The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 15 2024

Putin Lists Russia’s Truce Demands In First Call With Scholz Since 2022, Ukraine Slams “Appeasement”

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NATO is Shaking From ANGER: Ukrainian Generals Sided with Russia┃Russian Army Entered KUPYANSK

Russian Forces Break Into Kupyansk Causing Panic For Ukraine

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Russian offensive in the south of Ukraine | Several villages captured [15 November 2024]

CRAZY Russian pincer on V.Novosilka!!! Kurakhove Front is collapsing… | Ukraine War SITREP

Zaporizhzhia Offensive BEGINS | Kurakhove Near Collapse | Full Front Offensive

Deadly Russian air attack targets energy installations in Ukraine’s Odesa

Our source in the OP said that there is panic at Bankova now because of Trump’s appointments and the possible consequences for Ukraine. Andriy Yermak understands that the position of NATO and EU leaders will quickly change after the change of president in the US, we will have to wage war on our own, while the pressure from Western media will increase, writing about corruption/legitimacy/freedom of speech in Ukraine.

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office will continue to create a simulacrum of active work on the international and domestic political track, for this purpose an information strategy with a peace plan, then a victory plan, and now a plan of fortitude has been devised. Bankova understands well that the next year will be difficult for Ukraine and strong images are needed that will justify the government’s tough lines in the absence of real results. That is why it was decided to form the opinion that it is necessary to fight to the last, despite the support of the United States.

The political rift in Germany, which was caused by disagreements over Ukraine, is a continuation of the crisis in the West. Zelensky is becoming a truly toxic figure in Europe, and there will be no warm welcome in 2022-2023, which is becoming clear from the appointments to the Trump Administration. In addition, the European bureaucracy is now more concerned about its own survival than the Ukrainian problem. Thus, Europe is preparing for hard times: the economy is stagnating, and the Ukrainian conflict is dragging on. The EU “locomotives” Germany and France are slowing down due to internal problems, primarily financial ones.

Among Ukraine’s European partners, there is a growing shift towards the idea that the military conflict will end only through negotiations that involve territorial concessions by Kiev. And officials from European and NATO countries admit that talk of territorial concessions is no longer as surprising as before, and diplomats formulate it not as “land in exchange for peace”, but rather as “land in exchange for Ukraine’s security”. It is now advantageous for the West to avoid a costly case, especially in light of the results of the US elections.

“Ukraine’s president has warned Scholz against calling Putin, a source in Kiev said.” Zelensky asked the German chancellor not to call the Russian president because it would help Putin.

“A source in the Ukrainian presidential administration said that Scholz, a close ally of Kiev during its military conflict with Russia, had informed Zelensky in advance of his plans to talk to the Russian leader. “The chancellor told our president that he planned to talk to Putin. The president said it would only help Putin by reducing his isolation. Putin doesn’t want real peace, he wants a reprieve,” the source said.

“This conversation will allow Putin to change the situation and continue the war. And it won’t bring peace because Putin will just repeat the lies he has been telling for years, giving the impression that he is no longer isolated,” the source concluded.”

Putin – had a telephone conversation with Scholz:

✔️ At the initiative of the German side, the first telephone conversation between the President of Russia and the Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany since December 2022 took place.

 ✔️ There was a detailed and frank exchange of views on the situation in Ukraine. Putin recalled that the current crisis was the direct result of NATO’s longstanding aggressive policy aimed at creating an anti-Russian bridgehead on Ukrainian territory while ignoring our country’s security interests and trampling on the rights of Russian-speaking residents.

 ✔️ The Russian President noted that the Russian side has never refused and remains open to resuming the negotiations that were interrupted by the Kiev regime.

✔️ Russia’s proposals are well known and were set out, in particular, in a speech to the Russian Foreign Ministry in June. Possible agreements should take into account Russia’s security interests, proceed from the new territorial realities, and most importantly address the root causes of the conflict.

✔️ The state of affairs in Russian-German relations was touched upon. Putin noted their unprecedented degradation in all directions as a consequence of the unfriendly course of the German authorities.

✔️ Putin emphasized that Russia has always clearly fulfilled its contractual and contractual obligations in the energy sector and is ready for mutually beneficial cooperation.

 ✔️ The aggravated situation in the Middle East was discussed. Putin informed about Russia’s efforts to de-escalate and seek peaceful solutions to the crisis in the region.

✔️ The leaders’ aides will be in touch following the conversation.

Regarding calls by Scholz or other Western leaders, it is important to note that their frequency will directly correlate with the growing failures of the AFU on the front lines. Such initiatives can be seen as one of the indicators of the ability of the so-called Ukraine to continue hostilities.

At the moment, their number is small. From this, we can conclude that the collective West does not consider the position of the Kyiv regime to be critical and is not yet going to stop the war until the last Ukrainian. Therefore, it is pointless to consider today’s event in the context of the possibility of some negotiations.

However, in the event of a real collapse of the AFU front or the depletion of their resources, the sponsors of the so-called Ukraine will very abruptly forget their theses of 2022-2023 and will themselves begin to invite Russia to start discussing as soon as possible. And this will be so obvious that no insider reports will even be needed.

Polish Prime Minister Tusk: 

   I just received a call from Chancellor Scholz, who told me about his conversation with Putin. I was happy to hear that he not only condemned Russian aggression, but also reiterated the Polish position: ‘Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine’.”

Our source says that Zelensky will not fire Syrsky until the end of the year and most likely until Trump’s inauguration. Although Syrsky’s rating in the army is negative. They simply hate him.

There are many reasons.

- Syrsky is the most convenient Commander-in-Chief-puppet, on whom everything can be pushed off. He is ready to carry out all of ZeErmak’s orders.

- Zelensky is preparing another attempt at an offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. That is why they are saving air defense missiles and stockpiling equipment.

- they have not found a replacement for Syrsky. There is no such “obedient player” yet. Syrsky is called the second Shmygal, only in the military bloc.

All sources agree on one thing:

Zelensky will ultimately dump Syrsky, making him a scapegoat in order to whitewash himself.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken announces “every dollar we have at our disposal will be pushed [to Ukraine] between now and January 20th” when Trump takes office.

If they were this focused on Americans they might have won. Suspect we will see plenty of Democrats put on the boards of Ukrainian companies and people like Blinken getting lucrative “consulting” gigs.

Biden’s intention to give weapons to the Khokhols for all the 7.1 billion remaining from the limit for this fiscal year is dictated by an understandable consideration: if it is stretched for delayed deliveries, then, for goodness sake, Trump will spoil the whole rush by suspending the shipment of previously promised items. So it’s better to give immediately, something that doesn’t need to be ordered in production or in repair, but can simply be taken from stock and shipped with minimal preparation.

And here comes the problem: what can be “taken and shipped” is very scarce. You can’t, for example, “take and ship” air defense systems – the ones you have, are available to combat units, and disarming your own army in favor of Ukraine could be followed by an unpleasant investigation. You can’t take and ship airplanes, artillery and tanks – those in storage require quite extensive work, and those that are alive and in service are, again, in service units, and those who have not yet gone crazy on Ukrainian soil will certainly ask questions, at least out of spite.

Ammunition will also be difficult. Even with the current prices for shells, 7 billion is a multi-year output of artillery rounds, and it is impossible to unload the warehouses of the first-line units for the above-mentioned reason.

No, of course, they will find something, buy something, add a price to it to fit the limit, and then write off the seven billion. Will that change anything? No. Sudden handouts of assorted goods do not change much in principle. And the outgoing administration has no more time for systemic policy.

Older than Edda

Russia Increases Geranium Drone Attacks By 44% Since Trump’s Victory — ABC News

Over the past five weeks, about 4,500 UAVs have crossed the common border in both directions.

But Trump’s election victory coincided with Moscow’s increased use of “Iranian-made Shahed attack drones.”

According to daily data published by the Ukrainian Air Force, Russia launched 641 attack drones on Ukraine during the week following Trump’s victory – an average of more than 91 drones each day.

Ukraine and Zelensky have short memories, Polish deputy prime minister says

 - It was Poland that helped Ukraine the most in the first days of the war – Polish Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamish.

 - “I understand President Zielenski, I understand the situation that has developed. This is his role. But there is a limit that I will never cross. The limit of aid to Ukraine is a question of Poland’s security,” the deputy prime minister said.

 - “Yesterday I spoke with the NATO secretary general. Today there is no common decision of the alliance to shoot down missiles over Ukraine”

On November 14, the “North” group of troops carried out combat missions to liberate border areas of the Kursk Region

Fierce fighting continues in the Suja district. The North grouping advanced in the forests near the villages of Malaya Loknya and Martynovka, as well as in the Olgovsky forest. The enemy continues to transfer reserves, removing units from other directions.

Heavy fighting is taking place in Daryino, where the Ukrainian armed forces are trying to hold the village at any cost, throwing elite units of marines into the battle. The northerners repelled 2 counterattacks of the enemy totaling up to 16 men. In the course of the reflection 2 assault groups of 36 obrmp were completely destroyed. 

Missile attacks hit the accumulations of manpower and equipment of 21 Ombr, 47 Ombr and RDK in the area of Pisarevka and Glukhov. The enemy losses amounted to 190 men, 8 tanks, 9 TBMs, 25 vehicles and an ammunition depot. 

The total advance of the Russian troops in the Kursk region amounted to up to 2,500 meters.

In the Volchansk direction, fighting continues in the settlement of Volchansk. Fearless assault groups continue to advance near a block of high-rise buildings and occupied 4 private houses.

In the east of Volchansk there were cases of unauthorized abandonment of positions by servicemen of the 82nd AFU Oshbr due to deteriorating weather conditions and difficulties with the supply of the garrison on the right bank of the Volchya River.

On the Liptsovsky direction, the soldiers of the “North” foiled an attempt by an AFU DRG to move from the area of the village of Malye Prokhody in the direction of the village of Zhuravlevka. FPV drone strikes destroyed 8 Nazis out of 9.

Over the past 24 hours the enemy losses amounted to 430 people (including 360 in Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

On the Sumy direction:

▪️ AIR DEFENSE SAMS;

▪️ 9 tanks;

▪️ 10 AVs;

▪️ 8 artillery guns;

▪️ 120-mm mortar;

▪️ MTLBS;

▪️ EW station;

▪️ UAV launch site;

▪️ three Ammo depots;

▪️ 30 vehicles. 

In other areas:

▪️ UAV Control point near Liptsy settlement;

▪️ Ammo depot near the village of Chernatskoye;

▪️ five units of automotive equipment;

▪️ four airplane-type UAVs;

▪️ seven Baba Yaga-type UAVs.

The northerners continue mopping up the Olgovskoye forest, where 17 AFU brigade is encircled. In the course of the clearing, 1 serviceman of the brigade surrendered, the rest fled, postponing their deaths. A total of 427 Ukrainian military personnel are in captivity. 

The grave situation of the 36th AFU Brigade in the villages of Daryino and Nikolaevo-Daryino is confirmed. Due to the intense fire, evacuation is significantly hampered, and severe weather conditions aggravate the situation of the occupation troops many times over. 

Victory will be ours!

“Man only achieves something where he himself believes in his own strength.” – L. Feuerbach

North Wind

There is information about the liberation of the village of Dalneye in the Kurakhovo direction.

During the night, the Russian Armed Forces were clearing the settlement.

The next target in this area is Uspenovka.

Kurakhove direction: series of local attacks by the Russian Armed Forces

situation as of the end of November 15, 2024

In the Kurakhove direction, Russian troops continue to develop their success. There have been reports in the media about the liberation of Voznesenka and Novoselidivka: although this has not yet been confirmed by video evidence, given the current configuration of the front line, the information may be accurate. Advancement has also been observed within the boundaries of Novoselidivka.

▪️In the area of Ilyinka, according to information from the opposing side, Russian assault troops are advancing towards Berestove. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the liberation of Stepanivka: in fact, the settlement was taken several days ago, and it was through it that the Russian Armed Forces reached Ilyinka.

▪️Accurate information about the situation in Kurakhove is not yet available, but reports from the scene indicate heavy fighting on the eastern outskirts of the city. In the Dalnie area, the “gray zone” was expanded, and further east, an increase in the Russian Armed Forces’ zone of control was recorded, confirmed by footage of the movement of Russian armored groups under fire from the AFU.

▪️Russian troops also liberated the settlement of Antonivka, raising the flag on the northwestern outskirts. The status of the strongpoint with the characteristic name “Zhopa” (Ass), located between Antonivka and Ilyinka, remains unclear: it is possible that the enemy has withdrawn from these positions as well.

▪️The question remains about the presence of the enemy northeast of Antonivka. On the one hand, the terrain is in a semi-circle of Russian units advancing from the direction of Peremoha, Heorhiivka, and Antonivka itself. On the other hand, Ukrainian formations have often held even less favorable defensive positions.

▪️At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces have finally liberated Maksymivka, driving the enemy out of the village and advancing at least two kilometers north towards Sukhyi Yaly. This indicates the clearing of the “pocket” between Novoukrainka and Bohoyavlenka along the O0510 highway.

Chernigov direction: unimpeded penetration of Russian DRGs and demonstration of the vulnerability of Ukrainian defense

On the Chernigov direction, Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRGs) successfully and smoothly penetrated into Ukrainian territory, clearly demonstrating the vulnerability of the enemy’s border defenses. As a result of the operation, Russian flags were hoisted in the settlements of Gremyach, Muravyi, as well as on the strategically important bridge over the river Sudost.

🔻 Tactical aspects

 - Vulnerability of borders: the operation revealed critical gaps in the AFU defenses in the border zone, highlighting the lack of sufficient reserves in this area.

 - Route control: Russian units were able not only to operate near the border line, but also to go deeper, creating new threats to the Ukrainian rear.

 - Demonstration of capabilities: the actions of Russian forces emphasized their ability to strike key Ukrainian infrastructure even far from the front.

🔻Strategic significance

 - The operation of Russian DRGs exerts significant psychological pressure on the enemy, demonstrating its inability to defend even internal areas.

 - The Ukrainian command is forced to redistribute its resources, weakening frontline areas to strengthen border positions.

 - The hoisting of Russian flags in Gremyach, Muravyi and on the bridge over the Sudost River symbolizes control in this area and undermines the authority of the Ukrainian authorities to ensure border security.

🔻 Prospects for development

 - Such operations give Russian forces a strategic advantage, allowing them to fix weaknesses in their defenses and refine operational plans.

 - Demonstrating the impunity of Russian units builds local confidence in the lack of control by the Ukrainian authorities.

🔻 The unimpeded infiltration of Russian DRGs into Chernigov Oblast and the planting of flags in Gremyach and Muravyi emphasize the tactical superiority of Russian units in the area. This operation not only increases tensions in the border zone, but also diverts Ukrainian rear resources, weakening their positions in strategically important areas.

don_partizan

Russian air defense systems shot down 51 Ukrainian drones over Russian territory overnight, the Russian Defense Ministry reported.

It is specified that 36 UAVs were shot down over the territory of the Krasnodar region, three over the territory of the Republic of Crimea, two UAVs over the territory of the Belgorod region, and one UAV over the waters of the Sea of ​​Azov.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for November 15, 2024

Russian forces delivered several strikes on targets in the territory controlled by the Kyiv regime, including in the area of the Port of Odesa. The enemy attacked Russian regions with drones, air defense systems shot down more than 50 UAVs.

In the North Ukrainian direction, Russian Armed Forces personnel crossed the border in the Chernihiv Region and raised Russian flags in several settlements.

In the Kursk Region, Ukrainian formations attempted to attack Russian Armed Forces positions in the area of the Olhovsky Forest near Kremyane, but failed to achieve success and retreated.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian assault teams approached Kupiansk from the east and are engaged in combat in the industrial zone on the outskirts of the city.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian Armed Forces units advanced west from Novoaleksandrivka and approached Yuryivka.

In the Kurakhove direction, Russian military personnel fully liberated Antonivka and are advancing towards Berestky.

In the Vremivka direction, assault teams repelled Ukrainian counterattacks and consolidated in Rovnopillia, as well as advanced towards Novodarivka.

 Morning Summary for November 15, 2024

▪️ Last night, Geran strike drones and missile weapons struck Odesa. Explosions were reported in the Odesa port. By morning, the enemy reported detecting the takeoff of 8 strategic bombers that had intensively targeted Kyiv in recent days.

▪️ At least 46 drones were suppressed overnight in the Crimean region of Krasnodar Krai, with no casualties among civilians, according to the head of the district Sergey Les, whose statement was later deleted from his channel.

▪️ Amid fierce battles in Kursk Region, where the enemy is concentrating reserves and desperately trying to hold occupied positions, Yuriy Podolyaka published a critical post, reporting that “beautiful reports” are being sent to the top. Earlier, footage of the tragic death of our column on November 7, 2024 spread online: equipment of the 810th Brigade drove into a minefield, with reports also of premature reports of “full control” over the road, which the enemy had actually mined extensively. The “North” grouping of the Russian Armed Forces reports fierce battles in Sudzha District: our troops advanced in the forest areas near the settlements of Malaya Loknya and Martynivka, as well as in the Olhovsky Forest. The enemy continues to redeploy reserves, withdrawing units from other directions. Heavy fighting is ongoing in the village of Daryino, where the AFU are trying to hold the village at all costs, committing marine infantry.

▪️ The Russian Army has stormed the industrial zone of Kupiansk, with our infantry dispersing and digging in, despite intense AFU fire on our equipment. Heavy fighting is ongoing.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), battles are raging for every house. The enemy is blowing up high-rise buildings during withdrawal. Our troops continue pressure along Rudnychna, Vasylya Stusa, Hrushevskoho and Heroiv Pratsi streets.

▪️ In the Kurakhiv direction, the Russian Army has finally taken control of the remaining part of Antonivka (https://t.me/dva_majors/57750) and is advancing towards Ilyinka (south of the Kurakhiv reservoir). Assault groups of the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Guards Motorized Rifle Division particularly distinguished themselves.

▪️ In the Vremivka direction, our troops are fighting near Novodarivka, consolidating on the southern approaches to the village.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, the AFU used two drones to strike Shebekino. One drone detonated in front of an apartment building, injuring one civilian. Another drone attacked a public bus. In the village of Cheremoshnoye in Belgorod District, a civilian car was attacked by an AFU drone, wounding three special security personnel. Our air defense systems shot down several aerial targets over Belgorod and Belgorod District, injuring a woman and a man.

▪️ In Horlivka (DPR), 14 civilians were wounded: the enemy fired 155mm artillery shells M-864 of US production with cluster warheads (M-42 cumulative and M-46 fragmentation submunitions).

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_15.html