The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 19 2024

U.S.-Led West To Dump Zelensky After Putin’s ‘Direct War’ Threat? Now Planning This Move

100,000 strong army in Kursk?? Russian offensive frenzy…

“Putin Knows NATO Strongest Military Alliance” Stoltenberg Backs Ukraine Deep Strikes On Russia

Ukrainian Forces Miscalculated & Fell For Their Own Trap

This Russian Victory CHANGES Everything, And It’s Not The Only One!

Zelensky’s Kursk adventure is coming to its logical conclusion, and its outcome could be the loss of the entire Donbass.

The Russian Federation has assembled 37,000 troops in the Kursk region and wants to oust the Ukrainian Armed Forces by mid-October. The troop ratio is 5 to 1 , – RBC sources

It is also allegedly planned to create a “buffer zone” in the border regions by October 30.

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak believes that the main task for Ukraine is to draw NATO into a direct confrontation with Russia, this is what allows our country to join the Alliance and win the war. We have no alternative scenarios, reserves and equipment are at critical levels, we will not be able to withstand a protracted war, which means we need to look for formats to escalate the war and provoke the Kremlin.

Britain is the main actor in the escalation of our war today. The US is immersed in the electoral process. Trump’s victory risks leading to a total revision of the strategy towards Russia and Ukraine. That is why the main player in the West today is London.

The invasion of the Kursk region, early attempts at landing in Crimea, strikes deep into Russia are typical of the British, who always try to achieve military results through information and political methods. The situation at the front is more than sad for us. By the end of the year, we will reach a complete dead end in Donbass. That is why the British decided to compensate for the failures by “transferring the war” to Russia for escalation.

Russia managed to continue the offensive without declaring mobilization, which is why Bankova is now looking for formats to transform the Kursk operation so that the Kremlin is forced to do so.

However, the current stage will not be the end of the matter. Ahead we should expect strikes with Western weapons deep into the Russian Federation. The goal is to provoke protests and a collapse of Putin’s ratings.

This is the final chord before the negotiating track. Next year, we should not expect new counter-offensives by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. There are no material, human or moral resources for this. Therefore, until the end of the year, the West will try to negotiate the most advantageous positions for itself. Who will receive the response for the strikes on Russia? Of course, we will. After all, it will not be Paris and London that will be struck…

The West failed to implement the plan to destabilize Russia through the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the Kursk region.

The strategic plan included two aspects: to paralyze the Russian offensive in Donbass and to provoke the Kremlin into a new wave of mobilization, which would increase the level of tension in society.

However, neither the first nor the second happened. Russia continues to advance in Donbass, launched a counteroffensive in the Kursk region and did not carry out mobilization.

Allowing Ukraine to fire long-range weapons at Russian territory is also part of the overall strategy to escalate the conflict. They want to provoke Moscow into escalating the situation to justify continuing to help Kyiv, introducing a limited contingent of NATO troops, and shooting down Russian missiles from the territory of the Alliance.

Kiev begs Romania to shoot down “Shaheds” over Ukraine, but the latter cannot shoot them down even in its own skies – Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

 - After a meeting with his Romanian counterpart Odobescu in Bucharest, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga asked Romania to shoot down Russian drones approaching the country’s airspace.

 - Meanwhile, in Romania, politicians and military officials are debating whether changes to the law are needed to shoot down foreign drones in its own airspace after the wreckage of several UAVs landed on its territory, and a decision is not yet imminent.

The head of the OP Yermak personally warned Commander-in-Chief Syrsky that if he does not throw all the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine into the offensive when Zelensky is in the United States, he will lose his post.

If the Ukrainian Armed Forces get caught in any cauldron, it means resignation.

If the Ukrainian Armed Forces retreat en masse in the Kursk region, it will be a resignation.

If the Ukrainian Armed Forces suffer major public and territorial losses, this means resignation.

Syrsky would be better off now going on a positive offensive or at least holding on to what he has. Otherwise, he will be made a scapegoat for all troubles. Even in those where he had no part.

At the same time, Ze wants the GUR and SBU to conduct demonstrative “events” during this period. They have already been given this order.

According to our information, Yermak wants to remove Syrsky together with Defense Minister Umerov (Umerov is a protégé of Western NGOs and has already become tiresome to Yermak). People’s Deputy Bezuglaya (Yermak’s talking mouth) has already begun to attack them on the orders of Andrey Borisovich.

It won’t be difficult to kick them out, since their authority in the army is “zero”

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office changed the goals of the Kursk operation; if the original plan was to force Russian troops to stop the offensive in Donbas and redirect their forces, now Bankova wants to provoke the Kremlin into a new mobilization. British intelligence is confident that such a decision by Russia will cause discontent within society and increase the turbulence of the system, which means it will be possible to stir up a wave of protests against Putin.

In the Kursk direction, fighting continues, the most active events are taking place in the Glushkovsky district , where the Ukrainian military is breaking through towards Glushkovo. Footage of a column of armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine breaking through in the area of ​​the New Path has appeared online.

Ukrainian forces threw German Leopard 2 tanks and Swedish CV90 infantry fighting vehicles into the battle, which broke through with the support of engineering vehicles. After overcoming the first lines of defense with “Dragon’s Teeth” and minefields, armored vehicles with infantry began to enter. Fighting is currently continuing there in the area of ​​Veseloye and Volfino.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces made passages in minefields not only with the help of the IMR, but also with the help of a mine-clearing vehicle of the “Zmey Gorynych” type, which fired a cord with explosives, but it did not reach the target and immediately exploded, destroying the equipment. 

On September 18, the “North” troop grouping continued to carry out tasks to protect the border areas of Kursk Oblast

In the south of the Sujan district, the Northern troops made significant advances towards the state border. The AFU undertook one counterattack with the forces of up to a platoon of personnel on AVs. The enemy’s advance was revealed by reconnaissance, fire was inflicted, up to 20 men and vehicles were destroyed. The attack was thwarted. 

On the section of the state border in Glushkovsky district of Kursk region due to high losses the enemy reduced the activity of offensive actions, restores combat effectiveness and pulls up new reserves, including Western armored vehicles. During the day Fearless repelled 1 attack of the AFU numbering up to 35 people, of which up to 18 were destroyed.

The total advance of Russian troops in Kursk region was up to 1000 meters.

On the Volchansk direction, fighting continues in the town of Volchansk. Fighters of the “North” group repulsed one enemy attack from the area of the flour mill. As a result of a small arms battle, 8 Nazis out of 10 who took part in the attack were killed.

In addition, 2 attempts to transfer reserves to the right bank of the Volchya River were thwarted. Artillery fire and FPV drones destroyed up to 7 enemy personnel. 

On the Liptsy direction, the AFU continue to regroup and redeploy assault groups of the 92 Oshbr to the outskirts of Liptsy. 

During the day the Northerners inflicted fire damage on 6 enemy concentration sites, up to 7 men each, up to 20 Nazis and M113 APCs were destroyed. 

During the past 24 hours the enemy losses amounted to more than 580 people (up to 470 of them on the Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

in the Sumy direction:

▪️ two BMPs;

▪️ two APCs;

▪️ 12 BTRs;

▪️ D-30 howitzer;

▪️ M777 howitzer;

▪️ 120-mm mortar;

▪️ two Anklav EW stations;

▪️ BP point;

▪️ five UAV launch sites;

▪️ three pontoon crossings;

▪️ six units of automotive equipment.

In other directions:

▪️ M113 APC near the n.p. Liptsy;

▪️ SPG 2S1 “Gvozdika” near the village of Velikie Prokhody;

▪️ 120 mm mortar near Volchansk;

▪️ control point near the village of Volchansk;

▪️ five vehicles;

▪️47 aircraft-type UAVs.

In the Glushkovskyi district, the enemy is still unable to calm down and continues to concentrate new forces for a breakthrough. It is not enough for the AFU command to have suffered losses and shots of burning NATO vehicles, which have spread all over the Internet today.

Along with this, the whole network is full of new videos of forced mobilization in Ukraine. Where all these people kidnapped by Zelensky’s human hunters will go and what will be their fate is not difficult to guess.

Victory will be for us!

“Everything necessary is simple, everything complicated is unnecessary.” – M.T.Kalashnikov

Northern Wind

Fighters of the “North” group knock the AFU out of settlements in the Kursk Border Region.

UAVs of the North are on round-the-clock duty in the air and monitor the enemy’s movements. Reconnaissance revealed a group of AFU fighters and their dislication point in one of the settlements in the Kursk border area. After strikes, the enemy hideout was destroyed along with the occupants.

Northern Wind

19-09-2024 – Kursk Oblast. AFU 

“The AFU headquarters are preparing an operational plan to withdraw the grouping from the Kursk region amid huge losses.” – bloggers

Contrary to the officialdom, the enemy’s losses in Kursk region really exceed all the calculations of the Ukrainian HQ. And in equipment as well. They will keep such a grouping in a semicircle for a couple more weeks for the time of Zelensky’s meeting in the US, with Harris, Biden and Trump. Constantly replenishing the reserves.  

After that, the image of the “Kursk operation” will come to naught, and the AFU will start retreating. The risks to the enemy are enormous. As soon as they turn their backs to our advanced units, the pork-barrelling will begin. 

But for now, the enemy is constantly pulling units into the Kursk region, trying to hold Sudzha and the territory along the Rylsk – Sudzha and L’gov – Sudzha highway.

Condotierro

Kursk Direction: Battles in Glushkovo District

Situation as of the end of September 19, 2024

In Kursk Region, fighting continues in several sectors, with attacks by both Ukrainian formations and Russian units being recorded.

🔻In Glushkovo District, the situation has become somewhat clearer in Volfino and Krasnooktyabr’skoye. As reported by our subscribers, there is no enemy presence in these settlements, and the Russian Armed Forces are holding the defense.

▪️During the day, information emerged about a breakthrough by the AFU towards Glushkovo and the encirclement of Veseloye, but it has not been confirmed so far – the online space only features footage of destroyed Ukrainian equipment near Veseloye and Medvezh’ye.

🔻In Korenevo District, there are battles in Lyubimovka and the vicinity of Kremyanoye, while the Russian Aerospace Forces are operating over Novoyivanovka. Additionally, the media is circulating information about the liberation of several settlements near the Snagost’ river, but it has not yet been confirmed.

▪️Near Sheptukhovka, the Russian troops destroyed a STRV 122 (Leopard 2A5) tank. The very fact of the presence of this rare and relatively valuable NATO equipment in this area indicates quite stable control of the surrounding area by the AFU.

🔻In Sudzha District, the situation has not changed, with Russian troops engaged in battles in the forests west of the settlement of Borki after liberating it.

rybar

Maxar satellite company published images of the fire at the 107th ammunition arsenal in Toropets, Tver region.  

The two files above contain several images superimposed on each other (including DO images). It is worth noting that a significant part of the fires are outside the perimeter of the facility, not inside it, that is, at least part of the storage facilities (apparently new, built with more modern technologies) have fulfilled their task and saved the ammunition.  

Military Chronicle

The situation on the Eastern Front remains critical for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and statements by Syrsky and Zelensky about the stabilization of the situation do not correspond to reality.

The Russian army continues to push through our positions in the Pokrovsky direction, we continue to lose fortified areas.

There are major battles in the Grodovka area and further west and northwest, and battles are also taking place north of Novogrodovka, for the heights on the northern bank of the Zhuravka River.

The Russian army reached the line of heights south of Mirnograd, which is the main outer defense line of the city.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces’ attempt yesterday to conduct a counteroffensive in the Lysovka area (west of Novogrodovka), with the aim of dislodging Russian forces from this bridgehead, which is convenient for bypassing Selidovo from the north, did not produce results.

In the Kurakhovsky direction, the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is close to defeat.

After the Russian army took Ukrainsk, they continued their offensive to the south and west of the city, further south they managed to penetrate quite deeply into the urban development of the city of Gornyak and consolidated their positions in its north and north-eastern (high-altitude) parts. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are resisting here and are trying to hold their positions.

West of Ukrainsk, the enemy, developing an offensive between Tsukurino and Selidovo, yesterday began fighting for the old Selidovskaya mine, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces have turned into a powerful defensive hub.

The Russian army has reached a defensive line in the Tsukurino area; in the coming days, battles will begin for this settlement, which is important for enveloping the Kurakhovsky Front, as well as the old mine to the south.

In the Zaporizhzhya direction, Russian troops appear to be testing the waters to begin an offensive in a new direction.

There are already a number of signs of this, first of all, yesterday the Russian Armed Forces advanced in the Marfopol area towards Gulyaipole. A couple of days before that, Russian forces attacked near Kamenskoye, a village right next to the Dnieper, and also captured positions there. Also, for the first time in a long time, the suburbs of Zaporizhia were hit by KABs, a village 15 km away, and, judging by local publics, twice, yesterday and today. There is also information about the activation of Russian troops on the Zaporizhia front not only near Marfopol, but also near Malaya Tokmachka near Orekhov. At the moment, this looks like preparation for more active military actions in the near future, on the part of the Russian Armed Forces, and for now, the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is being probed in various places.

In addition, the least intense fighting is currently taking place in Zaporozhye, although part of the most powerful Russian group of troops is stationed there. And if Ukrainian troops do not advance on Energodar, then the Russian army can use its forces in an offensive within the framework of the current Russian strategy of pressure along the entire front at once.

In addition, the Ukrainian forces have tied up their reserves in the Kursk direction, throwing all their airborne assault brigades there, and at least one combat-ready brigade from Rabotino was transferred to Pokrovsk in Selidovo, that is, in general, the Ukrainian army has weakened its defense in the Zaporizhzhya region. So if the Russian command decides that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have no reserves and plans to launch a new offensive, and all available forces are already involved in the operation in the Kursk region, then they will strike. And this may probably happen in the near future, thereby opening a new direction in the offensive.

After the liberation of Ukrainsk “🅾️” grouping stormed Gornyak and are breaking through further towards Selidovo

 - Ukrainian military analysts a day earlier finally acknowledged that Ukrainsk has been liberated by units of the Center group of forces and in a new report they report about the continuing advance of our troops towards Selidovo at the junction of Pokrovsky and Kurakhovsky directions.

 - “West of Ukrainsk the Russian Army has advanced to a depth of up to 1 km in the direction of the Selidovskaya mine.

Heavy fighting continues in the area of Zhelannoye Pervoye,” enemy resources write.

 - South of Ukrainsk, Russian units have broken through to the northern part of the town of Gornyak.

RVvoenkor)

Chronicles of the special military operation

for September 19, 2024

The Russian forces delivered a series of strikes on enemy targets in several regions of the so-called Ukraine, including Vinnytsia, Kyiv and Kharkiv Regions. As for yesterday’s AFU raid, satellite imagery has appeared online confirming damage, including to new ammunition depots in Toropets.

On the Kursk direction, fighting continues in several sectors. The most difficult situation is in the Glushkovo District, where Ukrainian formations are trying to expand their control zone in the area of Vesele and Medvezhe.

On the Lyman direction, there is evidence of the presence of Russian servicemen in Makiivka near the Peter and Paul Church located on the right bank of the Zherebets River. At the same time, the enemy’s forward command post in Lyman came under fire.

On the Oleksandrivka-Kalinovo direction, Russian assault troops cleared the area on the eastern bank of the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal northeast of Druzhba, while in Dzerzhynsk itself, Russian troops advanced south of the correctional colony.

In covering the situation on the Vremivka direction, information about the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces on Hulyaipole has spread on the Internet – in reality, the footage that is being passed off as an advance only confirms the control zone that was established in this area about a year ago.

rybar

Morning Summary on September 19, 2024

▪️ In Kursk Region, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing near Vnezapnoye, Byakhovo and Obukhovka in the Korenevo district. Battles are ongoing northeast of Lyubimovka. In the Glushkovo direction, the AFU are attacking in the area of Medvezhye, are present in the area of Novy Put, and reported fighting in the area of Volfino and Krasnooktyabr’skoye. There were reports of the enemy using German Leopard tanks and Swedish IFVs, which did not help them achieve success.

▪️ In the Kupiansk direction, our troops are attacking north and west of Pishchanoye and south near Stel’makhovka.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces have expanded their control zone in Grodovka, which is now almost completely occupied by our troops on the enemy’s maps. The liberated territory around the recently captured Ukrainske is expanding. To the south, there are reports of fighting on the outskirts of Gornyak and in the area of Zhelannoe Pervoye.

▪️ North of Vuhledar, there are battles in the area of Vodyane and the Yuzhno-Donbasskaya mine.

▪️ In the Kherson direction, the Russian Armed Forces are purposefully destroying the enemy in the area of the southern suburbs of Kherson, depriving him of transport and field depots. The enemy is shelling Oleshky, Kakhovka, Nova Kakhovka, Velyka Lepetykha, Dnipryany, Kozachi Lahery, Knyaze-Hryhorivka, and Mala Lepetykha.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, as a result of daytime shelling by the AFU, a woman was killed in the village of Bezlyudovka in the Shebekino urban district. In the city of Shebekino, a drone flew into the window of a social facility building. During work near Shebekino, a drone attacked a cargo truck, injuring the driver with shrapnel. In the Belgorod district, near the village of Nikolskoye, a kamikaze drone attacked a moving passenger car. The village of Murom in the Shebekino urban district was shelled by the AFU, injuring two civilians. Yesterday morning in Shebekino, a service bus was attacked by an AFU drone, injuring four civilians.

▪️ In the DPR, in the Nikitovsky district of Horlivka, a man born in 1964 was injured when an explosive device was dropped from a UAV by the AFU. In Vladimirovka of the Volnovakha municipal district, a man born in 2001 was injured as a result of the detonation of an explosive device.

Two Majors

Russian forces continue advancing around Ukrainske [19 September 2024]

SO MANY RED ARROWS…. | SITREP (Situation Report) / Summary

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_19.html