The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 21 2024
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The Russians carried out a local missile attack.
Missiles landed in Dnieper and the region.
They hit industrial facilities.
In Dnepr, air defense shot down a missile over the city; it fell and caused a fire on the roof of a house.
Electricity was cut off almost throughout the country. In Kyiv, due to the missile threat and worsening weather, the city began to collapse.
About the strike with an ICBM on Dnipro
Last night, Russian forces carried out another attack on Ukrainian territories. The most significant was the strike on the industrial enterprise “Yuzhmash” in Dnipro, during which an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) could have been used.
According to some signs, an ICBM (evident from the characteristic separating warheads) was indeed likely used, which would be the first successful combat use of such a weapon system in the history of military conflicts.
The warheads were in a non-nuclear configuration. Although there are rumors about the RS-26 “Rubezh”, the type of missile is not reliably known. Ukrainian forces were unable to shoot down the ICBM, as evidenced by the footage of the impacts.
❗️This can be seen as a clear signal to the sponsors of the so-called Ukraine (especially on the anniversary of the Maidan) against the backdrop of the West’s permission to use long-range missiles. How well they understood it – time will tell. But today’s strike is indeed a non-trivial move, as nothing like this has happened before.
And there are reasons to believe that this will not be the last such use.
The strike on Yuzhmash with an intercontinental missile is a public message.
Next time it won’t just be a strike with a conventional warhead, but a tactical nuclear weapon, etc. will arrive.
Now the ball is in Zelensky’s court, will he want to raise the stakes in the game and risk that the Ukrainians:
1. Will be hit by tactical nuclear weapons
2. Will be left completely without electricity, heating, water supply
3. Many bridges and tunnels will be lost. Logistics in the country will be completely disrupted.
4. They will instantly experience hyperinflation and food panic.
In general, everything depends again on Zelensky, as in 2022, when he could first implement the Minsk agreements, and then he could implement the Istanbul agreements, but in both cases he went for raising the stakes, from which the ordinary Ukrainian people suffer.
The escalation has begun, the Kremlin is reacting to attacks on Russian territory.
“The conflict in Ukraine has acquired a global character after the Western missile strike on Russia,” Putin says
Our source in the OP said that the strike on the Dnieper was carried out using an intercontinental ballistic missile, but we were forbidden from voicing this by the Biden Administration. Now Bankova is deciding how to respond to the strike further, since the West is not inclined to radically raise the level of escalation, and Zelensky, on the contrary, is in favor of continuing missile strikes on Russian territory.
Let us explain why the Western press denies the strike on Yuzhmash by an intercontinental missile.
The reason is banal – this is the first step towards a nuclear war, which means it is a trump card for Trump and his peace initiative, since Biden and the war party are provoking World War III, and Trump is acting as a peacemaker who wants to save the world.
This is not beneficial for the war party and the military lobby. So they launched a massive message that this is allegedly ballistics.
The attack was a response to the US plans to produce medium and shorter-range missiles at the facility. The President also stated that in case of escalation, Russia will respond decisively and in kind, and targets for destruction will be chosen depending on threats to the country’s security.
Notably, there was previously no information about the “Oreshnik” in open sources, and even many specialized experts heard about it for the first time today. This means that the system was developed without understatement in an environment of the strictest secrecy.
❗️Vladimir Putin also directly stated that Russia has the right to use weapons against military facilities of those countries that allow the use of their long-range weapons for strikes on Russian territory.
This wording is unambiguous, and the message to the sponsors of the so-called Ukraine is obvious. How exactly they will perceive it – we will see in the near future: unlike in the past, this time the warning was illustrated much more clearly.
Putin, speaking today with an address, stated:
- the conflict in Ukraine after the Western missile strike on the Russian Federation has acquired elements of a global nature. It is known that it is impossible to use long-range weapons on Russian territory without specialists from the countries where they were manufactured. The Russian Federation has the right to respond to all countries that participate in this provocation.”
- We used the latest Russian medium-range hypersonic missile system “Oreshnik” in a non-nuclear version to strike the Dnieper. No air defense systems are capable of shooting down such missiles.
- The Russian Federation “will warn civilians in advance in the event of the use of systems such as Oreshnik.”
- Putin admitted that after the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck the command post of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kursk region with Western Storm Shadow missiles, there were casualties among Russian soldiers.
This means that Putin has passed the ball to Kyiv and its Western sponsors. If they continue to raise the stakes, the war will escalate and will be on the brink of World War III.
And it attacks, for example, one object from this list. And then imagine what kind of panic will start in the country.
Millions of refugees will once again pour into Europe. The economy will finally die. The hryvnia will collapse. Food will be bought up, as well as medicines.
Therefore, we advise Ukrainians to be prepared for such a scenario in advance.
Zelensky won’t warn you. On the contrary, he needs a catastrophe and more civilian casualties to use it for PR.
There are no nuclear missiles at the US missile defense base in Poland – Polish MFA
The statement came after the Russian Foreign Ministry named the base a priority target for the Russian Armed Forces.
“Considering the nature of the level of threats arising from this type of Western military facilities, the missile defense base in Poland has long been added to the list of priority targets for potential destruction, which, if necessary, can be provided with a wide range of the latest weapons,”
- said Maria Zakharova.
The American Aegis missile defense base was officially opened on November 13 in Redzikowo, Poland, in the north of the country, 165 kilometers from the border with Russia.
Putin on the possibility of medium-range missile strikes against NATO countries:
We are conducting live tests of the Oreshnik missile system in response to aggressive actions by NATO countries against Russia. The question of further deployment of medium-range and shorter-range missiles will be decided by us depending on the actions of the United States and its satellites. We will determine the targets for further tests of our newest missile systems on the basis of threats to the security of the Russian Federation. We consider ourselves entitled to use our weapons against the military facilities of those countries that allow the use of their weapons against our facilities. And in the event of an escalation of aggressive actions, we will respond just as decisively and in a mirror-like manner. I recommend that the ruling elites of those countries that are hatching plans to use their military contingents against Russia seriously think about this.
Putin – on the impossibility of defending against strikes by the Russian Oreshnik missile system: There are no means of countering such weapons today. The missiles attack targets at a speed of Mach 10, which is 2.5-3 kilometers per second. The current air defense systems available in the world and the missile defense systems being created by the Americans in Europe do not intercept such missiles. This is ruled out.
Where the “Oreshnik” can reach
All the countries of continental Europe, from Poland and the Baltics to Portugal, as well as Great Britain, are in the target zone.
In addition, new NATO members Finland and Sweden are in the target zone.
“Oreshnik” flight time:
■ Great Britain – 19 minutes.
■ Poland – 8 minutes.
■ Belgium – 14 minutes.
■ Germany – 11 minutes.
The statement by White House representatives that the “Oreshnik” launch will not affect the US policy towards the so-called Ukraine is quite expected (https://t.me/usaperiodical/11064) – they would certainly not publicly declare the opposite in Washington, simply for image reasons.
However, if the Americans really want to change something on this issue (remember (https://t.me/rybar/65588), there are no guarantees yet), they can take advantage of the limited missile stockpiles of the AFU. Namely, they can say that there are no bans, but if you continue, we will announce that supply capabilities are exhausted due to production reasons.
And we will repeat again: even in this case, the threat of strikes with long-range weapons deep into Russia will not disappear, and attacks with Ukrainian-made drones and missiles (with a large number of Western components) will continue. The solution to this problem still lies in the military plane.
The publication writes that the Kursk offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was initially a great help for Ukraine in terms of morale at a time of serious setbacks. But Dr. Miron says that while the Kursk offensive was a moment of “tactical brilliance,” it was also a “strategic disaster” for Ukraine, as it drew off Ukrainian Armed Forces reserves there.
“The whole idea was to perhaps gain some political leverage in potential negotiations, and militarily to distract Russian forces from Donbass. Instead, we see that Ukrainian units are stuck there,” she said.
It is likely that the Russian troops’ plan is to cut off Ukrainian forces, entrenched in the farms of the village of Darino, from their supply routes with food and ammunition.
Kurakhovske direction: battles for Kurakhovо and liberation of several settlements
situation as of the end of November 21, 2024
In the Kurakhovо direction, Russian forces continue their successful advance on three sectors in the Kurakhovо area, isolating the AFU garrison in the city from three directions, increasingly tightening the encirclement.
▪️On the northern flank, Russian forces have liberated most of Novodmitrivka and hold about half of Sontsovka, the capture of which will open the way to Stari Ternу. At the same time, troops have liberated Novoselidivka and the fields west of it: movement (https://t.me/oleglurie/13021) of Russian infantry has been recorded in the village itself, and the fighting has shifted south.
▪️On the northern bank of the Kurakhovо reservoir, Russian units from the 5th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade liberated (https://t.me/mo114rf/76) Nova Ilyinka and engaged in battles for Berestky, advancing along the direction towards Stari Ternу, from where the way opens to the rear of the Ukrainian positions in the center of Kurakhovо.
▪️In Kurakhovо itself, Russian troops planted (https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/11846) flags on the territory of the Marinka power distribution station near Zaporizhia Avenue directly in the city.
🔻Unconfirmed reports indicate that battles are already taking place in the area of the Kurakhovо elevator and bus station, located in the center of the city near the bridge to Nova Ilyinka. To the southeast, assault groups are advancing along the Dolgaya Gully – some time ago, an important stronghold was taken in a battle, paving the way to the southern outskirts of the city.
To the south, Russian forces have finally liberated Dalneye (https://t.me/nm_dnr/13010) with the forces of the 102nd regiment of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Combined Arms Army. And during a raid by a Russian armored vehicle (https://t.me/plechomkplechy/2084) in the fields north of Ilyinka, it was possible to establish a more accurate configuration of the front line along the Dalneye – Pobeda line.
▪️At the same time, on the southern flank from the direction of Bohoyavlenka, a successful attack (https://t.me/voin_dv/11916) by a assault group of the 2nd battalion of the 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade was noted. The fighters expanded the control zone and occupied part of the enemy’s positions in the Lesnaya Dacha grove south of Veselyi Gai, the complete clearing of which will allow to outflank the AFU fortifications near Yelyzavetivka from the rear.
▪️At the same time, several days earlier, Russian troops entered Trudove and planted a flag on the southern outskirts of the village. At the moment, clashes continue in the settlement. To the west, the control zone has been expanded in the fields near Maksymivka and along the O0510 highway, where Ukrainian formations are trying to launch counterattacks and shell the forward defense lines of the Russian Armed Forces.
In this scenario, 85% of the Ukrainian Armed Forces group will perish.
Bankovaya and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already refused officers and soldiers from this direction the evacuation/retreat for the third time.
They demand that we hold our positions, otherwise everyone will get a “penalty” and be disgraced.
Sometimes it gets to the point that they even scare people with “friendly fire,” that in the event of an uncoordinated retreat, other units will shoot to kill.
The government is doing everything to ensure that soldiers die there for Zelensky’s government. 90% of them will still be listed as missing in action and their families will not be given anything.
The Ukrainian armed forces are withdrawing their troops from the center of Kurakhovo overnight. Everything is shifting further west to the Kurakhovo industrial area. From there they have already evacuated the hospital and headquarters to the area of Dachnoye. Evacuation and rotation is taking place there as well.
During yesterday’s day and night, 79 and 51 brigade of the AFU left a very important stronghold in the southeast of the city near Yuzhny district. Some of the personnel surrendered, some of them fought their way to the western outskirts of the city.
As of this morning, more than half of the city is already under our control.
Condotierro
Vremivka Direction: Liberation Rovnopole and a Dash to Velyka Novosilka from the East
Situation as of 5:00 PM on November 2024
Russian forces continue to systematically “cut off” the enemy’s salient in the Vremivka Direction, attacking towards Velyka Novosilka from several flanks. The offensive began late last week, and results can now be reported.
▪️Southwest of the key settlement in the area, Russian forces have liberated Rovnopole. In the village, fighters of the 5th Guards Army recently raised the Russian flag (https://t.me/voin_dv/11908). Battles in this area continued over the past week, and now the Russian Armed Forces have firmly established themselves in Rovnopole. In Novodarivka, fighting continues in the center of the settlement. Further east, in Makarivka, there is sporadic presence of scattered enemy detachments on the northern outskirts, but there is no talk of successful counterattacks, let alone control by the AFU over the settlement.
▪️From the direction of Yasna Poliana and Shakhtarske, very significant progress has been noted towards Razdilne. Several forest belts and strongpoints have come under the control of Russian forces. In fact, units of the 40th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and the 5th Tank Brigade have now reached the outskirts of Razdilne, while the 139th Separate Rifle Battalion has outflanked the settlement from the north, from the direction of the Nalyvach and Shulych gullies, practically reaching the T-05-18 highway. Some strongpoints to the southeast were taken without much difficulty, while on others the Ukrainian formations are desperately resisting.
▪️South of Razdilne, according to available data, in some areas they managed to advance up to 5.5 kilometers west, south of the Maltabar Gully. The Russian Armed Forces were able to reach practically the outskirts of Velyka Novosilka, advancing along the O0510 road. It is precisely between the Kashlahach River and the highway that the greatest advance of Russian troops is recorded.
🔻In the area between the Kashlahach and Shaitanka rivers, the enemy was also driven out of several forest belts. South of the Shaitanka, west of Novodonets’ke, there are also noticeable successes, where units of the 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade are advancing: the advance was about 5 kilometers towards Blahodatne.
According to the report,, such an operation is being developed in the West together with the Belarusian opposition.
It is noted that according to the plan, Belarus should first be attacked by gangs of nationalists, then mercenaries and NATO forces had to be involved.
The training of fighters for the attacks is assisted and performed by Polish intelligence services, the TV channel’s investigation claims.
Situation as of 5:00 PM on November 21, 2024
The Kupiansk-Svatove direction has seen increased combat activity and a breakthrough of Russian forces into Kupiansk. While fighting continues in the east, to the south, Russian forces are pushing through the AFU defense in Kolesnikivka and Zahryziovo.
▪️In mid-November, Russian forces broke through the Ukrainian defenses northwest of Petropavlivka during a rotation of AFU units, allowing them to advance.
🔻The Russian Armed Forces took control of the forest area and Kulahovo railway station, using it as a base to advance towards Kupiansk. They then entered the northeastern outskirts of the city.
❗️One target is the Kupiansk Feed Mill, a key AFU stronghold. Its liberation would allow the Russians to control the N-26 highway section from Kupiansk to Petropavlivka.
Simultaneously, Russian troops advanced towards the dairy canning plant and sugar factory, with the AFU redeploying reserves to the area.
❗️The front line configuration is unclear, as both sides limit media coverage.
▪️To the south, there are battles on the outskirts of Glushkovo. Russian forces dislodged the AFU from Kolesnikivka station and advanced north, aiming to encircle units in the Petropavlivka – Novoosykovo area.
South of Berestove and in the Stelmakhivka area, the Russian Armed Forces have also made tactical gains.
Chronicles of the special military operation
The Russian forces used a hypersonic medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM) “Oreshnik” for the first time against military facilities on the territory of the so-called Ukraine. The target was the production facilities of the “Yuzhmash” military plant in Dnipro.
In the Vremivka direction, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting on the approaches to Razdolne and Bolshaya Novoselka, advancing from the direction of Novodonetske and Yasnaya Polyana.
In the Kurakhovka direction, the Russian troops liberated Dalneye and expanded the control zone in the fields east of the village.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_21.html
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