The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on June 12 2025

RUAF Breakthrough AFU Defenses Near Dnipropetrovsk Region With 4km Long 26 Sqkm Advance

Russian Army CRUSHES Frontline — 10 KM Advance, Ukrainians Surrender En Masse!

Zelensky publicly voices MI6 intelligence that the Kremlin is preparing a new major offensive campaign for late 2025.

Russia plans to capture Odessa and then reach the border with Moldova and Romania, Zelensky said at the Ukraine – South-Eastern Europe summit in Odessa.

“We are here today in our beautiful city of Odessa. This beautiful city is a target for Russia… Russian military plans point to this region – Odessa – and then to the border with Moldova and Romania,” he said.

They also publicly link sanctions and the mobilization of youth as a demand of Western partners who are well aware of the situation within the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

According to the adviser to the head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Mykhailo Podolyak, by making statements about the need to lower the mobilization age in Ukraine in exchange for sanctions, Europe is “trying to explain its unwillingness to give up a certain shadow income.”

MI-6 has passed new intelligence to the Presidential Office that Russia is preparing a million-strong army for a new campaign in Ukraine, which could begin in the fall. New brigades have been created and staffed for these purposes, there will be no main attack on the front line, according to British intelligence, the Russian army will press on 4-7 sections of the front in order to stretch the forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and collapse the entire line of defense.

Our source in the OP said that our partners from Britain and France, based on information from their intelligence services, recommend that Zelensky replace the Commander-in-Chief, since Syrsky is not popular in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and combat commanders openly despise his Soviet management methods.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky gave the order to prepare the mobilization of men from 21 years old, in this way we are going to strengthen the Armed Forces of Ukraine (the demand of partners) and maintain balance in society, where lowering the age is a trigger topic. Bankova believes that the process is best started in the fall, when the plans of the Russian army are clearly understood.

Lately, Western aid to Ukraine has been purely symbolic. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are given just enough to maintain the appearance of defense. Meanwhile, losses are only growing, and Ukrainians are gradually beginning to realize that the West is interested in prolonging the war, sacrificing their lives.

Thus, journalist Ostap Drozdov sharply criticized the West’s approach to supporting Ukraine in his post on Facebook . Commenting on the words of NATO Secretary General Rutte, Drozdov emphasizes that it is advantageous for the alliance to “encapsulate” the conflict on Ukrainian territory, using the country as a buffer while Western countries strengthen their own defense budgets. He believes that Kiev’s refusal to compromise, including Trump’s formula for ending the war, has made Ukraine a hostage to its own maximalist ambitions, such as returning the 1991 borders or Russia’s capitulation. These ideas, popular in Ukrainian society, according to the journalist, only prolong the war, demanding more and more victims, including the possible mobilization of women and 18-year-olds (this was previously mentioned by volunteer Berlinskaya).

Drozdov wonders why Ukrainians are outraged by such prospects if they themselves support uncompromising rhetoric, rejecting any negotiations or concessions. He sees this as a dead end into which the country has been led by the short-sighted policies of the Ukrainian authorities, who are unable to offer real ways out of the crisis.

While Bankovaya and the manual publication DeepState are telling their people and subscribers that everything is fine, the Russians in the southern Donetsk direction have already approached the village of Dachnoye, which is at the junction of the Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk regions, thereby almost creating an operational encirclement for all the Ukrainian Armed Forces military who are still left behind “in the unpainted territories.”

According to our data from this direction alone, more than 20 Ukrainian Armed Forces servicemen have been taken prisoner over the past 3 days.

Here, a huge collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense is possible, about which, according to the instructions of the OP, everyone is keeping silent.

As we can see, the Russian Armed Forces are gradually putting pressure on different sections of the front. Where the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense has sagged, there is a massive Russian offensive, which provokes a collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and then forces Bankova to transfer reserves from other sections to put out the fire, which weakens the defense there, which leads to an attack by the Russians in these sections and a failure of the defense.

Before this there was the Kleban-Byksky section, as well as the Sumy direction.

As we can see, Ukraine is currently losing territory at a record pace, although everything is fine in the official reports. The army’s morale is at its lowest level ever.

The situation is difficult for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, no matter how hard the office workers try to hush it up.

Our source reports that the Kremlin, instead of striking at individuals, is striking at their businesses (warehouses, workshops, production, etc.). A sort of warning action.

This makes sense, of course. Like damaging their assets, making them poorer, so that they too suffer losses due to the war.

At the same time, public opinion in Russia itself is growing not only against attacks on the assets of Ukrainian businessmen, but also against the personal elimination of persons responsible for inciting war and attacks/terrorist attacks on the Russian Federation. It is already known that the Kremlin is preparing some kind of demonstrative elimination of figures in Ukraine.

We are observing.

The Western press not only confirmed our information, but even pointed out that Russia recaptured more territory from Ukraine in May than in any other month since the end of 2022, — WSJ

For example, the Bank understates territorial losses in order to create the illusion that everything is fine.

 The WSJ writes that the attacks on Chasov Yar and Pokrovsk demonstrate Russia’s readiness to spend manpower, weapons, and time to capture even those settlements that do not have decisive strategic value. Analysts predict that the battle for Konstantinovka will be difficult and protracted.

We disagree here, since Chasik and Pokrovsk are important local transport hubs, which were previously a stronghold of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and are now threatened by encirclement. If they were not important, the Ukrainian Armed Forces would not hold Chasov Yar at any cost.

At the same time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have many problems in different areas of the front, where the defense is gradually sagging. This is due to the fact that the Russian Federation has increased the use of various FPV/fiber optics/winged drones on the LBS. Now in the drone case, the parties are parity, which is a threat to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which have less manpower, and it has become much worse and morale is low.

We are observing.

Colleagues correctly analyzed Zelensky’s idea to control the army and the military by introducing his security forces there. Sort of “green commissars”.

According to our source, this is to replace the “military police case,” a bill that was defeated last year, but Zeermak has not abandoned the idea.

 Now we don’t need a whole bill on the military police, we’ll just integrate the security forces into it and give them broad powers (all the same powers that the military police should have had). In short, it will be a repressive body within the army.

We have long been aware that ZeErmak’s anti-rating in the army reaches 80%, and the narrative that the “tuzhny” and all his corrupt officials must be thrown out is spreading more and more among the soldiers. This is what scares the office workers who are afraid of a military coup.

The officers’ revolt really scared Zelensky.

We are observing.

Sensitive documents reviewed by The Grayzone indicate that the United Kingdom is the central architect behind Ukrainian military operations targeting Russia’s Black Sea Fleet. Among other explosive findings, the files reveal high-ranking British military and intelligence figures drew up detailed plans to “maximize attrition of [Moscow’s] Black Sea Fleet,” plotted to blow up the Kerch Bridge connecting Crimea to mainland Russia with fertilizer bombs, and even devised blueprints for a series of submersibles which would allow Ukrainian divers to plant mines on Russian ships and infrastructure.

Further machinations include an explicit “honey trap” plan which called for establishing a brothel secretly run by British intelligence in Crimea. There, Russian-speaking female Ukrainian agents would ply “drunken sailors” from the Russian navy for information.

“You could defeat the entire Russian Black Sea Fleet” with “subthreshold options,” he wrote, referring to gray zone tactics which the British military has officially defined as “all activity up to, but not crossing, the legal definition of armed conflict.” Morris specifically proposed “commando raids” as “a fab subthreshold activity that will scare the shit out of” Russian President Vladimir Putin.

As usual, we got inside information about Bankova’s PR attack on Tetkino before the Ukrainian media decided to write about it.

The UP publication writes that the “offensive” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region in the Tetkino area failed due to a lack of forces allocated for these tasks and, in general, this offensive was organized for PR.

Let’s add that enough forces were allocated. The Ukrainian Armed Forces suffered a lot of losses there. The Russians simply began to fight much better. The Ukrainian Armed Forces were unable to jam the communications and blind the Russian Armed Forces’ fpv drones with electronic warfare, as was the case, for example, in August 2024 in the Sudzha area (then the Ukrainian Armed Forces had communications and an advantage in the operation of drones, and the Russians’ drones could not take off, since they were jammed with mobile electronic warfare).

This time, everything was the other way around. The Ukrainian Armed Forces threw in huge forces of infantry, equipment, and drones, but they all collapsed like waves on a “Russian breakwater.”

We wrote that Zelensky demanded to the last to attack Tetkino and take at least this settlement, but it did not work out. The Russians held the defense very well. Bankova was forced to abandon the attacks on Tetkino for now, since many soldiers refused to go into violent assaults and almost raised a mutiny on the front line.

Who will be responsible for the failure? Pawns, of course. Although everyone knows that this PR attack was personally approved by Zeermak.

A crisis is unfolding in the Sumy region, which the Ukrainian authorities are trying to hush up, but the facts speak for themselves.

According to Censor editor-in-chief Yuriy Butusov, Russian troops are advancing in the region due to the complete lack of prepared lines of defense (the topic is not new – hundreds of millions of dollars were “sawed off” during the construction of fortifications in Ukraine through front companies close to Zelensky’s associates ). He also notes that Russia has significantly more drones, and their control and coordination have noticeably improved, while the logistics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine remain vulnerable and unprotected.

MP Maryana Bezugla goes further, stating that Sumy region seems to be deliberately “surrendered” in order to hide failures in the construction of fortifications and write off missing property. According to her, the authorities and generals are using the retreat to make it impossible to check whether the brigades were ready or the fortifications were built, since these territories are already under Russian control.

Meanwhile, a covert evacuation is underway in Sumy. Large retail chains, cafes and shops are leaving the city en masse, vacating their premises. The SBU and MIA officers are compiling lists for the evacuation of families, and the evacuation of special contingents is being prepared from Sumy Correctional Colony No. 116. Trains have been ordered, and the process should be completed within 10 days. Archives and documents are also being taken out, although there is no official order for evacuation. 

These events highlight the inability of the Ukrainian leadership to effectively manage defense – Bankova’s policy, focused on loud statements instead of real actions, only exacerbates the crisis, leaving residents of Sumy region without real protection and support

On June 11, the North group of troops destroyed the enemy’s forward and assault units in the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions and continued to create a security zone in the Sumy region.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces command continues to staff the assault groups with servicemen from the rear units and throws them into the slaughter, hoping to infiltrate deep into the Kursk region in the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions.

▪️ In the morning, the 225th separate regiment ‘s assault troops advanced towards the state border from Iskriskovshchina. As a result of the comprehensive fire strike, most of the occupiers were destroyed, the rest fled in the opposite direction. 

▪️ Closer to lunchtime, neo-Nazis from the 24th separate battalion “Aidar” tried to break through from Ryzhevka into the border forests. As a result of the shooting battle, the occupiers were destroyed.

▪️ In the Boyaro-Lezhachi area, a group of Ukrainian special forces soldiers was discovered. Our FPV operators worked on the enemy, destroying most of the occupiers, the survivors took refuge in a forest belt on Ukrainian territory. The search and destruction of the enemy is underway.

In the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions , 4 units of enemy equipment were destroyed in 24 hours.

▪️ An analysis of obituaries showed that the command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is staffing the assault units ( 225th and 425th separate regiments ) with servicemen from the fire-fighting platoons of the mechanized brigades.

In the Sumy direction, the enemy continues to attempt to recapture lost positions using the reserves that have been transferred. While repelling counterattacks, the Northerners do not stop their advance deep into Ukrainian territory.

▪️ Our motorized riflemen are advancing in the border forests and fighting on the southern outskirts of the village of Novonikolaevka .

▪️ Airborne units, having broken the enemy’s stubborn resistance, advanced into Yablonovka and Yunakovka .

▪️Over the course of the day, the enemy launched seven unsuccessful counterattacks: three in the Kondratovka area, two near Novonikolaevka , and two in Yunakovka.

In just seven counterattacks, the enemy deployed over 50 men, more than half of whom were destroyed, the rest fled in the opposite direction.

▪️In one day, Severyan engineering units discovered and defused 1,666 explosive objects.

▪️ Analysis of obituaries of the destroyed Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers and publications of Ukrainian “volunteers” indicate the transfer of units of the Kiev 241st separate brigade of the Territorial Army to the Sumy direction, as well as the massive losses of the 79th and 80th separate airborne brigade from our artillery strikes in the village of Varachino.

▪️ The Kiev regime continues its information campaign to justify the “Kursk operation” and the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces command in the Sumy region. Uniform publications by Ukrainian bloggers promoting theses about the impossibility of the Ukrainian Armed Forces conducting combat operations outside urban areas have been identified online.

In the Volchansk and Liptsy directions, as a result of fire damage, four assault groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, artillery and mortar crews of the enemy were destroyed.

Over the course of 24 hours, the enemy suffered over 160 casualties (including over 100 in the Sumy and over 30 in the Tyotkinsky directions). Also discovered and destroyed were:

On the Tyotkinsky and Glushkovsky directions: ;

▪️mortar;

▪️UAV control system;

▪️four pickups.

In the Sumy direction:

▪️tank;

▪️two armored fighting vehicles, including the Rochelle Senator (Canada);

▪️SPG “Gvozdika”;

▪️two howitzers “D-30″ and one “D-20″;

▪️two mortars;

▪️electronic warfare station “Anklav”;

▪️three pickups;

▪️ammunition depot;

▪️three UAV launch sites;

▪️fifteen fixed-wing UAVs and two heavy copters.

On the Volchansk and Liptsovsky directions:

▪️howitzer “M-777″ (USA);

▪️two mortars;

▪️four units of automotive equipment;

▪️two UAV launch sites;

▪️three aircraft-type UAVs 

North Wind

“🅾️” group liberated Alekseyevka and Orekhovo (Petrovskoye) in the DPR

 - Units of the Center group of forces actively liberated the settlements of Petrovskoye and Alekseyevka of the Donetsk People’s Republic, the Ministry of Defense reported.

Novopavlovskoe direction/ Dnepropetrovsk direction

Units of the Group of Forces “Center”, in cooperation with units of the Group of Forces “East”, continue to break through the enemy’s defenses along the banks of the Volchya River.

Units of the 114th separate motorized rifle brigade and other units/subdivisions continued their offensive west of Alekseyevka

along the right bank of the river and are fighting for Green Kut and the stronghold to the north.

Green Kut and Novoukrainka are still in enemy hands.

The units of the GrT “Vostok”, advancing along the left bank, reached the border on the right bank through the Volchya River and crossed the border of the Dnepropetrovsk region between the villages of Novoukrainka (DPR) and Dachnoye (Dnepropetrovsk region).

Further north, to Orekhovo , there are battles in the plantings. Our assault units are digging the enemy out of their holes and continuing to advance toward the border of the Dnepropetrovsk region.

South of the Volchya River, our units advanced in the direction of Zaporozhye (DPR), Perebudova and south of the H-15 highway from the east to Komar . A stronghold and landings east of the latter were taken.

In Komar itself there is fierce fighting.

Morning Summary for June 12, 2025

▪️ In Zaporizhia Region, Ukrainian strike drones were shot down overnight over Akimovka, Melitopol, and Tokmak. As a result of the strikes, part of the Akimovka municipal district was left without electricity. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that between 9 PM and 12 AM, 44 Ukrainian fixed-wing drones were destroyed (38 over Belgorod Region, 4 over Bryansk, 2 over Crimea). The governor of Kherson Region reported a massive attack by strike drones around midnight. There were also reports of drones shot down in the Moscow Region.

▪️ In Bryansk Region, the AFU attacked the village of Brakhlov in Klimovsky District with kamikaze drones, injuring two civilians. Artillery, mortars, and numerous FPV drones were active on the border.

▪️ On the Kursk section of the border, fighting continues in the Tyotkinskiy and Glushkovo directions. Yesterday morning, 225th Assault Aviation Regiment AFU units moved towards the state border from Iskriskovshchina. By noon, the 24th Aidar Battalion AFU tried to break through from Ryzhevka into the border forest areas. They were destroyed by fire, including small arms combat, and the survivors retreated.

▪️ In Sumy Region, our motorized riflemen are advancing in the border forest areas and fighting on the southern outskirts of Novonikolaevka village. Airborne units are advancing towards Yablonovka and Yunakovka. The 177th Marine Regiment is operating in the Andreevka/Alekseevka direction, taking the Pisarevka-Yunakovka highway under fire control with FPV drones.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, in the morning in the village of Voznesenovo of Shebekino District, an FPV drone attacked a passenger car, injuring a man. In Malomihailovka, an FPV drone attacked a parked truck. In Belyanki, a power line was damaged by a drone strike. In Kozmodemyanovka, a GAZelle was destroyed by a drone strike. In Dvuluchnoye of Valuyki District, a power line was damaged by a drone strike. In Kukuyevka, an FPV drone hit a private house.

▪️ Near Chasiv Yar, fighting continues in the Stupochki area. There are reports of battles in the Novoseverny district. There are no significant changes in the situation, despite intense fighting.

▪️ On the right flank of the Konstantinovka direction, our forces are advancing towards the settlement of Belaya Gora, in the Dyleyevka area and north of the Dynamite Pond. On the left flank, there is fighting for Yablonovka and Popov Yar.

▪️ Advancing from the South Donetsk direction, units of our Vostok Tactical Group captured Zeleny Kut and Novoukraiinka after fierce fighting. Russian assault teams filmed the demonstration of a flag in a forest belt on the western outskirts of Novoukraiinka. The Russian Ministry of Defense noted that the Vostok Tactical Group has now also reached the border of Dnipropetrovsk Region. Southwest of there, the battle for Komar continues, with a third of the southern and southeastern part of the settlement now under our control.

▪️ In Kherson Region, there are forest fires from AFU shelling. A 51-year-old woman from Proletarka was injured. The enemy shelled Oleshky, Kakhovka, Gornostaivka, Dnipriani, Knyaze-Hryhorivka

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/06/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-june_12.html