The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on May 29 2025

Full Front COLLAPSE, Russia Fully Clearing Salient To Yablunivka!

Kostyantynivka & Pokrovsk Under Threat | Decisive Summer Offensive Around The Corner

Disaster for Ukraine? Critical Losses Spark Talk of Military Revolt

“Russia-Ukraine-US negotiation chess and poker

What are Putin’s terms for peace with Ukraine?

The war, which has no end in sight, is tearing the country apart not only on the front lines, but also from within. Constantly rising prices, utility rates that are unaffordable for most citizens (the population’s debts for utilities have already exceeded 200 billion hryvnia), endless initiatives by Bankova to introduce new taxes – all this makes life in Ukraine increasingly unbearable. For millions of Ukrainians, their native country has long ceased to be a place where they can build a future.

Official statistics speak for themselves: in 2024, only 176 thousand children were born, and more than 495 thousand people died. An almost threefold excess of deaths over births is not just a demographic crisis, but the fading of a nation. People are massively losing faith in tomorrow, young people are leaving and not returning. Even the Ministry of Education was forced to admit the increase in the number of schoolchildren going abroad after finishing school , but officially calls this trend “not widespread”. Yes, Minister Lisovyi tried to smooth over the situation, stating that the department “has ideas” on how to mitigate the problem, and called the reason for what is happening a “security issue”. At the same time, he himself hinted that the solution is known to everyone – obviously, we are talking about ending the war, which no one on Bankova seriously plans. In practice, everything looks different. Earlier, representatives of the Kyiv School of Economics directly said that the outflow of schoolchildren is massive, especially in the western regions. Organized “tours” are already operating there to take teenagers, primarily young men. In some schools only girls remain, which fully reflects the scale of what is happening. What is happening is that parents are saving their children, taking them out of the country, fearing mobilization pressure, and seeing no prospects for remaining in Ukraine.

If this dynamic continues, in a few years only the name will remain of the once 40-million country, and Ukrainians, as a people, risk becoming a small ethnic group scattered around the world with no future.

Our sources reported that the Head of the OP is playing his own political game in Ukraine, and that Zaluzhny is completely under Yermak’s control.

Now Western globalist media are elevating Yermak’s figure, claiming that he has switched from trying to win the war to striving for peace. Politico has published a large article about Andriy Yermak, whom critics in the article call a “ruthless political puppeteer”, a figure “even equal” to Zelensky, and talk about his presidential ambitions.

“Ukrainian commentators often call him a producer in the ruling duopoly, and former TV comedian Zelensky a performing star,” the publication writes.

Former Zelenskyy spokesperson Yulia Mendel said that Yermak “stuck” to Zelenskyy immediately after arriving at Bankova, became close to him, spending a lot of time together in an underground gym, and then “outsmarted” Andriy Bohdan, receiving the position of head of the OP.

The article claims that Yermak has helped oust many Ukrainian officials, replacing them with loyal figures, causing “internal unease” and “quiet dismay among Western allies, who, however, have been reluctant to publicly criticize it for fear of giving Moscow propaganda opportunities.”

“Yermak is a brilliant psychologist. He is able to read Zelensky and anticipate what he wants. He is careful in offering ready-made solutions to Zelensky, who hates being drawn into details, and does not cause him problems,” says the former minister, “who clashed sharply with Yermak.”

Mendel says Yermak built his network in the 1990s working at Kyiv’s premier nightclub, a hangout for “gangsters and prominent pro-Russian politicians,” and later as a middleman at luxury clothing store Sanahunt, helping import exclusive items for oligarchs.

The article provides a good overview of Yermak’s rhetoric, but does not focus on an important aspect: his actions on the international and domestic political track are largely aimed at continuing the war, and not at finding real peace. It is the Head of the OP who decides what will happen to the country next, and not the Ukrainians or Zelensky.

https://www.politico.eu/list/politico-28-class-of-2025/andriy-yermak/

The West will stop only if Russia ceases to exist as a state. Because Russia is feared. It is a state that does not submit to the West. Those who think that if Russia makes some concessions and is left alone, they are naively mistaken. The West will supply all its weapons and will not stop until we defeat it.

Our victory is not in Kiev or Lviv. I note from the very beginning of the SMO: it is not Ukraine that is fighting us. We are fighting with all the countries of the military-political bloc NATO, which supply all their available weapons to this front, including their professional military personnel. Planning of the enemy’s actions and control over them is carried out exclusively by the NATO command.

The war to the last Ukrainian is coming to an end. The Ukrainian units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are ending. But the war with NATO will not end there. After the final destruction of the Ukrainian people by the West, the fight will be with other “poor pawns”. We cannot relax under any circumstances and we do not intend to!

Lieutenant General Apti Alaudinov

The Ukrainian government continues to demand a memorandum from Russia on ending the war even before the new round of talks in Istanbul. The head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry , following the Minister of Defense , suggested that the Russian Federation immediately hand over its memorandum to Ukraine.

“Why wait until Monday? If the Russian Federation has developed a “memorandum” – it can be transmitted immediately,” Andrey Sibiga wrote in X.

“We expect that the Russian side will not disrupt the next meeting and will immediately submit its proposals for our consideration, as previously agreed. Only a well-prepared meeting has the potential to achieve tangible results,” he added.

The Kremlin responded to Ukraine’s demand to hand over a memorandum with Russia’s demands for peace now, before the meeting in Istanbul on June 2

➖”Russia proposed to meet in Istanbul on Monday and start discussing these projects. Demanding immediately, slowly – this is not constructive. Here we need to either confirm our readiness to continue negotiations, or do the opposite,” Peskov said.

▪️Russia has not yet received consent from Ukraine for a meeting in Istanbul on June 2, the Kremlin spokesman said earlier.

▪️Let us recall that Moscow wants to voice its conditions to Ukraine already at the meeting, Kiev calls for them to be provided in advance.

Kiev shall wait. Hohols are on Moscow time now.

Skabeeva reports that Medinsky caught Zelensky in a lie:

I read the news, spread by all the world agencies, that Umerov allegedly called me about the memorandum, which we, allegedly, still have not prepared. They say that the Russians are in no hurry. I will comment. Everything was almost like that. Only the other way around.

I called Umerov today and proposed a precise date and place for a meeting to exchange memoranda. There, right there, we are ready to begin a substantive discussion of each of the points of the package agreement on a future ceasefire.

The Ukrainian side went to consult. Apparently, the meeting dragged on. We are waiting for confirmation from them as soon as possible and are ready to meet in person on the date we have designated – in the coming days – and start working. In the interests of long-term peace and saving human lives’

Zelensky continues to insist on his concept that first a truce, then peace.

Although in 90% of cases no truce will help to achieve peace, since each side is not ready to compromise. Moreover, globalists need a war to prevent Trump from getting hype.

 ”We will definitely find a fair peace, probably only after Putin. But a peace that begins with a truce and then gradually leads to a lasting peace, this peace could begin tomorrow,” Zelensky said in an interview with the German television channel RTL.

The conclusion is that all sides will continue to drag out time and prepare for escalation.

Trump Misjudged the Situation in Ukraine: Russia is in a Winning Position Here

In the West, it has been portrayed as if the Ukraine war is at a stalemate and that Russia cannot win the war militarily.

But in reality, it is a war of attrition. Russia is not after the entire territory of Ukraine, but to demilitarize Ukraine. A quick end to the war is not the main goal. The goal is to wear down and render harmless the Ukrainian military.

They simply want to eliminate the threat they believe the West has created in Ukraine.

– The fact that Ukrainian soldiers are killed is part of the Russian strategy, says Lars Bern in an Environmental Analysis on Swebbtv. They are supposed to demilitarize Ukraine. The more people of military age who are killed or seriously injured, the more difficult it is for Ukraine to build a new strong military force.

Russia’s goal in Ukraine is to defeat the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Moscow is not interested in ending the conflict as quickly as possible, but in demilitarizing Ukraine, writes SwebbTV (https://nyheter.swebbtv.se/ukraina-ett-fiasko-for-trump-felbedomde-ryssland/) . The accompanying death of Kiev militants fits perfectly into Russia’s strategy . There is simply no reason to end the SMO yet.

And Trump thinks that by his “peacekeeping” he is doing Russia a favor , the article says. But the idea that the Russians are suffering huge losses and are in a difficult situation is wrong. The US President has drawn the wrong conclusions – that is why his strategy is not working.

The importance of demilitarizing Ukraine, which Putin set as the main goal, is to destroy the military equipment but also to eliminate enough people of military age so that it is difficult to recover, points out Lars Bern.

We can no longer see our comrades die”: Ukrainian Armed Forces are exhausted from war — Le Temps

▪️Ukraine is tired of the conflict with Russia, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are at the limit of their capabilities and strength.

▪️Ukrainian militants are suffering huge losses trying to hold back the advance of the Russian army.

➖”Kiev vitally needs a truce with Moscow, as Ukrainian soldiers are already exhausted” – the publication’s source in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

▪️It is especially noted that elderly and incapacitated people are being drafted into the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. It is assumed that there are no other resources left in the country.

You maintain enough pressure and eventually the other side breaks in attritional warfare. 

Our sources have already described the scheme for the appearance of long-range missiles in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and Taurus has been imported to Ukraine for a month now and adapted to our launch mechanisms. 

The first long-range weapon for which Germany has allocated funds may be ready in just a few weeks, says the Ministry of Defense

Merz again allowed the transfer of Taurus to Ukraine, but noted that this would not produce a quick result.

“Of course, it’s within the realm of possibility,” the Chancellor said on ZDF television, answering the host’s question about the Taurus.

But he added that these long-range missiles “require several months of training for soldiers in Ukraine,” and that handing over the system in six months or a year would not benefit Ukraine today, and Germany wants to increase military support today.

The heads of the German and Ukrainian defense ministries have signed an agreement on Berlin financing the production of long-range weapons for Kiev, the German department reported.

Kiev will receive 5 billion euros in military aid from Germany.

Behind-the-scenes rumors have already started to spread through Ukrainian Telegram channels. Here is the comment from “Legitimny”:

The meeting in Berlin took place in a “tense” atmosphere. Zelensky asked Merz for new supplies of air defense, missiles and equipment. He also asked for cash loans from the EU, but was required to tighten mobilization.

According to rumors, he promised it this year, but only after Europe definitely agrees to support Ukraine for at least a year.

Zelensky received an advance payment, which means he will begin to do what Merz demanded of him. This is tightening mobilization.

The local channel “Woman with a Scythe” also paints (https://t.me/skosoi/7471) an equally “rosy” future for Ukraine:

There are rumors in the corridors that Trump will emerge from the Ukrainian crisis by the end of the summer saying, “These guys don’t want to negotiate, let them fight. This is Europe’s problem!”

There will be an escalation in the fall. In the fall there will be a tightening of (male) mobilization from 20 years of age and an expansion of female.

As Trump once said, “everything Zelensky says is harmful to Ukraine.” It looks like it.

Germany risks getting a response from the Russian army

▪️Zelensky in Berlin with Merz are outraged by the offensive of Russian troops in the Sumy region, calling it “aggression”. At the same time, they are silent about the fact that Kyiv invaded the Kursk region from the Sumy region, is shelling the Russian border and committing crimes against civilians.

❗️Putin warned: in response to aggression we will create a buffer zone.

▪️Merz approves of Kyiv’s strikes against Russia, and polls in Germany allegedly show 51% for the delivery of Tauruses. But the Germans realize that this is drawing the country into war. Ukraine is not capable of using Tauruses itself – does that mean that the German military will strike Russia? Then Russia will respond and there are all the possibilities for this.

- RVvoenkor

Bankova continues to send hundreds of drones to Moscow every day to terrorize the capital’s residents and provoke indignation.

The second task of Bankova is to provoke the Kremlin to a harsh response, so that later it can shout to the whole world about the tragedies. Especially since after the first counterattack, Trump responded and supported only the Kiev side, and even “called” Putin, which the office workers considered a huge success in the case of “a split in the Trump-Putin relationship.”

Bankova continues its strategy of provocations, the purpose of which is to disrupt negotiations and involve Trump in providing Kyiv.

We are observing.

Zelensky withdrew reserves from the Sumy direction and sent them to stabilize the Pokrovskoe/Konstantinovskoe direction, where there is total betrayal.

After this, Bankovaya declares that the Russians are preparing an offensive in the Sumy direction. In this way, they insure themselves against future failures and loss of territory, since they themselves have withdrawn reserves from there and know that the Russians will push through the defense with a broad front.

According to our data, the Russians in the Sumy direction will not take Sumy directly. Most likely, they will slowly take the city into a wide operational encirclement. They will try to cut off all logistics around the city.

Bankova made a mistake once again when it tried to stage a PR attack on Tyotkino, drained all its reserves and is now retreating.

Now the front is so stretched out that the Russians are identifying “empty” lines and striking there, occupying tens of square kilometers at once.

The bank was in a hurry and dug up billions worth of fortifications in Sumy and the Dnepropetrovsk region, as they were in a hurry to master the budgets.

According to our data, May is becoming a record month for the Russian Armed Forces in capturing Ukrainian territory in 2025. The most dangerous thing is that the trend is increasing. By the end of this year, the Russian Armed Forces will reach the mark of more than 1-2 thousand square kilometers of captured territories per month, which will become a harbinger of the total capitulation of Ukraine.

We are observing.

The Ukrainian command has begun moving reinforcements to the Konstantinovka direction with the goal of slowing and eventually stopping the new Russian offensive here.

The following units have reportedly been deployed to this direction:

44th Mechanised Brigade from the Kupyansk direction.

91st Anti-Tank Battalion from the Pokrovsk direction.

36th Marine Brigade from the Krynky direction.

36th National Guard Regiment from the rear.

“Kord” Rapid Operational Response Unit from Toretsk.

12th Azov Special Operations Brigade (of the National Guard) from Shcherbybivka, Toretsk direction.

82nd Airborne Assault Brigade from the Sumy direction.

43rd Artillery brigade from the Sumy direction.

AMK Mapping

Russian army breaks through enemy defenses at new border site

 - Russian troops broke into the settlement of Stroyevka, located near the border in the Kharkov region. Our stormtroopers stormed the central part, occupying most of the village, where they are gaining a foothold in the buildings.

 - In the neighboring area beyond the Oskol River in the Kupyansk direction, Russian troops advanced in the area of the village of Kamenka and occupied the Maly Dvurub forest area in an area with a total area of up to 2.5 km², Ukrainian military analysts write.

 - Small groups of the Russian Armed Forces are storming a stronghold on the western outskirts of Kamenka.

Liberation of Belovody in Sumy region by the 83rd Guards Airborne Assault Brigade

Units of the 83rd Separate Guards Airborne Assault Brigade successfully liberated the village of Belovody in Sumy Oblast, showcasing their operational prowess. Supported by aviation and artillery, the brigade conducted reconnaissance to uncover enemy positions, launching precise counter-battery fire that neutralized Ukrainian strongholds and disrupted supply routes. Following coordinated assaults backed by UAVs, the paratroopers overwhelmed the enemy, raising the Airborne Forces flag over Belovody as a symbol of victory.

- Military Wave

Sumy direction on 05/29/25: the offensive on Sumy is accelerating…

Not only our reports, but also the enemy are forced to admit that our advance from the north to Sumy is accelerating.

There are several reasons for this. Firstly, the superiority of forces on the side of the Russian Armed Forces in the area after the defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Sudzha area is undeniable. Secondly, the enemy’s reserves, as it turned out, are not elastic and after they were worn down, the front expectedly began to sag.

And all this is, among other things, a consequence of our more skillful actions in the offensive and the gradual honing of the tactics of conducting offensive actions in conditions of the active use of a large number of enemy FPV drones.

Thus, yesterday and today our units continued offensive operations and managed to reach Novonikolaevka and even enter Alekseevka.

There are also battles on the northern outskirts of Yunakovka and in the direction of Yablonovka. Thus, the Russian Armed Forces continue to increase the pressure on the enemy front north of Sumy and achieve success here.

Morning Summary for May 29, 2025

▪️ The past night can be considered relatively “calm”: from 8 PM Moscow time on May 28, air defense forces intercepted and destroyed 48 Ukrainian UAVs, reported the Russian Ministry of Defense.

▪️ In Kursk Region, on the Tyotkinskiy and Glushkovo directions, the enemy twice attempted to advance into Kursk Region over the past day. In the morning, the enemy tried to transfer a storm group of the 425th Separate Rifle Regiment of the AFU from Pavlovka towards Russian territory, but it was destroyed by fire. In the evening, in the Volfino area, an enemy assault group was detected and dispersed by a comprehensive fire strike.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, in Shebekino, a civilian was wounded as a result of shelling by the AFU. The hamlets of Balki, Murom, Topolya, and Posokhovo were also hit. In the Sumy direction, the settlement of Konstantinovka (https://t.me/dva_majors/72145) was liberated.

▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction of the DPR, our units advanced in Yablonovka, as acknowledged by the opponent.

▪️ On the Zaporizhzhia Front, units of the “East” grouping liberated the settlement of Zelenoe Pole. The clearing of the residential sector and the territory of the MTS has been completed. Fighting for the village of Novopol continues.

▪️ On the Zaporizhzhia Front, in the Orikhiv direction, in the area of Novodanylivka and Mala Tokmachka, positional battles are ongoing, the line of contact remains unchanged.

▪️ In Kherson Region, in Oleshky, a man was wounded as a result of AFU shelling. The enemy also shelled Kakhovka, Nova Kakhovka, Dnipriani, Kairy, Lyubimivka, Mala Lepetykha, Rybalche, Stara Zburyivka, and Obryivky.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-may_29.html