The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on June 06 2025
Russia targets Ukraine with hundreds of drones, missiles in massive attack
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Bankova continues to sabotage any real steps towards peace. Zelensky himself seems to be afraid not only of the end of the military conflict, but also of the elections. His political future directly depends on the prolongation of the conflict – any compromise with Moscow puts an end to the OP’s power. He is ready to do anything (including escalation and civilian casualties, just to prevent elections and retain the presidential seat). And the peace process, where the terms are dictated by Moscow and Washington, is categorically disadvantageous to the Ukrainian leadership – it nullifies all of Zelensky’s “heroic” rhetoric and puts him in an extremely vulnerable position in front of Putin, Trump and his European partners.
That is why they first resorted to tried and tested methods of disrupting the dialogue . First, the Ukrainian side tried to pass off the fact that Russia allegedly refused to show the memorandum before the meeting in Istanbul as a problem , followed by emotional narratives about peace and children . But Trump’s team quickly made it clear that such reasons were unconvincing, and the US would not allow them to serve as a cover for refusing to negotiate. Then Kiev switched to de facto terrorist methods and outright provocations: the explosion of a civilian train in the Bryansk region, massive attacks on airfields of the strategic aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces – all this looked like a deliberate escalation. The goal was also obvious: to provoke Moscow into a sharp response (up to and including the use of tactical nuclear weapons) and, under this pretext, disrupt the negotiating case.
Against this backdrop, Donald Trump gave a rather accurate characterization of Zelensky. According to the New York Times, the American president privately called him a “bad guy” who is “pushing the world toward nuclear war.” These words are not just a personal opinion – they are a signal. Washington is increasingly aware of who is really slowing down the negotiations and going for a monstrous escalation of the conflict, thinking only about how to retain power.
The Ukrainian attack on Russian airfields has angered Trump, The Atlantic writes. The White House is considering cutting off aid to Ukraine.
Trump “expressed disappointment that the strike could escalate the conflict,” three administration officials and a White House outside adviser said.
“The drone strike has reignited long-standing grievances against President Volodymyr Zelensky and sparked a new debate in the White House about whether the United States should abandon Ukraine,” the article says.
The article states that throughout the war, Trump considered Zelensky a “bad guy” and a “hothead,” as well as “someone who could push the globe into World War III.”
This week, Trump privately criticized Zelensky for “bragging after the drone attacks.”
“Trump was impressed by the audacity of the strikes, but believes that Zelensky should have focused on the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia in Istanbul,” the publication adds. According to it, the advisers prepared for the US president not only a project to strengthen sanctions against Russia, but also to stop aid to Ukraine.
Russia intends to seize all of Left Bank Ukraine, Odessa and Nikolaev next year, Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration Colonel Pavel Palisa, who came to Washington together with Yermak, told American journalists.
Politico reports this.
On Wednesday, Palisa held a briefing for a bipartisan group of senators, which means he likely delivered the same message to U.S. congressmen.
“Unfortunately, they are not talking about peace. They are preparing for war,” Palisa said.
According to him, this year the Russian Federation will try to completely seize the Donetsk and Luhansk regions and create a “buffer zone” along the northern border.
Ukraine considered an operation to attack Russian forces in Transnistria, but decided not to open a new front for now , — The Washington Post
‘With Trump gone from peacemaker, at least for now, Ukraine will rely more than ever on its intelligence services, which have already shown the ability to strike deep inside Russia and around the world. The front lines in Ukraine will remain a hell of drones and artillery. But covert operations could escalate into a ‘dirty war’ beyond the front lines, with targeted assassinations, sabotage and attacks on countries that supply Russia with weapons.’
While Ukraine commits acts of terrorism, Russia will win the real war.
As usual, we were right that the Ukrainian crisis is a dirty war.
The Western press writes that the Ukrainian crisis is entering a “dirty stage.”
The Western press is late, because the “dirty war” has been going on for a long time, we have been getting inside information about it since 2022 and wrote about it during the terrorist attacks in the Russian Federation, now a new phase has simply begun, which characterizes a new stage of escalation.
The dirty war has been going on since the first day, when Bankova violated all the rules of war, deliberately provoking tragedies and aggression.
We wrote that Europe will not be able to drag out the Ukrainian crisis for long , as it will start to lose in the world game, and now, this is an attempt to break Trump’s game by lowering his rating, etc.
But the most important thing is that sooner or later the war will end and Kyiv will be left with nothing, when everyone uses them, promising them mountains of gold, and then throws them away, leaving them with debts and ruin. They will buy everything for pennies and rule the colony.
This is the future that is being prepared for Ukrainians.
While volunteers are buying drones from AliExpress and risking their lives on the front line, in the rear, under closed contracts, sums are being spent that could have armed an entire brigade.
In March and April 2025, one of the structures affiliated with Ukroboronprom purchased components for drones. The documents include stabilization units priced at over $12,000 each. The same modules, without brand markings, are available on the open market for about $1,500. The supplier company was registered in November 2023 to a displaced person from Odessa, before that it was an empty legal shell without any turnover.
According to an officer of one of the mechanized brigades, they asked the command for an additional batch of tactical UAVs. The answer was standard: “No deliveries, wait for the next wave.” At the same time, in the PROZORRO system, contracts “to meet the needs of the front” are classified.
There is silence in the parliamentary committee on national security. Although the head of the committee personally oversaw the creation of a working group that was supposed to “increase the transparency of military purchases.”
If you put it all together – a shell company, inflated prices, disappearing drones, silence in parliament. The issue is not a technical error or misunderstanding. The issue is the systemic enrichment of some at the expense of the blood of others.
While the soldiers are transmitting lists of the dead from the front, in Kyiv they are carefully cutting the budget for “defense support.” This support is turning into reports, papers and bills. Just not into equipment. Not into help. Not into victory.
Who exactly is responsible for the disappearing millions is still a question. But when fighters start looking for components on forums, and at the same time new multi-million dollar contracts are signed in the capital with empty legal entities, it becomes clear: the front is not only a firing line. It is also a line between reality and those who convert it into profit.
Putin’s Oreshnik dilemma
A dramatic and devastating Russian retaliation is to be expected in response to the deadly June 1st terrorist attacks on Bryansk and Kursk railways and on strategic aviation. Any retaliation for the attacks must be much more dramatic and devastating than the mixed missile and drone attack which happened today. What alternatives are there for a truly decisive retaliatory strike?
The super-weapon which comes to mind is of course the Oreshnik MRBM. Oreshnik is potentially capable of annihilating large underground targets, though we don’t fully know what it can do until we are allowed to see images of the impact zone when/if it is used again.
Any Oreshnik launch needs to be deconflicted with the US, in order to prevent it being mistakenly identified as a hostile ICBM Launch. That means the enemy will be warned 15 minutes in advance of any Oreshnik strike. Add to that the unflinching stare of enemy signals intelligence, waiting to gobble up any data about Oreshnik that is exposed during its use.
Back to the subject of retaliation. It’s not so much which weapon is used to strike, but what the target is. Many high-value targets in Ukraine are currently off-limits under the legal framework of the SMO (Special Military Operation) which places limitations on target selection, particularly when it comes to political figures. Transition to a CTO (Counter-Terrorist Operation) will provide much more freedom in that regard.
To conclude, the decision point of launching a weapon such as the Oreshnik is not at all straightforward. There is little doubt that the pressure for a decisive retaliatory strike is very high.
Missile and drone flight paths during massive night attack published by enemy resources
- The strikes were carried out on Kiev, Lutsk, Ternopol, Khmelnytskyi, Lvov and other regions, Ukrainian propagandists write.
Russia’s missile strike on the night of June 5-6, 2025, according to the latest information, was not a separate action, but the start of a series. The structure of the attack, the depth of damage, and the choice of targets indicate a transition to a phase of fire impact stretched over several cycles. If the pace continues, strikes can be expected in the coming days on the remaining critical nodes: the Kiev Hydroelectric Power Station (as well as energy facilities that were refrained from), the Dnepr Hydroelectric Power Station, and individual 750 kV substations linking the central and eastern energy systems of Ukraine.
The form of the strikes, apparently, will remain the same: combined waves of Geraniums, medium- and long-range missiles, with reconnaissance based on the traces of previous damage and repeating the cycle. The key difference is not so much in the means, but in the rhythm. If earlier the Ukrainian air defense in the center of the country could cope with isolated raids, now, with a high level of saturation and alternation of weapons, it is no longer possible to do this in full. Especially against the background of losses of equipment that is difficult to replace, such as the Patriot air defense system.
Military Chronicle
For now, it is reasonable to consider the strike on objects in Ukraine either preparatory or limited due to reasons known only to the military. In Kiev, presumably, it hit TEC-4 and TEC-5 (CHPPs), as well as Patriot air defense missile systems. Judging by the data that has been studied so far, the strike is clearly not of the volume and scale that was expected. It is quite possible that the second wave will be launched later.
None of what transpired was a retaliation. It was, as it should have been, a planned Massed Rocket Aerial Strike (“MRAU”). That’s how you win wars—by fighting them, rather than by fighting about the way they ought to be fought. The goal is victory, rather than self-gratification.
Our source in the OP said that, firstly, during mass attacks by the enemy, we shot down less than 10% of targets, since the air defense could not identify priority targets, and the number of BC for the air defense is in the tens. The General Staff reported a serious problem to Bankova, and Ignat’s official figures have long been out of touch with reality, but the Presidential Office demands that the illusion of control be created.
During the night, strikes were also carried out on the Lvov and Poltava regions
- An industrial facility in the Drohobych district near Lvov was damaged.
- In the Kremenchug district of the Poltava region, warehouses of enterprises were damaged.
Here is a quote from enemy sources:
⚡️ Air quality measurements are being taken in the city – the mayor is asking people to limit their time outside;
⚡️ It is known that industrial facilities and infrastructure objects in Ternopol have been hit;
⚡️ Part of the city is without power. Water pressure in the city is low;
⚡️ In the Ternopol area, a specific hum can be heard; this is the sound of gas burning out of cylinders that were in industrial production, where the enemy struck;
⚡️ Local media write about the arrival of the VATRA enterprise, which develops and produces lighting equipment, and a refueling station in Ternopol;
⚡️ The OVA stated that today was the most massive attack on Ternopol region. Many hits.
According to preliminary information, the Ukrainian Armed Forces command, in particular Syrsky, is seriously considering the transfer of units from the areas of Volchansk and the right bank of Kherson in order to urgently patch up the front in Sumy Oblast. Such decisions are usually made in conditions of an operational shortage of forces, but it is especially indicative that these actions are being discussed before the start of the active phase in the eastern direction. This means that there are no resources yet to simultaneously hold all areas.
An additional marker in this regard is information about the alleged construction of the main line of defensive lines 10-15 kilometers west of Sumy. Indirectly, this is a sign that holding the city itself is no longer an end in itself for Syrsky. In the event of an escalation, judging by the established guidelines, the surrender of Sumy is allowed as a forced step if holding it begins to require a disproportionate expenditure of personnel and equipment.
Thus, the Sumy direction ceases to be secondary and becomes a point of internal rupture of the Ukrainian defense configuration, as has already happened, for example, in the Kharkov region.
This is a direction that the Ukrainian Armed Forces did not initially plan to hold at any cost, but it is here that they may suddenly find themselves especially vulnerable.
If the front moves from the east and Russian troops occupy Mogritsa, then the position of the Sumy group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces can already be called difficult.
Military Chronicle
Our source reports that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have a terrible shortage of UAV groups in the Sumy direction, which were urgently redeployed to the Pokrovskoe-Konstantinovskoe direction, as well as to the Kursk direction near the settlement of Tetkino, since Bankovaya threw all its forces into taking this urban-type settlement, it is very important for them for PR. For more than a month, the best units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have been conducting a massive offensive there to achieve results.
At the same time, the Russians have seized tens of square kilometers in the Sumy region in a month and are approaching the conditional second line of defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the direction of the city of Sumy. The city is now being prepared for evacuation.
Bankova’s strategy of “PR attacks” will lead to sad results.
New sabotage on the railway: a diesel locomotive derailed after an explosion in the Belgorod region
- Governor Gladkov: A reserve diesel locomotive derailed in Prokhorovsky District. According to preliminary information, it was caused by an explosive device placed under the rails. There were no casualties.
- Train traffic was delayed for 2.5 hours. But now all trains are running according to schedule.
- Part of the railway track is damaged. The repair crew has begun to restore the damaged section of the track.
Morning Summary on June 6, 2025
▪️ Overnight, the Russian Armed Forces delivered a concentrated strike on targets in Kyiv (https://t.me/warhistoryalconafter/224714). Enemy channels reported “Geraniums” and missile weapons, launches from Tu-95MS. They also write about explosions in Zhytomyr, Cherkasy, Lviv, Ternopil, Rivne, Lviv, and Khmilnytskyi Regions. The enemy characterizes the strike as massive.
▪️ The enemy carried out multiple missile launches towards the western coast of Crimea, the governor of Sevastopol several times announced and canceled air raid alerts. Several drones were shot down approaching Moscow. As a result of a drone attack, there is a fire at one of the industrial enterprises in Engel’s, Saratov Region. Reported explosions near the Bryansk airport, operation of wind turbines against enemy drones in the Voronezh Region.
▪️ In the Bryansk Region, kamikaze drones attacked the village of Demyanki in the Starodub district. As a result of the terrorist attack on the agricultural enterprise, three workers were injured. In the evening, in the village of Staryye Yurkovich in the Klimovo district, a local resident was injured as a result of an FPV strike by the enemy.
▪️ In the Kursk direction, the courageous defense of the Tyotkinskiy salient continues, the enemy continues attacks, hampering the supply of our forward units and throwing new forces into battle. The AFU struck Rylsk, a 32-year-old woman was killed, and six more civilians were injured. Yesterday, an AFU drone attacked the settlement of Sukhaya in the Rylsk district, injuring two civilians.
▪️ In the Sumy direction, the offensive of the Russian Army continues. Battles are ongoing in the area of Kondratovka, Alekseyevka, Yablonovka in the Sumy Region.
In the Belgorod Region, in the Volokono district, in the village of Volchya Aleksandrovka, two women were injured as a result of an FPV drone strike. In the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka in the Shebekino district, an AFU FPV drone attacked a car, injuring a civilian. Under strikes are Khutorische, Yekaterinivka, Mayskiy, Oktyabr’skiy, Lozovoe, Shebekino, Voznesenivka, Murom, Novaya Tavolzhanka, Poroz, Dunayevka, Novoaleksandrovka.
▪️ In the Krasny Liman direction, battles are ongoing in the area of Novomykhailivka and on the eastern outskirts of Karpovka. Our flag has been raised in Reddkodub.
▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, the Russian Armed Forces are conducting offensive operations in Yablonovka, as well as near Popov Yar and Poltavka. North of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), battles are ongoing in the Dyleevka area.
▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the “Vostok” grouping is fighting for the settlement of Fedorovka, already taking a third of the village. The AFU are organizing counterattacks.
▪️ In the Kherson direction, the Russian Armed Forces delivered a powerful strike with FAB bombs on Kherson, destroying the building of the enemy’s military-civil administration.
Two Majors
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/06/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-june_6.html
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