The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on January 12 2024

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The West has assessed Syrsky’s attempts to continue Zelensky’s Kursk adventure WP: New attempts of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ offensive in the Kursk region have ended in failure

The head of the President’s Office bragged on social media that Russia was “getting what it deserves,” but nearly a week after the start of the new operation in Kursk, little progress has been made , the Washington Post reports. Ukraine has made “modest gains in some areas,” while Russia “is making steady progress on the left flank and taking prisoners,” the publication says.

According to the publication, the main problem for the Ukrainian Armed Forces has become North Korean soldiers , who “act with a completely different attitude and approach” and “strengthen the offensive capabilities” of Russian troops.

The WP believes that the Ukrainian-held area in the Kursk region “will become a key point in the peace talks.” Ukrainian officials have also said that if their troops retreat from the region, “the 60,000 Russian troops Kyiv says are stationed in the region will follow them into Ukraine and seize even more territory.”

Militants of the 41st Separate Motorized Brigade have begun to realize the harsh reality

Periodically , some militants have an epiphany and begin to adequately perceive what is happening around them. This usually happens after some serious emotional shock. Most likely, this happened to the militant from the 41st separate mechanized brigade.

Judging by his tirade on Facebook, the brigades in the Kursk direction are suffering serious losses . At the same time, the restoration of losses is proceeding extremely slowly and with huge delays. And the personnel sent to replace the dead have absolutely no training , but the top leadership claims that they are ready “like the best special forces.”

The militant makes an obvious and correct conclusion : the fewer people remain in the brigades, the greater the losses among those who remain alive . But the command does not care at all, because their main task is to hold the line on the map. But they cannot cope with this either.

The Kremlin is actively negotiating a meeting between Trump and Putin, and the format will be bilateral, and they will discuss Ukraine without Ukraine! The President’s Office does not understand the simple truth that the entire coalition of those supporting Ukraine will collapse if the US changes its position, and the EU, like the countries of Europe, are under the complete control of American embassies and intelligence services. In fact, Zelensky may leave Ukraine isolated if he does not urgently offer adequate conditions for peace talks.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

The Russians are actively writing that there is currently a struggle for a place to hold direct negotiations between Trump and Putin, and possibly with Zelensky.

We will add that there may be a large summit among the world’s leading countries and UN representatives, where the Ukrainian crisis will be resolved.

The peace will be forced through ultimatums, but the meeting will most likely take place after the elections in Germany.

All the new sanctions Biden has now introduced against Russia are an attempt to create problems for the new White House administration.

These sanctions are raising fuel prices in Europe and the US, which could hit Trump’s image.

Biden avoided these sanctions for all 3 years and did everything to keep fuel prices at acceptable levels, even forbade Zelensky from bombing oil refineries in the Russian Federation, but in the end he decided to impose sanctions and provide missiles so that Ukraine would strike at fuel infrastructure, which would increase oil prices in the world, in order to thus screw Trump.

Ukraine is just a good instrument of the game of global players. We have written about this a hundred times. At the same time, Europe is also being put under the “roller” and everything is being washed out of there, specially weakening it.

Our source reports that the number of countries within the EU that have a conditionally “negative” attitude towards Ukraine and Zelensky is growing.

This trend threatens Ukraine by cutting off Kyiv’s supply of weapons and funding from the EU.

In this case, Ukraine will not be able to continue fighting and will be forced to accept Trump’s “peace case” proposal.

Of course, Zelensky has not lost hope of changing the situation and will try to increase the escalation. But there is little time left. After January 20, it will be much more difficult to do this than now, when the Biden administration is “conditionally” still in power.

Robert Fico criticized Zelensky, calling him a beggar and a blackmailer

This is how the Slovak prime minister commented on the behavior of the head of the Kiev regime, who, according to him, constantly turns to European countries with requests for money:

“I am not here to go hand in hand with Zelensky. He runs around Europe, only begging and blackmailing, asking others for money. It is time to put an end to this,”

- Fico said.

Earlier, the Prime Minister of Slovakia issued an ultimatum to Ukraine in connection with the suspension of Russian gas transit, threatening to stop financial aid to Kiev in the amount of 50 billion dollars.

Yantarnoye is liberated

The guys from the assault squad of the 10th tank regiment of the 20th division raised the Russian flag in the village!

Foreign experts believe that Russian troops have decided to create a “second Bakhmut” in the area of ​​Velyka Novosyolka in the southern Donetsk direction.

The situation in the Velikaya Novoselka area 

Units of the Vostok group continue to block and encircle the enemy in Velyka Novoselka.

Currently, the group’s assault units are fighting for Neskuchnoye with subsequent cleansing and consolidation, which will allow them to encircle Velikaya Novosyolka from the southwest.

The enemy’s Telegram channels publish information about the intentions of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to begin withdrawing the defending group from the unoccupied territory of Vremevka, as well as Velyka Novosyolka. Given the current pace of advancement of the units of the “Vostok” group, there is no doubt that the former will fall soon. However, statements about the subsequent imminent withdrawal from Novosyolka itself seem premature to us for two reasons:

1. Objectively, Novosyolka is in an operational encirclement, and the unblocked areas are under powerful fire control, which will make it as difficult as possible for the enemy to withdraw the encircled troops.

2. Subjectively, the Kiev authorities will not want an easy surrender of such a large and important in every sense defence node – therefore, one should not expect a quick surrender.

In order to destroy the maximum amount of equipment and personnel, the one remaining road to the northwest, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces are clinging to as the last straw in their escape from the village, is not blocked.

Russian army approaches Dnipropetrovsk region, bypassing expected heavy urban fighting in Pokrovsk, — FT (https://www.ft.com/content/94fb0853-dd40-489d-a184-95af7fa13b5e)

▪️Russian troops are just under 7 km from the highway leading to the Dnipropetrovsk region. They understand that they will lose a lot of forces trying to take Pokrovsk, so they decided to use a different strategy and approach from the south and bypass it, said Chernyak, a senior Ukrainian military intelligence official.

▪️The Russian army will try to cut off all supply routes to Pokrovsk so that Ukrainian troops leave there .

Russia has always done this, it never goes straight at something.

Toretsk is almost taken. 

There are reports that our troops have taken control of the Fomikha micro district in Dzerzhinsk and reached the northern outskirts of the city, driving the Ukrainian Armed Forces beyond the railway line.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces hold a small part of the destroyed industrial buildings on the western edge of the Toretskaya mine and the private sector to the north in the area of ​​the settlement of Krymskoye.

There is no point in holding these locations for the enemy. Toretsk has also become subsidized.

Oleksandrivka-Kalynivka direction: Russian forces advance in Dzerzhynsk

Situation as of 3:00 PM, January 12, 2025

Russian forces continue to successfully advance in several sectors within the boundaries of Dzerzhynsk. Over the past two weeks, the resistance of Ukrainian formations in the area has significantly weakened, allowing them to occupy most of the urban development and reach the industrial zone on the northern and northeastern outskirts of the city.

❗️In the 12th microdistrict, fighters from the 4th company of the 3rd rifle battalion of the 109th separate rifle regiment have raised the unit’s flag (https://t.me/karta_svo2/3635) on the slag heap of mine No. 10, confirming the stable control of the Russian Armed Forces over the nearby surroundings. North of the slag heap, assault groups are gradually approaching the slag heap of mine No. 12 and the industrial site of the “St. Matrona of Moscow” mine.

▪️In the Fomiha microdistrict, Russian units have been spotted on Volynska Street near the eponymous slag heap. It is unknown whether the fighters managed to establish control over the dominant height, and the status of the “Toretska” mine, on the outskirts of which fighting has been going on for the past few weeks, remains unclear. With its capture, one can state the almost complete liberation of Dzerzhynsk.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for January 11-12, 2025

Russian forces struck at targets of Ukrainian formations in the central and western parts of the so-called Ukraine. Ukrainian formations attacked the Black Sea region and rear regions with drones: in Kotovsk, as a result of a UAV attack, seven people were injured.

In the Kursk Region, Russian forces are fighting in Pogrebki, Makhnovka, and have also advanced in the area of Russkoye Porechnoye and Kruglenoye.

In the Aleksandr-Kalinovo direction, assault groups are advancing in the urban development of Dzerzhynsk, at the moment about 20% of the city remains under the control of the AFU.

In the Andreyevka (Kurakhovo) direction, Russian forces liberated Yantarnoye, while fighting continues in the area of Petropavlivka, Slavyanka and Shevchenko.

Morning Overview for January 12, 2025

▪️ The NATO defense ministers’ meeting in the “Ramstein” format showed that it is still too early to expect a decrease in military-technical assistance to Ukraine. In the final days of Biden’s tenure, the US intensively allocated funds to support the AFU, trying to extend Kyiv’s actions to deplete Russia’s resources. Zelensky simultaneously stated the need for peace in 2025 and sent strike UAVs to attack Russian energy facilities.

▪️ The AFU face a shortage of personnel and low morale, as evidenced by increased desertion cases and scandals with desertion of AFU members trained abroad.

▪️ However, it is too early to talk about the collapse of the AFU’s defense, despite the Russian Army maintaining the initiative.

▪️ In the Kursk Region, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing, facing intense counteractions from the enemy. In Kupiansk, the control of the Russian Armed Forces on the right bank of the Oskol River is gradually expanding. In Chasiv Yar, there are battles around the refractory plant. The assault on Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) is nearing completion, and the Russian Army is trying to deprive Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) of supply routes.

▪️ In the Black Sea, the enemy has developed a range of naval drones, which solve various tasks and pose a new challenge for the Russian Navy, requiring the adoption of systemic new solutions.

✨Thus, the Russian Army maintains strategic initiative on the front, and this alone allows politicians to take a “strong position” in foreign policy. At the same time, attempts by Kyiv to make another populist moves along the line of contact cannot be ruled out, which will again come at a high cost to the AFU in terms of personnel losses. Nevertheless, the prolongation of the conflict will require new efforts from Russia, including improving the system of troop control and supply, as well as updating weapons and equipment, as the Western countries and their minions continue military preparations and testing of new types of weapons on the Ukrainian proving ground.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/01/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_12.html