The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 21 2024

Zelensky victory plan, enter NATO

CNN Admits US Out of Arms for Kiev As Russian Forces Gain Ground

Kursk Failure: Zelensky To Punish Ukraine Spy Boss, Defence Minister? Scapegoats For Russian Wins?

Russia “Downs” 101 Drones | Ukraine Joins NATO Drills | No US-UK Nod To Long-Range Strikes On Russia

Russia Has Eliminated A Group of Polish Army Officers In LVIV┃The City of SELIDOVO Is Going To FALL

According to insiders, one of the points of Zelensky’s “victory plan” that he will take to Washington is approval of strikes with ATACMS maximum-range ballistic missiles not just deep into Russia, but approval of such strikes on political targets in Moscow. Zelensky will try to convince the US leadership that several such strikes and Vladimir Putin will literally agree to all of Kyiv’s conditions, if only Ukraine would stop bombing Moscow. In this configuration, Zelensky proposes to strike in October, and a peace summit is already possible in November. He does not consider any other option for ending the war. In the event of a refusal by the US, the war will continue at its current pace.

INSIDER-T

Zelensky’s victory plan includes inviting Ukraine to NATO, and a constant supply of weapons and finances from the US and EU, Bloomberg.

Zelensky is in a state of complete inadequacy. All his actions are aimed not at finding a “peace formula”, but at creating a “war formula”.

INSIDER-T

The West must put an end to Ukraine’s hopes of joining NATO, writes The Washington Post.

Diplomats, former leaders, current and former American officials, and analysts warn that the West has consistently underestimated Russian President Vladimir Putin. Some warn that Western countries must be prepared for a direct military confrontation.

Even those who have long advocated working with Moscow to end the conflict in Ukraine believe that a prolonged period of hostility – a new Cold War – is inevitable and oppose giving in to Moscow’s demands, the newspaper writes.

The West must persuade Kiev to give up territory and perhaps offer Russia sanctions relief,

— the publication describes an opinion that is gaining popularity in the Western establishment.

WP notes that the Western elites’ realization of the futility of further confrontation with Russia was preceded by the failure of all attempts to undermine the economy and military-industrial complex of Russia.

US delays permission to strike Russia due to Harris election campaign

As The Times writes, the White House is convinced that allowing the Ukrainian Armed Forces to strike the Russian rear with long-range weapons (which will inevitably lead to an increase in global tension) will harm Kamala Harris’s ratings. Before the elections, the fact of issuing the permission and the strikes themselves will be kept secret for as long as possible.

At the same time, according to the newspaper, Kiev may receive unofficial permission to attack with Storm Shadow missiles in the coming weeks. Great Britain and the United States were going to make such a decision after high-ranking officials visited Ukraine in early September, but they still postponed the corresponding statement.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has again rejected the possibility of transferring Taurus cruise missiles to Kyiv, which have a range of about 500 km.

“Although many are putting pressure on me, I will not deliver cruise missiles that are capable of reaching Moscow,” he said during a meeting with citizens in the community of Niedergörsdorf (Brandenburg). “I can assure and I assure you here in this place: I will remain in this position,” Scholz asserted.

At the same time, the Chancellor again stressed the need to explore ways of peacefully resolving the conflict in Ukraine. “Now is the time to explore what possibilities there are,” Scholz said.

Our source at Bankova reported that the Presidential Office wants to use Russian oppositionists to hold the second peace forum, for this we are actively using British intelligence, which is working with the exchanged Russian oppositionists. Zelensky hastened to voice the essence of the plan, which is why there was a denial, and no one in the Kremlin knows about the negotiations process.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

Yermak and Zelensky are launching another PR campaign instead of a real negotiation process. Most likely, marginal oppositionists will act as negotiators on the Russian side.

Bankova is confident that such political technologies will allow destabilizing the situation inside Russia. The bet is that Yashin, Ponomarev and other Russian oppositionists will be able to discredit the local authorities, who are not going to negotiate.

But the reality is that after the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ invasion of the Kursk region, Russians have become even more radicalized. There are no mass aspirations of Russians to conclude a quick peace. Quite the opposite – the enemy’s territorial ambitions are growing.

We have failed to work in the Global South thanks to Yermak’s diplomacy. Now we will completely lose the levers of influence on the internal situation in Russia.

There is no need to decipher Zaluzhny’s words that he could not act differently and was forced to leave as ambassador to Britain. Everyone in the command expected that the ex-Commander-in-Chief would speak out against Zelensky’s policy and take power into his own hands, but history is written only once and it will not be possible to play out the situation.

Our source reports that the protest mood in society regarding the Zemobilization case continues to grow.

In addition to the hatred of relatives whose sons/husbands were kidnapped, hatred is also growing among those soldiers who were thrown into the army in this way.

The motivation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers is also falling, as the number of “forcefully driven” soldiers is growing. Disappointment among the masses is growing.

It turns out that Bankova has created a huge time bomb for itself, when the number of those in the army who hate Zelensky and his government increases.

When all this “fucking happens”, then Zelensky, his government and his entourage will be in complete disarray.

Western experts are aware of this, that’s why they want to dump Zelensky, replacing him with another one, to “let off steam” and keep the asset in their hands. Zelensky knows this. That’s why he wants to remove Budanov and Umerov as the “last” Western protégés who have access to the “headquarters”.

Ukraine is facing a large-scale political crisis.

CNN reports that the US will announce a significant arms package to Ukraine next week, but will delay the delivery due to a shortage of weapons in Pentagon warehouses.

In Telegram, they are discussing that Defense Minister Rustem Umerov and the head of the GUR Kirill Budanov may be dismissed from their posts. Back in May, our source reported that the Head of the GUR was gaining ratings, which Yermak really doesn’t like, and now they are discussing the format of the resignation.

The sources also confirm the information that the decision to dismiss the deputy heads of the GUR Viktor Zaitsev and Igor Ostapenko was made without the consent of Budanov himself.

“The decision was made last week. The fact is that there is serious tension between Budanov and the head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak. Budanov is one of the few influential people in Zelensky’s inner circle who are alternatives to Yermak,” the source claims.

Possible candidates to replace Budanov are also being discussed behind the scenes.

“There are rumors that the head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, Oleg Ivaschenko, Budanov’s former deputy, may return to the ‘island’ as the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate, and the current Minister of Defense, Rustem Umerov, may be appointed head of the Foreign Intelligence Service.

On the attack by Ukrainian drones

Last night, Ukrainian formations carried out another massive launch of drones against the rear regions of Russia. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, air defense systems intercepted over 100 drones.

▪️One of the targets of the enemy’s attack was an ammunition depot on the territory of a military unit north of the village of Kamenny in Krasnodar Krai. As in the case of Toropets, the regional authorities again reported the fall of ammunition debris, as well as a fire and detonation of explosive objects.

Nevertheless, the media space is already filled with footage showing a powerful explosion with characteristic sounds of secondary detonation. Against the background of the incident, the nearby settlement was evacuated. However, the results of the attack will be clear after the publication of satellite images.

▪️In the Tver Region, Ukrainian drones attacked the 23rd arsenal of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate near the village of Oktyabrsky, which is less than 20 km south of Toropets. According to thermal signatures from the satellite, a fire broke out on the territory of the facility.

Against the background of the incident, it was reported that the Staraya Toropa railway station, located to the south, was evacuated: several passenger trains were canceled, others were sent along an alternative route.

▪️In other regions, there was no significant damage or casualties. Most of the drones were shot down in the Bryansk Region and over the waters of the Sea of Azov. In total, air defense systems were activated in eight regions of Russia.

🔻The recent raids by Ukrainian formations clearly demonstrate that, in addition to the already familiar targets of fuel and energy infrastructure and airfields, large ammunition depots have become one of the targets of the attacks.

And given the high production volumes of enemy drones, which fully cover the consumption of devices during previous attacks, such raids are likely to intensify.

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The Russian Armed Forces have identified all key commanders of the Ukrainian army located in the Kursk region

All these military leaders are expected to be declared legitimate targets, after which work will begin to identify and destroy them. “It is clear that the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Syrsky, and his deputies do not go to the Kursk border area, they are afraid that they will simply not return. But other military leaders come to the settlements of the Kursk region controlled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and quite regularly. In this regard, the Russian military has begun to actively work to identify them, if the order is given, the Russian Armed Forces are ready to begin their destruction,” the insiders add.

INSIDER-T

Sudzha noose.

It is, of course, premature to say that “the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Kursk Oblast are facing destruction”, but some things are already beginning to emerge. By and large, several important circumstances are developing: the gradual exhaustion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ resources for the Kursk operation, the approach and deployment of the main forces of the Russian Federation, as well as a flank attack from Snagost. It was this attack that the Ukrainian Armed Forces tried to counter with a kind of uppercut near Vesyoloye and Novy Put, but it seems that the Russian General Staff had foreseen such a development. The current state of affairs near Sudzha is called a “noose” for a reason. The isolation of two combat areas is underway actions with parallel work to prevent a third from happening. Parallel to these events, the isolation of the escape routes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is underway both in the Kursk and Sumy regions.

During the invasion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Russian region, four conscripts were surrounded in the area of ​ ​ the village of Darino, Korenevsky district. With them they had machine guns with a small number of cartridges and two grenades. They were not going to surrender, so they went into the forest near the village, from where they followed the enemy and collected information that could be useful to our military, applying it to the maps at their disposal.

Four surronded conscripts, spent 39 days until the Marines from the 155th Pacific Fleet Brigade liberated Darino. 

“Группа рядового Ивана” (“Private Ivan’s group,”) as it was called by the name of the commander, went to our soldiers and gave them the collected information, including the coordinates of the identified targets.

topwar_official

Kursk Direction: Repelling Attacks by Ukrainian Formations Along the Entire Front Line

Situation as of 8:00 PM on September 21, 2024

Despite a slight decrease in the pace of the offensive in the Kursk direction, the Russian forces continue the operation to liberate the territory occupied by the AFU.

▪️In the Glushkovo District, the AFU have not abandoned their attempts to advance towards the district center from the villages of Novyi Put and Medvezhe, but as before, without success. The enemy’s engineering units have intensified their efforts to prepare passages through minefields, likely in anticipation of another offensive.

At the same time, the Russian forces do not stop striking Ukrainian positions in the Sumy Region and the occupied territories of the Kursk Region in order to reduce the enemy’s combat potential. For example, in Stepove, drones struck hangars with Ukrainian equipment and temporary deployment points of the AFU.

▪️The Russian Aerospace Forces are also effectively operating in the Korenevo District, where the positions of Ukrainian formations in Olhovka and in the forest near Kremyanoye were hit. At the same time, another attempt by the AFU to counterattack Russian units in the western part of Lyubimovka was thwarted.

▪️In the Sudzha District, Russian soldiers are clearing the area south of Kamyshevka. A platoon of paratroopers from the 83rd Brigade on armored vehicles reached the enemy’s positions through a field and took control of two AFU strongholds. In Novoivanovka, the AFU deployed an American M777 howitzer, which was also destroyed by the Russian forces.

On the southern flank, there are both footage of objective control showing destroyed AFU equipment, including the 2S3 Akatsiya self-propelled howitzer, and video materials of the disruption of the evacuation of members of Ukrainian formations in the area of Russkaya Konopelka.

rybar

Situation in the Kursk direction

• The Russian Armed Forces are repelling attacks in the Glushkovo District, destroying the enemy’s logistics;

• Fighting is ongoing for the settlement of Vesele, the enemy is using foreign equipment, and foreign speech is heard in radio intercepts;

• Fighting continues near the settlement of Kremyane, the enemy is scattering petals and actively using FPV drones;

• The enemy’s reconnaissance groups are operating in the area of the settlement of Bolshesoldatskoye, flying in from Mikhailovka and using FPV drones against vehicles.

Spetsnaz Archangel

South Donetsk Direction: Advances by the Russian Armed Forces in Several Sectors

Situation as of 3:00 PM on September 21, 2024

Over the past few weeks, Russian Armed Forces units have been developing an offensive in the Vuhledar area: earlier on this section of the front, Russian troops successfully expanded (https://t.me/rybar/63570) the zone of control near the Yuzhnodonbass Mine No. 3, and yesterday evening footage appeared (https://t.me/voin_dv/10880) confirming the advance of assault troops towards Novoukrainka.

▪️On the northern flank, the clearing of the remaining part of Kostyantynivka, where pockets of enemy presence had persisted until then, has been completed. However, the work of Russian fighters is complicated by the active use of drones by Ukrainian formations.

▪️Significant successes have been achieved in recent days in the Vodyane area, where Russian troops have taken control of areas north of the settlement, as well as in the vicinity of the Yuzhnodonbass Mine No. 1. Meanwhile, fighting is ongoing on the western outskirts of the eponymous facility No. 3.

▪️On the southern flank, there is evidence of the advance of the Russian Armed Forces north of Prechystivka: there, a Russian armored group advanced through the fields towards Novoukrainka, essentially without encountering significant resistance from the AFU. Footage was also published online showing the capture of members of Ukrainian formations in this area.

However, the subsequent assault on Novoukrainka may be complicated by the geographical features of the terrain – the settlement and its surroundings are located on high ground, which somewhat facilitates its defense against attackers from the lowlands.

🔻Against the backdrop of the recent advances of the Russian Armed Forces in the South Donetsk direction, the enemy is in a rather dismal position. After losing control of the buildings of the crushing and sorting departments of the Yuzhnodonbass Mines No. 1 and No. 3, Ukrainian formations have lost the ability to monitor the situation for dozens of kilometers around.

It seems that the Russian command has abandoned the frontal assault on the AFU positions in Vuhledar, which, although already heavily destroyed, remains a convenient defensive settlement. Instead, units are advancing in neighboring areas from the direction of Vodyane and Prechystivka, while simultaneously cutting off supply routes to the Ukrainian garrison in Vuhledar.

rybar

Details have emerged of the Russian breakthrough near Ugledar. Russian troops have advanced more than 4,000 meters north, occupying an area of ​​22 square kilometers, including both lines of trenches north of Prechistovka.

Ukrainian sources have recently sounded the alarm about a possible Russian offensive in the area. This has now been confirmed by UAV footage, with Russian positions geolocated at 47.79802 and 37.12565.

There are only 2600 meters left to Novoukrainka.

Nobody is going to storm Ugledar. It’s clear that soon they will be doomed there without supplies.

Lyman Direction: Liberation of Nevske

Situation as of 7:00 PM on September 21, 2024

If yesterday in patriotic media the long-awaited liberation (https://t.me/rybar/63691) of Makiivka was discussed in the context of the operational situation in the Lyman direction, today there is another reason for joy – a Russian flag was installed (https://t.me/dva_majors/53246) 4 kilometers south in Nevske.

At the moment, it is not reliably known from which direction the advance of Russian troops took place: either from the side of the Zhuravka gully, where the zone of control of the Russian Armed Forces was also expanded the day before, or from the side of Makiivka.

Nevertheless, with the occupation of Nevske, there is no point for Ukrainian formations to remain either north or east of the settlement, since in the opposite case they will be in de facto semi-encirclement. Therefore, the presence of the enemy in these areas is highly unlikely.

🔻The liberation of Nevske itself is another accomplished task on the way to eliminating the AFU bridgehead on the right bank of the Zherebets River. In the future, one should expect increased pressure from Russian troops towards the line of Ternove – Torske, which will be quite difficult for the enemy to hold.

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Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_21.html