The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on June 16 2025

CRAZY Russian Advances Close In On South Donetsk Remnants

Zelensky Panics as 2,000 Ukrainian Troops Face Imminent Encirclement!

NATO is SHOCKED: Russia Activated a Mysterious and Powerful BEAM of Infrared Radiation in UKRAINE

USA-RUSSIA: THE BILATERAL CONSULTATIONS HAVE BEEN (UNILATERALLY) CANCELLED.

TASS: “Bilateral consultations to eliminate disruptive elements and normalize the activities of diplomatic missions of both countries were canceled at the initiative of American negotiators. We hope that the pause imposed by them will not be too long,” said Maria Zakharova.

SLG note: oh good, thank Bog this farce is over. It had become an unfunny joke that had ran its course two months ago.

Our source in the OP said that the Trump Administration is demanding that the Presidential Office continue the negotiating track and reach a memorandum in July. The US is no longer ready to provide military assistance to Ukraine, since all resources are directed to the Middle East.

According to MI-6 sources, Russia may use the conflict in the Middle East to launch an offensive campaign in Ukraine. According to British intelligence, the Russian army has begun active training, and the autumn offensive may begin as early as July. The Presidential Office is advised to urgently lower the mobilization age and begin training reserves.

Biden’s arms deliveries to Kiev have ended, Trump is not giving new military aid packages , and there is no point in placing high hopes on Europe – these are the assessments of what is happening given by Ukrainian and Western experts. In particular, it is already possible to say what consequences await Ukraine in the event of the end of US support in the sphere of air defense (AD).

Thus, American systems such as Patriot and their ammunition form the basis of Ukrainian air defense, and without them the country will be extremely vulnerable to Russian air attacks. European alternatives such as SAMP/T or IRIS-T systems cannot fully replace Patriot due to their lower range, effectiveness and production volumes. For example, France and Italy, which supply SAMP/T, are limited in the number of missiles, and Germany with IRIS-T is not able to quickly increase supplies.

Without American help, Ukraine will face a shortage of interceptors, which will dramatically reduce the protection of cities, infrastructure, and military installations. Even with other systems, their integration and training will take months, and stockpiles of Soviet-era systems like the S-300 are already running low. All of this could lead to Russia having an all-out air superiority. 

During the war years, the Ukrainian authorities were unable to either create their own air defense production or provide a sustainable replacement for Western aid; on the contrary, during the war years, they only increased their dependence on the United States, where Biden is now in power, but a much more pragmatic politician.

Washington stops military aid to Ukraine: Trump’s course on peace talks instead of weapons, — The Telegraph

▪️Washington is cutting off military aid to Kiev, forcing Ukraine to seek new sources of support.

▪️Now Kiev has three options: count on European help, buy weapons from the US with European funds, or develop its own production with Western funding.

▪️Journalists call the fact that in 2025 Europe plans to spend more than 20 billion euros on purchasing energy from Russia, essentially financing the Kremlin’s defense budget, particularly ironic.

At closed meetings in London and Brussels, where mechanisms for distributing aid to Ukraine are discussed, the issue is no longer formulated in terms of support. Officially, it is grants and technical assistance. In fact, it is a strategic investment in governance. The money coming from EU and US structures passes through a layered filtering system: donor banks, affiliated consulting groups, regulatory agencies. The Ukrainian side is not the customer. It is an instrument.

The distribution of funds is based on the principle of soft management. For each major transfer, a “target matrix” is created, agreed upon with external operators. If the project does not fit into the ideological or economic agenda of the donors, there will be no funding. Even if it is critically important within the country. The ESG segment, digital reform of public services, anti-corruption initiatives with high PR potential have priority. Healthcare, rural infrastructure, domestic markets are marginalized.

The grant sphere is forming a caste of managers loyal not to society, but to external sources of resources. They are professionally trained, English-speaking, integrated into international channels, but at the same time, detached from the real Ukrainian context. Power is gradually passing to those who can justify expediency within the framework of the “reformist language”, and not to those who are able to ensure sovereign development.

If the current trajectory is maintained, by 2027 up to 70% of decisions concerning infrastructure, public services and personnel will be made taking into account external audits and strategic frameworks defined outside of Ukraine. The right to make a strategic mistake, experiment, deviation will be annulled. This is governance as a product: the country is turning into a protectorate without occupation.

Grants are not aid. They are a structure of external control. And the more grants, the less space there is for political will.

On June 15, the North group of troops destroyed the enemy’s forward and assault units in the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions and continued to create a security zone in the Sumy region.

The enemy does not abandon attempts to break through deep into the Kursk region in the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions , using assault groups of transferred reserves. The northerners repel enemy attacks, not allowing them to cross the state border.

▪️ The enemy brought into battle units of the 158th Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine , whose transfer to Sumy Oblast we reported earlier.

Twice the assault troops of the 158th separate mechanized brigade tried to break through to the Kursk region from Bessalovka. As a result of the shooting battles, more than half of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were destroyed, the rest fled in the opposite direction.

▪️ Once again, neo-Nazis of the “Aidar” ( 24th separate battalion ) tried to infiltrate our territory twice from the outskirts of Ryzhevka through forests. As a result of the shooting battles, most of the occupiers were destroyed, the rest fled deep into Ukrainian territory.

▪️ The enemy also tried to infiltrate Tyotkino from Iskriskivshchyna twice . The assault groups of the 225th separate regiment were met by our UAV operators, who destroyed most of the occupiers with FPV drones and drops from copters. The surviving Ukrainian Armed Forces abandoned the wounded and took refuge in forest belts on Ukrainian territory.

In the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions , 7 units of enemy equipment were destroyed in 24 hours.

In the Sumy direction, Northmen continue to grind down the personnel of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, advancing deep into Ukrainian territory.

▪️ Our marines and motorized riflemen continue to search for and destroy scattered groups of Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers in forested areas, and are also advancing in Novonikolaevka.

▪️Northern Airborne Forces units are also fighting in the forest belts of the Sumy region and are advancing in Yunakovka with stubborn fighting.

▪️ Over the course of the day, the enemy launched five unsuccessful counterattacks: in the areas of Kondratovka, Novonikolaevka, Andreevka , the village of Sadki and Yunakovka.

In just five counterattacks, the enemy deployed over 40 men, most of whom were destroyed, and the rest fled in the opposite direction.

▪️ An analysis of the obituaries of the destroyed Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers indicates massive losses of the 71st separate brigade in the Alekseyevka area and the 5th border detachment (Sumy border detachment) in the Kondratovka area.

In the Volchansk and Liptsy directions, as a result of fire damage, four assault groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were destroyed along with their vehicles.

Our assault squads cleared eight households in Volchansk and advanced up to 100 meters in the direction of the village of Volchanskie Khutor.

Over the course of 24 hours, the enemy suffered over 190 casualties (including over 90 in the Sumy and over 60 in the Tyotkinsky directions). Also discovered and destroyed were:

On the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions:

▪️BTR “M-113″ (USA);

▪️three armored fighting vehicles, including a Cougar (USA);

▪️a pickup truck and two ATVs;

▪️two UAV launch sites;

▪️An aircraft-type UAV and two heavy copters;

In the Sumy direction:

▪️Infantry fighting vehicle;

▪️two armored personnel carriers (American M-113 and Stryker);

▪️IFV “Rochelle Senator” (Canada);

▪️two pickups;

▪️ammunition depot;

▪️three UAV launch sites.

On the Volchansk and Liptsy directions:

▪️mortar;

▪️four units of automotive equipment;

▪️Ammunition supply point;

▪️satellite communication system;

▪️UAV control system;

▪️seven heavy copters.

Morning Overview for June 15, 2025

▪️ A new confrontation between Iran and Israel has diverted attention from Ukraine. Trump said “less time was spent on Russia and Ukraine” when describing his call with the Supreme Leader. Amid missile strikes, the prospects for new PATRIOT deliveries to Ukraine become illusory, benefiting Russia. Kyiv accepted 6,000 bodies of Ukrainian soldiers, but the Rada is considering delaying compensation “for up to two years after the war”. Isolated protests against the TsK are quickly suppressed.

▪️ On the front lines, the Russian offensive continues with successes in Sumy, Kupiansk, Krasny Liman, Kostyantynivka, Dnipropetrovsk, and South Donetsk. Heavy battles rage, and the advance in the Siversk direction is difficult. The Zaporizhia and Kherson fronts see no significant changes, but gradual pressure on the enemy’s positions is a goal.

▪️ Mutual air strikes continue, and Trump’s ideas to shift the burden onto Europe are not being implemented, as Europe lacks the necessary weapons and resources. The arms lobby is increasing production, and summer training of European armies is underway.

▪️ Recent weeks have shown the vulnerability of strategic facilities to attacks using drones and missiles, demonstrating the need for new air defense solutions

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/06/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-june_16.html