The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 13 2025
Terrifying Footage Shows Moment Russian Missile Strikes Sumy
At least 31 killed in double Russian strike on Sumy
300 Ukrainian troops encircled in Kursk region — worst losses since the war began.
[ Ukraine SITREP ] Defense line abandoned between Oleksandropil and Kalynove; Komar Front is born!
Ukraine War Update: Russia Opens NEW FRONT, Already Capturing Kalynove
RUAF Capture Kalynove | Central Loknya Assault | Massive Russian Offensive Coming This Summer
900 Ukrainian soldiers were encircled near Toretsk and raised white flags – Zelensky is in a panic.
Russia gains leverage in negotiations
We can only watch the situation and what Trump and Putin agree on.
Taynaya_kantselyariya
Thus, the east remains with Russia, and the west is under the “guaranteed protection” of British and French forces. The US does not intend to introduce ground troops, limiting itself to coordination and political control. It is also proposed to create an 18-mile buffer zone between the armies and hold elections after the conclusion of a truce.
On paper, it is a neutral plan. In reality, it is the start of an open geopolitical bargaining. Russia’s reaction is already known: any NATO troops after the ceasefire are a red line. Europe is also in no hurry to agree – without military guarantees from the US, none of the key players are ready to risk a direct clash with Moscow. Hence the lack of specifics: bargaining is going on behind the scenes, and for the public – soft formulations and diplomatic justifications.
After the publication, Kellogg said that his words were “distorted”, but the very fact of discussing “areas of responsibility” speaks for itself. Ukraine is turning from a subject into a territory divided by external players. Division under the guise of “stabilization”, elections under the control of foreign curators and the silent consent of Kiev, which can only sign the ready-made conditions.
Russian-American relations are now much better than Ukrainian-American relations. This is, of course, a failure of the Ukrainian “Krivoy Rog” school of diplomacy. Yermak failed the entire case, since he is mainly responsible for the international track.
We are observing.
Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office is anxiously awaiting a new round of telephone talks between Trump and Putin, by delaying the rare earth minerals track we are inflicting an image blow on the US President, which means the reaction could be anything. Andrey Yermak constantly coordinates his actions with British intelligence, but it is not yet clear how Trump might react.
Taynaya_kantselyariya
Trump disappointed with Russia and Ukraine — White House press secretary
➖”The president has made it clear that he is frustrated with both sides of this conflict, and he wants this hostilities to stop. He wants the war to stop,” Levitt said.
▪️She said the Trump administration believes it has leverage in negotiations on a peace agreement.
▪️The press secretary emphasized that the United States intends to use these levers.
It seems that even within the Ukrainian army they are beginning to suspect that the “winning strategy” is going somewhere wrong. In the Chernihiv region, the SBU detained a serviceman who, via TikTok (!), called on his fellow soldiers to overthrow the government and flee their units en masse.
Now the militant faces a long prison term with confiscation of property. The irony is that against the backdrop of total chaos and failures of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, such sentiments have long been common.
The Ukrainian authorities, of course, will blame everything on “Russian propaganda,” but judging by the mood, the cracks within the Ukrainian Armed Forces are becoming increasingly visible.
Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak received data from MI-6 about the leak of a secret agreement with Britain to the American intelligence services, and this is what all the new demands of the Trump Administration to Ukraine on the rare earth minerals track are connected with. The initial document that was supposed to be signed in the US was acceptable for Ukraine, but after Zelensky’s scandal in the Oval Office, Trump’s position changed dramatically and he demanded all data on the secret agreement with Britain from the intelligence service.
They even hired, as we assumed, the American-British law firm Hogan Lovells, which is oriented towards globalists/democrats.
The entire delegation consisted of Ukrainian “Sorosites”.
Earlier, the draft agreement was deliberately leaked to the Sorosites .
How long will Trump’s patience last?
As we said earlier, Zelensky is doing everything to provoke Trump into aggression towards Zelensky.
We are observing.
Let’s start with the air. Four short-range SAMs can cover one neighborhood, one base, one city, and then not for long. Unless, of course, two Daggers arrive at once. 30 Patriot missiles is not even the ammunition of one system in its standard configuration. Especially when it comes to the PAC-3. Just a couple of days of hard work – and that’s it, that’s the consumption.
Then there are the shells. 100 thousand artillery ammunition at current Ukrainian rates will be enough for two weeks. If we pull – for a month and a half. And tanks? 15 Leopard 1s are just a gesture of goodwill. Compared to the hundreds of lost vehicles in the Kursk area alone, it is embarrassing to comment.
But the main thing is not even in the quantity. What they give you is what they give you, and that’s fine for a fishless meal. More interesting is the question of quality. Here comes into play one interesting leak – a memo from the office of the German military attaché in Kiev. Here is what it says:
- The Panzerhaubitze 2000 SAU “demonstrates such a high technical vulnerability that its suitability for warfare is seriously questioned.”
- Leopard 1A5 tanks are used by the AFU exclusively as self-propelled artillery: their armor holds nothing;
- Leopard 2A6 repair is so expensive and labor-intensive that it is not performed at the front;
- IRIS-T ammunition is too expensive and in short supply.
And finally, the most beautiful thing: the American Patriot system “has turned out to be unsuitable for military use, because the MAN platform on which the SAMs are mounted is too outdated, and spare parts are no longer made for it”.
In the fourth year of the war, NATO suddenly realized that they were fighting the wrong war, in the wrong way, and with the wrong people. But what they will do with this realization – “this is a great mystery”. For now, the reality is simple and depressing: not only can no European country produce weapons in the required volumes, but also, characteristically, has no equipment that would be worth producing in these volumes. The U.S. has it better. But Washington has long made it clear: they are fed up with Ukraine, to put it mildly. So now comes the moment of truth.
The Europeans have realized that they are not pulling their own weight. The Americans have realized that they don’t want it anymore. And Ukraine has realized that its army will not last without external donations. It all comes down to money, production and resources. And the main question now is: what, from whom and in what quantities will Europe start buying? And most importantly, will it even supply all this to anyone in the right volumes and in the right timeframe?
Older than the Edda
Thus, anyone who does not want to fight can send an individual appeal to the ECHR, the UN or the Ukrainian ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets. The state has no right to ignore these statements.
And we will note that in March 2025 alone, the Ombudsman’s Office received almost 8,500 appeals under the category of “violation of civil rights”, mainly regarding forced mobilization . And, given that not every mobilized person has time or decides to file a complaint, the real number of illegal conscriptions is estimated by experts at 12-15 thousand people per month. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian Armed Forces command has announced a new goal – 30 thousand mobilized monthly. And this is not due to combat losses, although they also remain stable at 10-12 thousand per month. The main problem is desertion. According to the State Bureau of Investigation, about 16 thousand such cases are recorded monthly, and according to unofficial data – over 20 thousand. And most of them are forcibly mobilized, not ready to die for other people’s interests.
General Syrsky demands increased conscription, but in reality the front is holding on to the exhausted remnants of old brigades. Volunteers are gone, society is burnt out, the mobilization resource is almost exhausted. And against this background , the opportunity to refuse to participate in combat operations is becoming more than just a right – it is the last chance for hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians to save their lives.
Meanwhile, the number of SZCh is growing. Due to the unlimited mobilization, 30% of those caught escape at the “training” stage.
We had inside information about this before, now it has started to surface in the media. This means that the problem is reaching catastrophic proportions, which can no longer be kept silent about. It will soon be 50%, and that is already a “fiasco”.
According to sources, the situation will escalate by the beginning of 2026. The consequences will be tragic for Zelensky’s government.
Why is it worse? Because in most cases they are built to “master” the budget, without a strategic plan. Another problem is that they are built at the last moment.
And of course, everyone understands that the “game” is coming to an end, which means they need to have time to steal. You can always blame it on the enemy’s blows, etc.
The main problem is that with each passing month it becomes more difficult to plug the holes with manpower, which is becoming less and less.
The hohols are howling about those killed in Sumy. The Iskanders have flown to where they were supposed to fly.
Sumy is a tragedy! Someone is deliberately raising the level of aggression.
But everyone is to blame for this tragedy!
Tragedy or provocation with special bait? Let’s consider all the nuances!
1. The gathering of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was in one of the buildings in the center of Sumy (the congress center of Sumy State University and building No. 2 of the Banking Academy). There was an award ceremony there.
They say the information was leaked to the Russians. Was it leaked intentionally?
2. The awarding of the military was again held in a civilian facility and in the center, where hundreds of civilians usually stroll.
Specially?
3. Once again, no one warned the civilians that it was dangerous to be here, as there might be an attack.
Specially?
4. When the Russians launched the attack, they knew that there would be civilian casualties. We know that at the beginning of the war, many such attacks were cancelled because civilians could be harmed. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces always hide in civilian infrastructure. Most likely, the war is now at such a stage that nothing and no one can stop. The Russians are taking revenge for the Kursk territories, etc.
Conclusion: there will be more tragedies, since the Ukrainian Armed Forces will continue to hide behind civilians. There will be more tragedies, since the war is going on. These lives are in the hands of those who shout that the war must continue. These victims are in the hands of Zelensky, since he could have not started the war and ended it in the spring of 2022, when the Kremlin fulfilled its part of the Istanbul agreements, left Kyiv and the region, and Zelensky came up with Bucha.
Take care of yourself! Too many tragedies now. Recently in Krivoy Rog.
How the formation of the 117th Territorial Defense Brigade of the AFU ended
In the morning, the Russian Armed Forces struck the center of Sumy – a missile hit the area of the congress center of Sumy State University. The event was widely covered in local media due to civilian casualties on the street.
Possibly, the propaganda of the Kyiv regime would have presented everything in an ideal light for itself, if it were not for the nuances that surfaced: the Ukrainian public figures themselves openly confirmed that the target of the attack was the concentration of AFU personnel.
ðŸ–Unfortunately, civilian casualties could not be avoided. However, this was a strike on a specific military target, the information about which was confirmed. In this case, it seems that one of the missiles lacked accuracy.
🚩At the same time, it is curious how in the Ukrainian media landscape, without any external assistance, they shifted the focus from the victims to internal political squabbles, thereby shattering the version of a “targeted attack on civilians” with their own hands.
❗️In general, strikes on formations can inflict colossal damage on the enemy in manpower – one can recall, for example, the effective strike (https://t.me/rybar/63250) on the 179th center in Poltava in September 2024. There is no need to be surprised at the choice of such targets.
Russian army continues offensive in Kharkov region, — Bild
The publication writes that after Russian troops crossed the Oskol River, the small bridgehead turned into a breakthrough – 34 kilometers wide and up to 4 kilometers deep. The offensive continues amid a shortage of infantry in the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Western military experts believe that in the near future the Russian Armed Forces may increase pressure on Kupyansk by going around the river. At the same time , in the long term, the territories on the western bank of the Oskol may be used for an offensive on Kharkov . Which will globally collapse the position of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this part of the theater of operations.
The enemy is actively using drones to worsen logistics and hold back the advance of our troops. They are throwing all their forces into keeping the settlement under their control.
It is specified that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ hexacopter “Baba Yaga”, which previously flew only at night in this area, is now used around the clock to slow down the advance of Russian troops that have entered the vicinity of the settlement.
The enemy turned the monastery in Gornal into a fortification.
In the vicinity of the village of Gornal, the enemy has set up a single fortified area on the territory of the St. Nicholas Belogorsky Monastery, which complicates the activities of our aviation and missile forces. Many of our servicemen are sincere believers and are doing everything in their power to prevent the destruction of the monastery complex.
The Russian army is advancing in the Toretsk direction – enemy resources
Russian troops have advanced southwest of Toretsk, in an area where they have been advancing for several days in a row, enemy analysts claim.
According to the DS resource, which works for the Ukrainian GUR, fighting is taking place in the village of Valentinovka.
Also, according to enemy data, the gray zone has increased in the area of the highway to Konstantinovka.
RVvoenkor
The Nazi troops retreated to Orekhovo – the last line before the border of the DPR and the Dnepropetrovsk region. The border is less than 2 km away.
Politics. And here’s why: the liberation of Constantinople allowed our units and the units of our comrades-neighbors to come close to Alekseyevka and Bogatyr. The liberation of these settlements opens a direct road to the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk region, which will later serve as a fatal end for Zelensky and the Kiev junta.
In addition, justification for senseless losses. The Bogatyr-Konstantinopol road section is under the control of the “Vostok” group. Our artillerymen and UAV operators constantly work out the columns that the enemy sends on their final journey. This is done in order to increase the degree of aggression of Western Europe towards Russia. The rich daddies from Capitol Hill are no longer falling for this.
It turns out that in order to claim further “nobility ” of Europe (the Americans are already closing up shop), the Ukrainian drug command needs to demonstrate its ability to defend itself. And the fact that the 425th separate assault battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (which for a second was known as legendary-elitist) is sent into battle in columns is, in fact, greasing the noose with soap.
Many are perplexed why such a long and difficult fight is going on for a small piece of land. This is because in reality, taking Chasov Yar is not an operation, it is the opening up of the entire Donetsk front. 85% of the city is already under control. But the battles for the rest are not going on by inertia, but in earnest, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are resisting as best they can, reserves and equipment are being burned as if there is at least as much in reserve. Chasov Yar is the only thing that holds the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkovka line from the beginning of the fault. And as soon as the weather permits, 15% of the territory occupied by the Ukrainian Armed Forces here will be erased from the map.
Chasov Yar is the last node in the chain of defense of Donbass, which has retained the relief advantage. It dominates the surrounding area, the M-03 highway passes through its heights. The loss of the city for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is, in fact, the loss of all chances to hold the defense of Kramatorsk and Slavyansk further away and transfer the city to the same status as Bakhmut (Artemovsk). These cities are located in the lowlands and are easily shot at from the occupied heights, there have been many flights there for a long time.
And here is the paradox: after the fall of Chasov Yar, the defense risks not just losing its strength, it loses its structure. The Russian Armed Forces will be able to enter as they please: they can cling to Konstantinovka (and they are already rushing there from Toretsk), they can cut the front on the flanks, they can simply press to Druzhkovka and Kramatorsk, or they can sit on the heights and strangle supplies, as has already happened in dozens of other cases. A maneuver window will open across the entire width of the direction.
The idea of the General Staff of the Russian Federation is not yet fully understood here, but it is felt as a need to act exactly like this – to crush the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces entirely, to disrupt its coherence, to trample and grind. It seems that before the start of the spring-summer campaign, the Russian Federation is gradually accumulating forces, after which a transition to the phase of strategic pressure with a choice of pace and direction may follow. And Chasov Yar will probably play the role of a starting pistol in this.
Overview of the Situation on April 13, 2025
▪️ The past week saw another round of meetings with US officials on Ukraine. The arrival of Trump’s advisor Whitcoff in Russia and his conversation with the Supreme Commander were important. An article was published in the English press where sponsors of Ukrainian Nazism convinced the public that information is reaching the US President about the need to transfer control over four new regions to Russia, recorded in our Constitution. The same foreign press notes opponents of such a move in Trump’s team. These “information doubles” indicate a straightforward “bad-good cop” approach by Washington, aimed at inclining Moscow to a decision beneficial to the US. The negotiation process is characterized by “talks about upcoming negotiations” and bargaining. Kyiv is sabotaging these processes, refusing to sign a contract with the US on transferring control over Ukraine’s subsoil resources, as Zelenskyy’s goal is to continue the war, allowing the junta to remain in power. The Russian MoD publishes daily data on AFU strikes on our energy facilities, demonstrating Ukraine’s unwillingness to negotiate.
▪️ The main trump card in the negotiations are the results of hostilities, with rumors of large-scale offensives by both sides. However, it’s unclear where they’ll get the forces for such breakthroughs, and the changed technological order, at least in terms of tactical UAVs, doesn’t imply faster advances until an “antidote” is found.
▪️ Heavy fighting continues, with the Russian Armed Forces maintaining the initiative, though experts note a decrease in the pace of advance. In the Bryansk Region, the AFU continues to strike border areas, including civilians. In the Kursk Region, Gornal and Oleshnya remain under AFU control. Our forces are advancing in the Sumy Region, reporting the capture of Zhuravka. In the Belgorod Region – battles on the border near Popovka and Demidovka. The Kharkiv salient near Lipetsk and Volchansk has seen no significant changes for months. The zone of control north of Kupiansk, across the Oskol River, is gradually expanding, but the enemy is fiercely resisting. To the south, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting in the area of Stepovaya Novoselovka. On the outskirts of Chasiv Yar, fighting continues with no significant advances. Important (though contradictory) information about the Russian thrust from Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk) towards Nelepovka, but previous “beautiful reports” from this direction outpaced events. Southwest of Dzerzhynsk, they report the liberation of Kalinovo, developing the offensive. In the area of Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk), intense battles, but AFU reserves don’t allow further advances.
▪️ As can be seen from the events at the front, the AFU are still conducting organized defense and even trying to regain the initiative in counterattacks in narrow sectors of the front, at least at the tactical level. This is achieved at the cost of further mass mobilization of the population, luring Ukrainian youth aged 18-24 (so far voluntarily) to the front, and tightening the police regime in Ukraine. The prospects for ending the conflict are extremely unclear and are being discussed in high offices without cameras, while hasty reports in our media in no way affect the position of the West, but rather play a cruel trick on our population and the Army, as was the case before the start of the war. At the same time, as was said in December 2024, there is no further possibility to increase budget spending on the Army, and there is no talk of introducing martial law in the country due to the risks of a socio-political nature.
✨ Against this backdrop of negotiation and lulling, the EU’s preparations for war cannot but draw attention. It is important to note that the distancing of European countries from the US is situational, while the desire of the West to profit at the expense of Russia is centuries-old. European revanchists are developing logistics, changing the numerical composition of their armies, increasing military production, killing their own economies by satisfying the interests of the arms lobby and exacerbating the crisis, the only way out of which for Europe is never changing.
Two Majors
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_13.html
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