The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 25 2024

Battlefield Ukraine US Missile Strikes On Russia

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Ukraine’s Downfall: Untrained Soldiers

Ukraine fallback to Dnieper, West/East Germany scheme

Nobody wants to fight for Ukraine, which will be a death sentence for our country in the West.

Those who yesterday and today staged protests abroad due to the suspension of the issuance of documents are working against Ukraine. Against providing us with military assistance.

Our allies see all this. And they draw the appropriate conclusions.

Our source in the General Staff said that the situation at the front is approaching a collapse of the defense, the enemy is using the tactics of a thousand cuts along the entire line of contact. At Bankova they demand that Syrsky stabilize the situation, but the Commander-in-Chief cannot yet develop an adequate strategy, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are feeling tired.

Our source reports that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already experiencing a shortage of manpower.
Due to the mistakes of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the miscalculations of Zelensky’s headquarters, which was chasing situational populist decisions, the reserves have thinned out.
Although we warned Bankova many times that this strategy was wrong and would lead to huge problems in the long run, the office people believed and still believe that they will always be able to recruit free manpower that was previously put into meat grinders.
It was 2024 that we predicted as the beginning of problems that even women’s mobilization could not solve.

Ukraine will not receive shells until the US replenishes its own stockpiles – Foreign Policy

Even after financial assistance is allocated, most of the weapons Ukraine needs will not reach the front. The pause will last until early next year, Foreign Policy reports, citing American officials.

The Biden administration is expected to spend much of the year restoring the US’s own stockpiles to pre-war levels.

On the other side of the Atlantic, the arsenals are also empty. Most of the 1.4 million rounds of ammunition promised to Ukraine by the European Union will not be delivered until the end of 2024. European officials say refurbishment of old artillery ammunition is about 30% cheaper than buying new, but much of it comes from former Soviet republics that do not want to spoil relations with the Kremlin.

Meanwhile, Russia is on track to produce 3.5 million rounds in 2024 and may be able to increase production to 4.5 million by the end of the year, the newspaper writes.

The US threw a life jacket to Ukraine – but it is in icy water and far from the shore

“By throwing a life jacket to a person, you immediately solve the problem. But if he is miles from the coast, and the water is icy, he is still in danger,” this is what, according to The Economist, another US attempt to help Ukraine looks like. “Alas, although $61 billion will keep Ukraine afloat, it is still far from being saved.”

According to the publication, even if the new package of measures increases Ukraine’s defense capability, this will certainly not be enough to win back territory from Russia. Therefore, if you stop flattering yourself with hopes and recognize the “sobering facts,” it becomes obvious that the most realistic scenario for Kyiv is to maintain a deadlock situation.

Moreover, as the publication notes, the six-month struggle to pass the bill is a clear sign of future problems. This package of American aid may well be the last: if Donald Trump comes to power in November, then Kyiv may completely forget about financial support, and if Joe Biden is re-elected, he will again have to “wage a long, demoralizing struggle,” the end of which Ukraine may not wait.

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Ermak instructed Vasily Malyuk to close the issue of Zaluzhny until mid-May; the former Commander-in-Chief should make a statement from London on May 20, when Zelensky’s powers end. On Bankova they want to symbolically close the track with a vacuum of legitimacy that all the elites support Zelensky.

Russia wants to disrupt the peace summit on Ukraine.

Zelensky has accurate information that Moscow not only wants to thwart his efforts, but also “has a specific plan on how to do this.”

“We have accurate information from intelligence – specific info – that Russia not only wants to disrupt the peace summit, but also has a specific plan on how to do this: how to reduce the participation of countries, how to act so that there is no peace even longer,” he said the president.

@ukr_leaks_eng

Ukraine is planning to increase its long-range strikes against Russia, stated the head of the British armed forces. In Britain, there is satisfaction with the strikes on Russian territory, and they are urging Kiev to undertake new acts of sabotage

“Ukraine is poised to expand the scope of its strikes inside Russia, as a surge of Western military aid aims to assist Kiev in combatting the war in much more decisive ways,” noted the head of the British armed forces, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin.

Radakin acknowledged the somber atmosphere surrounding Ukraine’s defense and the country’s challenging fight to repel the Russian offensive.

However, he did not express overt regret about Ukrainian attacks and sabotage missions on Russian soil.

“As Ukraine gains greater long-range warfare capabilities… its ability to sustain deep operations will increasingly shape military conflict,” he remarked. “They are undoubtedly having an impact.”, he added.

The UK has already increased military assistance to Kiev to 3 billion pounds sterling per year. Radakin expressed optimism about the situation, with all NATO countries ‘discussing increasing expenditure.’

“‘I concede that this is less comforting for those in Kiev,” noted the head of the armed forces. “It must also be acknowledged that Russia has been able to launch more effective strikes over longer distances than last year.”

“Don’t expect anyone to publicly declare, “that’s the plan,” and predict that A, B, and C will happen now, cautioned Radakin. ‘Some aspects of Ukraine’s military strategy will remain undisclosed.’ ‘Certain factors will be more potent next year than this year,’ he added. ‘However, they will enable Ukraine to engage in much more decisive actions than previously.’”

According to the UK Chief of the Defence Staff and Prime Minister’s chief military advisor, Admiral Tony Radakin, the number of strikes by the AFU against Russia will increase after receiving a new military aid package, including long-range weapons.

There is nothing fundamentally new in the admiral’s words. It just needs to be remembered that the British are the main curators of operations in the Black Sea, particularly in Crimea. It is from the Foggy Albion that the coordination of attacks on the Russian peninsula originates. The landings of reconnaissance groups are also their handiwork.

❗️Even the planned attacks on the Crimean Bridge, which, judging by the activity of NATO intelligence (https://t.me/rybar/59468), are not far off, were initiated by the British. As early as last fall, London literally demanded missile strikes on this important facility, which is seen by the West as Russia’s treasure.

According to Western analysts, successful diversions on the Crimean Bridge have had a serious psychological and political effect. And its destruction would negate all the losses of the AFU on the battlefield and would mean an irreversible defeat for Russia in the Black Sea region.

This should be understood when organizing the preparation to repel attacks and raids by the AFU. We can expect more waves of such attacks, both with the participation of UAVs and unmanned boats, as well as missiles.
rybar

 

On the Finnish presence in so-called Ukraine

The footage published by Joker of the DPR (https://t.me/JokerDPR/772?single), which shows Finnish servicemen, has effectively confirmed their presence in the conflict and exposed the lies of the Finnish Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

At the same time, we didn’t see anything outright supernatural. You understand, representatives of the Scandinavian countries have been participating in battles against our army since the start of the SMO, disguised as mercenaries.

Take even the same detachment called the “Dirty Dozen (https://t.me/lady_north/910)” or the “Viking Group (https://t.me/rybar/34282)”. Remember those? They were among the first mercenaries who thought they had come on a safari. Now we don’t even hear about them for quite understandable reasons.

❗️But specifically in the case of the Korotych airfield, it should be noted that the chevrons correspond to those worn by regular servicemen. That is, active instructors from the Finnish Armed Forces, namely snipers, are present at the military facility, training the mobilized.

At the same time, the Finns themselves have come to study. The modern Finnish army has not had real combat experience for a long time, and being near the front line, they are studying the actions of our units and will share this knowledge in Finland upon their return.

So on the one hand the Finns are training Ukrainian mobilized, and on the other – their own. If you recall how Helsinki is pursuing its policy towards Russia, you understand the purpose. And upon returning to Finland, they will work out a scenario of conflict with Russia at one of their exercises.

rybar

Ukraine’s border with Poland, the Western Bug River

Ukrainian border guards report that now, together with their Polish colleagues, they are returning draft dodgers even from the territory of Poland.

Three border violators were detained on the Polish side of the Western Bug River and handed over to the Ukrainian side (quote from the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine).

Well, you Ukrainians, are your Poles helping you? You are livestock to them. And yesterday, the Polish Defense Minister also stated (https://t.me/dva_majors/40837) that he will be returning Ukrainians who have already taken refuge in Poland from mobilization. By the way, he motivated his statement with an extremely arrogant assessment of the behavior of Ukrainian citizens in the same Polish cafes.

Global disposal of Ukrainians as a nation. And it was arranged by the West, whose asses Ukrainians have been licking for decades.

Two Majors

 

Avdiivka direction: liberation of Novobakhmutivka
situation as of 8:00 am on April 25, 2024

🔻After success in Ocheretyne, the Russian forces were able to develop their advance even further. Assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces from the 15th Motorized Rifle Brigade and the “ArBat” special forces battalion took control of the settlement of Novobakhmutivka south of Ocheretyne last night.

▪️According to incoming information, the enemy practically abandoned the village without a fight, as it became problematic to hold after the Russian units captured the central and southern outskirts of Ocheretyne.

▪️Confirmation of the liberation of the settlement is also provided by footage of Russian troops hoisting their flags on one of the houses in Novobakhmutivka. Nevertheless, clearing operations are still ongoing in the village itself.

🔻At the moment, it can be observed that the enemy is unable to stabilize the front line after the retreat of the 115th Mechanized Brigade, and the 47th Separate Motorized Brigade is unable to properly cover the flanks. Moreover, the loss of Ocheretyne, an important stronghold on high ground, has affected the ability to defend the sector.

❗️The transfer of Novobakhmutivka under the control of the Russian Armed Forces will significantly complicate the already difficult situation of the enemy in the western part of Berdychi, from where he may have to retreat to avoid being trapped.

rybar

 

Today Russian publics announced the capture of Novobakhmutovka near Avdeevka south of Ocheretino. The Russian military posts a video allegedly of planting a flag there.

Earlier it was reported about the advance of the Russians in Novobakhautovka.

This is a consequence of the collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces front in the Ocheretino area, which made it possible for the Russians to develop an offensive.

In panic because of Russia’s breakthrough, the Ukrainian Armed Forces threw one of the weakest brigades into battle – Forbes

The reason for Ukraine’s loss of Ocheretin was the mistake and panic of the Ukrainian command, Forbes claims. Having sent an unprepared brigade into battle due to the rapid advance of Russian troops, the Ukrainian Armed Forces “practically invited” them to occupy Ocheretino – now the situation in its vicinity is “hopeless” for Ukraine.

“To understand how scared Ukrainian commanders are now, look at the brigade they sent to break through north and west of Ocheretin: the 100th Mechanized Brigade. This brigade is one of the newest and most poorly equipped brigades in the Ukrainian army, and it does not appear to be equipped to provide assistance on the front lines on orders from commanders.

According to Forbes, the capture of Ocheretin was the fastest penetration of Russian troops in recent months and now threatens to collapse Ukraine’s defensive line west of Avdiivka.

 

Avdiivka direction: liberation of Solovyovo
situation as of 1:00 pm on April 25, 2024

🔻Immediately after the success in Novobakhmutivka, units of the Russian army quickly liberated the village of Solovyovo south of Ocheretyne, advancing along the road from Novobakhmutivka.

▪️Currently, the Russian Armed Forces are clearing the remaining enemy forces, while the majority of the grouping fled in the direction of the settlement of Sokol. From there, the AFU are firing at our troops.

▪️The liberation of Solovyovo against the backdrop of fighting on the western outskirts of Ocheretyne creates very bleak prospects for the Ukrainian formations, as Solovyovo is located on the Ocheretyne gully, which was a natural fortification.

❗️After the completion of the clearing operation, the Russian troops may push Ocheretyne further, attacking the AFU positions from the south, as well as advance along the hedgerows and the gully towards Novopokrovske, which will also create a threat to the remnants of the enemy in Berdychi.

If the current pace is maintained, the AFU will most likely retreat from the western outskirts of the village to more advantageous positions on the line of Novopokrovske – Novosilka 1st – Umansky.

rybar

 

Donetsk direction: breakthrough at the Krasnohorivka refractory plant
situation as of 2:00 pm on April 25, 2024

🔻Along the entire line of contact in the Donetsk direction, Russian forces are successfully storming Ukrainian positions. Footage has appeared online of the Russian flag being raised in a building on the territory of the refractory plant in Krasnohorivka.

▪️This fact indicates that the Russian Armed Forces not only broke through the defense on the southern outskirts of the Donetsk suburb, but also entrenched themselves in the enemy’s most important fortified area in Krasnohorivka.

❓In addition to the fact that the plant has a large area, it is dotted with numerous buildings and hangars that can easily be used as shelter. Moreover, it is located at an altitude of about 180 meters, while most of Krasnohorivka is at 155 meters and below.

It is still impossible to say for sure whether the entire territory of the enterprise has been liberated. However, given the pace of the advance of the Russian Armed Forces, they are most likely already clearing a large part of the territory.

The liberation of the refractory plant will effectively mean the fall of the Krasnohorivka fortified area, as the northern outskirts of the settlement are private buildings, which will be too difficult to defend if the plant is lost.

rybar

“🅾️” grouping entered Solovyovo after the capture of Novobakhmutovka

▪️ With the support of artillery and aviation, the 2nd Army of the “Center” group of troops entered Solovyovo and began to storm the village into which the shattered AFU units from Novobakhmutovka had fled.

▪️ At least the outskirts are already occupied by our fighters, the enemy is retreating again and the village is beginning to move into the gray zone.

▪️ “Pokrovskoye direction: “South of Ocheretino, Russian troops have advanced west of Novobakhmutovka to a depth of up to 650 meters and are storming the village of Solovyovo,” Ukranian military analysts admit.

▪️ The AFU General Staff reports in its morning bulletin that the Russian Armed Forces conducted 27 attacks in the areas of Ocheretino, Solovyovo, Novovokalinovo, Berdychi and Netailovo in the Avdeevka direction.
 

RVvoenkor

 

With the loss of Krasnogorovka (which probably has very little time left), the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine may be faced with a difficult choice.

They can either roll back beyond Kurakhovo and try to hide behind the Kurakhovsky reservoir, or catch on to the cascade of villages Kurakhovka-Zoryanoye-Gornyak and get Berdychi-Tonenkoe 2.0.

Taking into account the fact that to the north the pressure on the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Karlovka region is growing, and even further to the north Ocheretino has already been lost, the state of affairs, if not critical, is already close to it.

MChronicles

David Axe says the 47th MB is one of the Ukrainian army’s best, because it has US equip and NATO training.

But this prowess is a blessing and a curse for the brigade’s 2,000 troopers. The Ukr command wants the 47th MB to be wherever the heaviest fighting is.

The 47th has fought for over a year and was due for rest when it was leaving Ocheretino. The 115th MB was suppose to take it’s place, but according to the the 47th’s commander, Mykola Melnyk, “certain units just fucked off.”

RU scouts and drone ops, surveilling positions once held by the 47th MB, expected to find fresh trorom the 115th in the same trenches. Instead, they found … no one.

Whatever went wrong with the 115th appears to be somewhat systemic. It’s the second Ukr unit to collapse on the eastern front in just the last few weeks. The first unit to fail was the 67th, which was defending the most vulnerable district of —Chasov Yar.
 

Officials in Kharkov have been prohibited from leaving the city, under threat of being assigned to assault groups

Quite intriguing rumors are circulating from within the Kharkov city administration.

Local authorities are making strenuous efforts to halt the evacuation of Kharkov’s population amid rumors of a potential encirclement of the city by Russian troops.

However, Terekhov’s efforts to quell the panic have been unsuccessful—people are leaving, some prompted by officials who themselves have fled to rear areas. This represents a significant setback for the city administration, which appears to be considering using civilians as human shields.

Against this backdrop, the Armed Forces of Ukraine and Igor Terekhov have reportedly declared in secret that any official leaving the city will be dismissed, immediately conscripted into the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and assigned to assault groups.

Igor Mikhailovich Reznik, the Director of the Control Department, narrowly avoided such consequences (thanks to information from his former subordinates, who ended up in the Armed Forces of Ukraine due to his actions).

If these reports are accurate, the leadership of the Kharkov city administration is facing serious challenges—they appear to be losing control over the city. Panic is spreading not only among the population but also among government officials.

Chronicles of the special military operation
for April 25, 2024

Russian forces continue to methodically strike at enemy targets. In Smila in Cherkasy Region, in Balakliia in Kharkiv Region, and in Udachne in the temporarily occupied part of the DPR, railway infrastructure was hit, and on the outskirts of Dnipro, the territory of one of the former military units, now reoccupied by the AFU, was targeted.

On the Bakhmut direction, fighting continues in the Kanal neighborhood. Due to the redeployment of reserves and mining of the area, the enemy is still holding positions on the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar. In the area of Stupky-Holubivski-2, west of Krasne, and in Klishchiivka, there are ongoing clashes.

On the Avdiivka direction, the enemy’s local defense collapse continues. The Russian Armed Forces liberated Soloviovo, and the AFU retreated further west towards the village of Sokil. By evening, the Russian Armed Forces cleared the northern outskirts of Ocheretyne, from where the enemy retreated to Arkhanhel’s'ke, where fighting is currently underway.

On the Donetsk direction, Russian troops are storming the industrial zone of Krasnohorivka, having entered the territory of the refractory plant. At the moment, fighting is taking place directly in the industrial zone, but given the number of buildings and their area, the assault is unlikely to be quick.

rybar

It’s Not Stopping! Russia Continues Ocheretyne Advances

Sloviore Has Fallen l Russia Captures 90 Percent Of Ocheretyne

RF penetrates further into Krasnohorivka and Ocheretyne [25 April 2024]

Ukrainian Brigade RUNS AWAY After Russian Surprise Attack

Ukrainian COMPLETE COLLAPSE West of Donetsk

Russian Defence Ministry’s Report on progress of the special military operation (25 April 2024)

▫️The Zapad Group of Forces’ units have captured more advantageous lines and inflicted fire defeat on manpower and hardware of 14th, 63rd mechanised, 3rd tank, 3rd assault, 77th airmobile brigades of the AFU near Stelmakhovka (LPR), Glushkovka (Kharkov region), Torskoye (DPR), and Serebryansky forestry.

The AFU lost up to 30 servicemen, two pickup trucks, three U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzers, and three U.S.-made Vampire, Grad, and HIMARS multiple-launch rocket system combat vehicles.

▫️The Yug Group of Forces’ units have improved the situation along the front line and defeated units of the 56th motorised infantry, 28th, 30th, 93rd mechanised, 79th, 92nd air assault brigades, 46th, 81st airmobile brigades of the AFU close to Belogorovka (LPR), Belaya Gora, Iliynka, Konstantinovka, and Krasnogorovka (DPR).

One counter-attack launched by an assault detachment of the AFU 80th Mechanised Brigade has been repelled near Krasnoye (DPR).

The AFU lost up to 500 servicemen, two MVs, one 155-mm Paladin self-propelled artillery system, two U.S.-made
155-mm M777 howitzers, five electronic warfare stations: Nota, Anklav, Bukovel-AD, and two ammunition depots.

▫️The Tsentr Group of Forces’ units have improved the tactical situation and inflicted fire defeat on manpower and hardware of the 59th motorised infantry, 23rd, 115th mechanised brigades of the AFU near Novgorodskoye, Arkhangelskoye, Sokol, and Karlovka (DPR).

Seven counter-attacks of the AFU 78th Separate Air Assault Regiment, 71st jaeger, 142nd infantry, 24th, and 100th mechanised brigades have been repelled close to Novobakhmutovka, Semyonovka, Ocheretino, Netaylovo, Keramik, and north-east of Novosyolovka (DPR).

The AFU lost more than 350 servicemen, three AFVs, and one MV.

In the course of counter-battery warfare, one 155-mm Paladin self-propelled artillery system, one 105-mm U.S.-made M102 howitzer, one 152-mm Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, and one 152-mm D-20 howitzer have been eliminated.

▫️The Vostok Group of Forces’ units have captured more advantageous lines and inflicted fire defeat on the units of 58th motorised infantry, 72nd mechanised brigades of the AFU, 102nd and 128th territorial defence brigades near Gulyai Pole (Zaporozhye), Ugledar, Staromayorskoye, and Urozhaynoye (DPR).

The AFU lost up to 90 servicemen, one APC, four MVs, and one UK-made 155-mm FH-70 howitzer.

▫️The Dnepr Group of Forces’ units have inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of 28th, 65th mechanised brigades of the AFU, 103rd, 121st territorial defence brigades, and the 23rd Ukrainian National Guard Brigade close to Rabotino, Malye Shcherbaki (Zaporozhye), Nikopol, Kapulovka (Dnepropetrovsk), and Mikhailovka (Kherson).
The AFU lost up to 30 servicemen, five MVs, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, and one D-30 122-mm howitzer.

▫️Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery have engaged AFU manpower and military hardware, as well as formations of mercenaries of the so-called Foreign Legion in 122 areas.

▫️Air defence facilities have shot down 200 UAVs during the day.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_25.html