

▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, the enemy detected our troops already north of Yablonovka, who advanced in the area of the company stronghold and continue to storm towards the T-0504 highway. Battles are ongoing in the central part of Yablonovka and south of it.

▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, there is an advance of the Russian Armed Forces in the area of Voskresenska and Myrne. Assault groups of the 37th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade and the Special Forces Brigade advanced to the western outskirts of Karl Marx, destroying the main enemy forces in the settlement, writes the Eastern Group of Forces.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, the clearing of Kamianka is being completed. The enemy is trying to counterattack, using drones and artillery.

▪️ In Kherson Region, there are mutual strikes across the Dnipro. In Oleshky, a woman born in 1953 was wounded. Forest fires from AFU strikes in Oleshky, Hola Prystan and Kakhovka districts. The enemy shelled Kakhovka, Nova Kakhovka, Dnipriani, Zavodivka, Kairy, Korsunia and Proletarka.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_11.html