The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 20 2024

EU Chief Ursula Von Der Leyen Arrives In Kyiv As Russia Targets Ukraine’s Energy Infrastructure

Russia’s Big Nuclear War Threat To EU, Says Putin’s ‘Invincible’ Sarmat ICBM Can Strike In 3 Minutes

Putin’s Men Encircle Ukrainian Troops, NATO Armour In Kursk.

Russia Announced the Destruction of the U.S. Special Forces Unit in the KURSK Region

Captured Ukrainian Soldier Exposes Zelensky On Cam; ‘Sent On One-Way Mission To Kursk…’

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky’s victory plan, which he is taking to the US, is another media project of Yermak for the international track. For Bankova, information presence in Western media is important, that is why a peace summit was held, which ended in nothing, now it is necessary to actualize the further fight with Russia against the background of the EU/US countries’ fatigue from the war in Ukraine.

Our source says Zelensky will present Biden/Harris and Trump with distinct versions of his “winning plan.”

Trump will be shown a truncated version.

Also, the President’s Office can set up Trump when this plan is shown to him, and after some time it will appear in the media (the office itself will leak it), but everyone will accuse Trump’s team of working for the Kremlin, which will give some points to Harris’ team and the Democrats.

All our sources are sure that the whole game is being played only to try to discredit Trump. There is no “winning plan”. The whole formula is simple: “give money and weapons”, the rest is “rat fight” and creating noise.

Another illusion about a possible format for ending the war next year was thrown in by the Presidential Office through RBC in order to test public opinion.

There is an opinion in Ukraine and the West that in 2025 the fighting will finally cease and preparations for the elections will begin , -RBC, citing sources

Sources claim that this will supposedly happen already at the end of next spring : “And this will a priori mean the lifting of martial law.”

However , none of the sources were able to answer the key question: how this will work in practice.

The West, which provides military and financial assistance to Ukraine, does not want a victory for Kyiv, but a weakening of Russia in order to conclude a favorable agreement with the Kremlin on the delimitation of influence in the world.

 This can be judged by the words of the director of the School of International Relations and professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews, Philips O’Brien.

“The West does not want the collapse of the Russian Federation. The largest partners, for example the United States, are arming Ukraine not in order to defeat Russia, but to bleed it dry. And to try to reach a peace agreement, but one that will not lead to the fall of Putin’s power,” O’Brien noted.

Ukraine has become the best weapons testing ground for Western countries to test various new American and European weapons systems. No one is seriously thinking about defeating the Russian Federation (especially after the failure of the sanctions policy and the failed offensive operations of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, not to mention the losses that the Ukrainian army suffered in manpower and Western equipment). And in the West they openly said that Ukraine is just a testing ground, since the allies have the opportunity to test all hypotheses in combat and make revolutionary changes in military technology and modern warfare.

The West’s use of Ukraine as a testing ground for weapons is destroying our country. For example, the increasingly likely lifting of bans and restrictions on the use of Western weapons on Russian territory could push the West’s enemies – the same Iran, the DPRK, and then China – to also test their weapons in Ukraine during real combat operations.

Kyiv was not given new money, as Zelensky wanted.

They promise to issue the previously promised loan faster.

 Ukraine will receive a loan of 35 billion euros from the previously agreed upon loan of 50 billion dollars by the G7, said the head of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen.

Allegedly, such a speed of allocation of funds is connected with missile attacks on the Russian Federation. The money should go to energy and security, but as usual, it will go to the war and into the pockets of functionaries, and Ukrainians will still sit without electricity and heat.

Also, according to our data, such a rush to allocate such a sum means that Kyiv did not have enough money to pay creditors, the military, to cover the budget deficit, to provide for the army, etc.

War is becoming more expensive every day.

All these loans will be placed on Ukrainians, but will be stolen by Zelensky’s entourage.

 EMPTY PROMISE BY THE EU!

“When the war in Ukraine began and we promised Ukraine that we would give it 1 million shells, we said this without knowing whether we would be able to and then it turned out that we couldn’t.

We are not in a state of war and we do not want it. But we are far from replenishing our armies’ reserves, we are far from providing Ukraine with all the necessary assistance.

We have a very significant technological gap, which in a geopolitical context is becoming very threatening. We live in a harsh, conflict-ridden, fragmented world”

— the outgoing head of European diplomacy, Josep Borrell

Ursula “Queen of the EU” von der Liar came to Kiev to calm Zelensky. He will not be allowed to quarrel with Poland and Germany today, which we will see in his speeches in the near future. 

By the arrival of the Lady, Zelensky ordered to throw more meat and equipment into the Kursk region. This is also seen in the activation of the enemy in the area of Veseloye and Olgovka.

We’ve had many alleged game-changing weapons these past two-and-a-half years, and most Western media happily lap up claims that this or that missile, plane or artillery piece will change battlefield dynamics. But as Ukraine’s former armed forces commander General Valery Zaluzhny used to say, according to those who served under him, this is a “War of One Chance.”

“By that, he meant weapons systems become redundant very quickly because they’re quickly countered by the Russians … They don’t give us a second chance,” an officer told Unpacked earlier this year.

And when questioned one-on-one about, say, whether the war is winnable in the maximal sense, or asked what the West’s war aims are and why they’ve never really debated or clearly outlined them aside from saying they’ll back Ukraine for as long as it takes, conference participants shifted uneasily, with most still subscribing — admittedly self-consciously — to the overall stated goal of returning Ukraine to its 1991 borders, including Crimea.

Speaking at the conference via video, U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan said: “Any plan that basically aims to dictate peace conditions on Ukraine … is not sustainable,” underlining the importance of the long-stated principle that nothing will be decided about Ukraine without Ukraine agreeing. And that’s praiseworthy — modern European history is full of big powers making dirty deals that override national wishes, from the ignoble Munich Agreement to the 1945 Yalta Conference that put the Iron Curtain in place. But there’s an even older axiom to consider: He who pays the piper calls the tune.

So, what tune should be called here? At the moment, few Western leaders are publicly suggesting the way things are going is hopeless, with no real endgame in sight, and can no longer continue in this way. And while some are muttering about explored negotiations privately, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz seems to be the rare exception to speak publicly.

Zelensky plans to “put an end to” the conflict with Russia this year

He stated this at a meeting with the head of the EC Ursula von der Leyen. Zelensky added that he had prepared only one plan for resolving the conflict with Russia – this is the “victory plan”, which was announced in August.

Аccording to him, Ukraine does not have a Plan B, since “the country is already living in it.”

“Yesterday, a journalist asked me a question: what will happen if President Biden does not support your plan? Is there a plan B? I answered frankly that we are already in plan B, we are living in it and fighting,”

-  Zelensky said.

On Western Missiles with the AFU and the Possible Authorization for Their Use

For more than a week now, the Western and Ukrainian information space has been discussing the need to allow the AFU to use Western long-range weapons against former Russian territories.

So far, only the British authorities have given approval for Ukrainian formations to use Storm Shadow cruise missiles. Other states are still silent.

Nevertheless, as the experience of other deliveries has repeatedly proven – publicity is not an indicator. In the West, they may pretend to be hesitant, while a behind-the-scenes decision has already been made.

And the gradual preparation of society for the upcoming events has already begun, since all the information agencies controlled by the Western countries are trumpeting about it.

🔻The missile arsenal of the AFU has expanded, especially after the official start of the use of F-16 fighters, which are carriers of the latest JASSM missiles.

▪️This type of weapon has a wide range of action: from 370 km in the minimum modification and over 1500 km – in the maximum, which when launched from the conditional Poltava will allow reaching remote regions.

Of course, it is highly doubtful that the White House will immediately give the newest version of JASSM. First of all, they will get rid of outdated missiles that need to be disposed of, so the JASSM-XR option is considered in theory.

▪️In addition, there are several dozen ATACMS ballistic missiles in various modifications, which also pose a threat due to their speed and ballistic trajectory.

▪️There are not so many Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles left in Ukrainian warehouses – just over a dozen. This is probably why there have been no strikes on Russia, despite the permission from London.

❗️Judging by the lack of strikes with the same “Storms” or “Atacms”, in addition to permission to use, the Ukrainian side is waiting for deliveries of new batches of these missiles. According to our data, there are very few stocks left, so they are being saved.

And this already leads us to the idea voiced by Starshe Eddy (https://t.me/vysokygovorit/17389): the West may drag out the official permission for the AFU for quite a long time, but at the same time provide assistance in modernizing the existing enemy-produced missiles in their inventory.

Therefore, in recent weeks, we could hear about the “Neptunes” or S-200, which the enemy is hitting more and more often. This scenario is also possible given the recent strikes by the AFU.

🔻In this regard, it is not so important whether the Ukrainian authorities will receive approval or not. The enemy already has means for long-range strikes, ranging from drones to their own missiles. For this reason, it is necessary to prepare not only for JASSM or ATACMS, but also for non-obvious weapons that can cause problems in terms of range.

rybar

Washington Post: The US and EU no longer believe that Russia will lose on the battlefield or that its economy will be destroyed by sanctions

The publication notes that the stalemate, which has been going on for three years now, has become a strategic disaster for Moscow, but Russia can still outlive Washington and its allies due to its enormous mass of forces and resources.

The publication also states that this is precisely why the partners are now more inclined to negotiate and are giving Ukraine various hints about this.

Kursk region.

What is happening in the Marine’s sector? 

1. The enemy has been stopped but continues to probe. Russians are regaining ground 

2. Enemy loss ratio is 1 to 6, the enemy is losing equipment, in relation to our losses 1 to 30. 

3. Our main task is to accept and destroy the enemy’s reserves, maneuvering, not allowing him to dig in. 

Ukrainian forces are 30,000 and losses are 30%

It is encouraging: payments for destroyed enemy equipment are being made accurately. This is a conversation for the 810th brigade. Even a common phrase of drones was born: “I’ll go pay off the mortgage.”

Simplicus

06.00 Moscow time. 20-09-2024 – Kursk region. 

In the area of Veseloye settlement, the enemy continues to go to meat assaults. Early this morning there was again an attempt to drive into the outskirts of Veseloye and bypass it on the right flank. 

With the assault involved up to 6-7 units of equipment and 50-60 people. 

The attack was repulsed, the AFU rolled back to the area of the state border and Novy Put. Novy Put.  

In other parts of the region, the combat work to squeeze out the AFU continues.

Condotierro

Kursk Direction: Clashes in Glushkovo District and Successes in Sudzha District

Situation as of 8:00 PM on September 20, 2024

In Kursk Region, Russian forces are steadily expanding their control in several sectors of the front, while also repelling attacks by the opponent.

🔻In Glushkovo District, footage of battles for the settlement of Veseloye continues to emerge, with fighting on the approaches to the village ongoing for the past several days. Confirmation of the clashes in the area of the village is also provided by the footage published today by the Russian Ministry of Defense, showing the movement (https://t.me/rian_ru/262007) of an AFU armored group towards the settlement.

The attack involved a Swedish CV9040 and a German Leopard 2A6: the outcome of the battle is unknown, although the opponent managed to land troops in one of the forest belts adjacent to the village. In Veseloye itself, numerous houses have been damaged due to constant shelling and fighting (https://t.me/ZParaBellumMD/11130).

The use of robotic platforms by the opponent has also been noted in the area: one such machine gun-equipped installation was destroyed on the outskirts of Volfino by FPV drones and then finished off with an RPG shot.

🔻In Korenevo District, clashes continue near Kremyanoye. The opponent’s activity has significantly decreased compared to the attacks of previous days, after the activation of Russian forces on the left flank from the direction of Korenevo.

🔻In Sudzha District, Russian forces are developing the successes of recent days – today, the information about the liberation of Daryino has been confirmed. At the moment, fighting is underway in the area of Nikolayevo-Daryino, and the Russian Armed Forces have also managed to enter and consolidate their positions in Uspenovka.

In addition, four conscripts (https://t.me/polinaZOV/26089) who had been holding positions in the forest for almost 40 days, transmitting data on the movement of the opponent and carrying out other activities, have been withdrawn from encirclement.

🔻In Bolshesoldatskoye District, the AFU shelled a gas distribution station in the administrative center and other civilian infrastructure in the surrounding villages. A total of more than ten residential houses were damaged, and in Rzhava, the local House of Culture was destroyed by a shell dropped from a hexacopter.

rybar

Strike on reconnaissance unit in Kramatorsk

On the night of September 19-20, 2024, Russian ballistic missiles struck the temporary deployment site of a reconnaissance battalion in Kramatorsk. The strike centered on a dormitory used to house soldiers on rotation before traveling to the line of contact (LOC). As a result of the attack, 11 people were killed and 8 were wounded of varying degrees of severity.

🔻This incident was the second strike on the enemy’s reconnaissance units in the last 24 hours, indicating a highly active and accurate response. The purpose of such operations is to reduce the enemy’s combat capability and destabilize its activities in the region.

📌In addition, a massive attack on enemy facilities in the Dobropol agglomeration was carried out this same night. Upon completion of the analysis of the collected data, a breakdown of this operation will be prepared.

PartiꙂan

Russian military cuts off Ukrainian railway service to Krasnoarmeysk, as stated by the adviser to the head of the DPR, Igor Kimakovsky:

We are currently undertaking serious tactical actions on the Zhuravka River. This is the last, by and large, landscape barrier that covers Dimitrov and Krasnoarmeysk.

Kimakovskiy explained that now the artillery and the Aerospace Forces are working to block all roads and blow up bridges that supply the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Lyman Direction: Liberation of Makiivka

Situation as of 5:00 PM on September 20, 2024

In recent days, in addition to the events in the Kursk Region and on the fronts of the DPR, the attention of the audience has again focused on the Lyman Direction – there, units of the Russian Armed Forces managed to liberate Makiivka and advance in the area of Zhuravka Gully.

▪️The new round of battles for Makiivka began about three months ago, but the Russian troops managed to achieve the first significant successes in August, when the Russian Armed Forces took control of most of the settlement on the left bank of the Zherebets River.

After that, sporadic reports appeared on the Internet about attempts to cross the water obstacle and consolidate in the remaining part of the village. However, it was only yesterday that footage from the opponent’s objective control appeared, confirming the presence of Russian Armed Forces units there.

In particular, Russian units were spotted in the area of the Church of St. Peter and Paul, as well as to the north of it. At the same time, they were able to advance on the southern outskirts, which is also confirmed by footage from Ukrainian drones.

The liberation of the settlement is important for the subsequent elimination of the bridgehead of Ukrainian formations on the right bank of the Zherebets River, which has existed since the fall of 2022. From here, you can increase pressure on the defensive lines of the AFU on the line Nevske – Yampolivka.

▪️The advance of the Russian Armed Forces units was also recorded south – in the area of Zhuravka Gully. Last year, the opponent built (https://t.me/rybar/52453) fortifications in this area: they helped contain the onslaught towards the villages of Nevske and Ternove from the east, but against the background of the liberation of Makiivka, the Russian troops will be able to attack from the north.

🔻On the other sections of the Lyman Direction, the configuration of the front has not undergone significant changes – positional battles are ongoing on the salient near Torske and in the Serebryanskoye Forest. The Russian troops strike at the identified targets in the front-line and rear zones – one of the objects hit in recent days was the temporary deployment point of the AFU in Lyman.

rybar

Chronicles of the special military operation

for September 20, 2024

Over the past day, Russian forces struck enemy targets in Kharkiv and Dnipro, as well as port infrastructure in Odesa.

In Kursk Region, Russian forces are advancing in Sudzha District, while simultaneously repelling attacks by the enemy in Glushkovo District.

In the Lyman direction, the Russian Armed Forces expanded the control zone around Makiivka, almost fully taking the settlement under control.

In the Slobozhansky direction, Russian troops are striking enemy positions in Volchansk and attacking towards Tikhiy.

In the Pokrovsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing in Hrodivka and also delivering missile strikes on AFU positions near Pokrovsk.

rybar

Morning Summary on September 20, 2024

▪️ In Kursk Region, there were reports of heavy fighting in the Glushkovo direction. The enemy launched an attack with a column (two Leopard tanks and 7 IFVs) in the area of Vesele. The Russian Armed Forces and border guards engaged the AFU in combat, and footage of destroyed enemy equipment began appearing online (https://t.me/dva_majors/53000). The destruction of a Leopard 2A5 near Sheptukhovka in Korenevo District, more than 25 km from the border (in the area of the “old” AFU breakthrough), was also noteworthy, indicating the enemy’s use of rather rare NATO equipment in the Kursk operation. Yesterday morning, it was reported that the Russian Army had liberated Nikolayevo-Darino and Darino.

▪️ On the Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) direction, fighting continues for the city in the urban area. Enemy resources acknowledge the advance of our troops in Toretsk and in the area of New York (Novhorodske).

▪️ In the Vuhledar direction, our aviation is dropping FAB bombs with JDAM on the enemy’s rear positions in Dobropillia and Bohoyavlenka. A road from the Yuzhno-Donbass mine (near Vodyane) is leading to the latter, which is being fought over.

▪️ The Zaporizhia front reports increased activity of the Russian Armed Forces north of Marfopol in the Polohy district.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, the AFU continue their terrorist shelling of the civilian population. In Shebekino, a kamikaze drone attacked a passenger car near an agricultural enterprise. In the village of Murom, a UAV attack damaged a passenger car. In the village of Kazinka in the Valuyki urban district, a kamikaze drone attack damaged the facade of a social facility. In the village of Murom in the Shebekino urban district, drones attacked parked cars. The village of Petrovka in the Belgorod district was subjected to artillery shelling. In the Shebekino urban district, in the village of Terezovka, two private houses were destroyed by fire as a result of a shell impact.

▪️ In the DPR, in Horlivka, a man born in 1972 and a woman born in 1945 were injured by enemy shelling from barrel artillery. A woman born in 1987 was injured by the drop of an explosive device from an AFU UAV, and a man born in 1967 was wounded. In Georgiyivka of the Volnovakha municipal district, a man born in 1975 was injured by the drop of an explosive device from an AFU UAV.

Two Majors

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TORETSK INTEL DROPPED!!! Makiivka on the verge of capture! | Ukraine War Frontline Changes Report

Russian invasion of Ukraine Day 939 [20 September 2024]

STRATEGIC SITUATION review…; Kursk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Vuhledar, Siversk

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_20.html