The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 08 2024
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Our source in the OP said that Zelensky’s statements about the defeat of Ukraine if Congress does not allocate funding were made as a step of desperation in a critical situation at the front. Ammunition for air defense is starting, several shells for artillery are issued a day, in some sectors of the front the enemy already has an advantage of 1 to 15. It will be a disaster for the Armed Forces of Ukraine if Congress does not vote for aid to Ukraine in April.
On Sunday, Zelensky once again called on the United States to approve increased military funding for his country, warning that without it, Ukraine will lose the war. According to Fox News, this statement was addressed directly to the American Congress and Republicans, who have been unable to agree on an aid package to Ukraine since last year.
According to Zelensky, if Ukraine falls, Russia will not stop there and will begin invading other states. “It is necessary to specifically tell Congress that if it does not help Ukraine, then Ukraine will lose the war,” Zelensky said in his video message. “And if Ukraine loses the war, other states will be attacked,” he added.
The hard truth of Ze-Ukraine.
Let us only add that the mortality rate in the country as a whole has become much higher. They die en masse not only at the front, but also in the rear.
There is no medicine.
Poverty is everywhere.
The crime situation is growing.
Drug addiction at all ages is off the charts.
Alcoholism is everywhere.
Products have become of poor quality, as have medicines.
All this leads to an increase in mortality.
Although the damage is not as extensive, it is worse than the winter of 2022-23 and is now targeting permanent, irreparable damage. Some facilities will not be fully restored by next winter.
Between March 22 and March 29, the Russian Federation attacked 7 thermal power plants and 2 hydroelectric power plants . All of them were located in regions where there are not enough modern air defense systems.
“If it weren’t for warm weather, energy imports from the EU and increased electricity production from renewable sources, Ukraine would have faced large-scale blackouts, as happened in 2022-23 ,” DTEK executive director Timchenko.
“The same number of missiles that were used in the winter attack [2022-23] is now aimed at five or six energy facilities in one region… They are trying to cut off large industrial regions and cities from energy supplies , ” head of the Ukrenergo communications department Tsaturyan.
An important difference from the winter of 2022-2023 is that the Russian Federation is now using expensive high-precision ballistic missiles. One of the recent attacks on a coal power plant used ballistic missiles worth $100 million, which can only be shot down by Patriot air defense systems, – People’s Deputy Gerus.
GUR spokesman Chernyak: ” Russia has enough missiles for one or two more major attacks in the coming weeks .”
The Kremlin is doing everything to prevent Ukraine from holding a summit of world leaders according to Zelensky’s peace formula. Our source from the Office of the President said that Kuleba is in talks with the foreign ministers of the countries of the Global South for talks in Switzerland in mid-June, but the process is very difficult. We specifically segmented Zelensky’s peace formula so that each country could support a separate point and in this way the illusion of universal support would be created.
Our source in the OP said that the General Staff conducted a war simulation in conditions of a shortage of ammunition and the enemy’s predominance in aviation/artillery/equipment. This format of the conflict will become the reason for the mobilization of an additional million Ukrainians over the course of three years, under such conditions the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to hold the front line with minimal territorial losses. The General Staff is already insisting on lowering the conscription age to twenty years, since the mobilization of older Ukrainians has exhausted itself.
Our source reports that young people aged 20-24 are leaving Ukraine en masse.
The authorities lowered the mobilization age to 25 years, which provoked a large-scale outflow of the population, since Ukrainians are confident that the government and the OP will soon lower the age for mobilization and sending to the front even lower.
Nobody wants to fight for Zelensky and his “thieving” entourage.
Add to this “picture” videos and news of how the government is strengthening the border to prevent people from fleeing en masse from Ukraine, and you will realize even more clearly that the government only holds on because the people are intimidated and are under severe repression.
We STILL don’t know how long Ze-power will last, but the trend indicates that “the clock is ticking louder and louder.”
The Kremlin’s scenarios for Ukraine for 2024
According to Russian telegram channels, the Kremlin’s main bet today is to “wait out” the West. Moscow is not going to “falter first”; it expects the arrival of the right in Europe and the return of Trump to the White House. By the fall, Russia is planning a peak of military action in order to finally finish off Biden’s rating and persuade Americans to choose the isolationist Trump.
In response to this, Russian intelligence services expect a provocation from the West (primarily Great Britain) in Moldova in order to draw attention away from Russia’s successes on land and potential problems at sea. The conditional “battle for Odessa” (which will actually include other regions of Ukraine, reaching neighboring Moldova) may become the final chord in the Russian-Ukrainian war.
The Russians’ plan has not changed: to seize the southeast of Ukraine and make the rest a “buffer zone” between the Russian Federation and NATO. Unfortunately for us, the likelihood of these plans being realized is growing as support for Kyiv from Western partners declines. Electoral shifts in Europe and the USA are also not yet in our favor…
The Ukrainian Armed Forces stopped large-scale attacks north of the cattle farm near Bogdanovka and concentrated on defense. The approaches to the opornik (as well as the western part of Bogdanovka) are in a gray zone; the SRG are sent to reinforce Ukrainian troops in this area, but these actions cannot be called successful.
Most of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units in this area may soon roll back to Kalinovka, entrenching themselves (for now) on the left bank of the Seversky Donets Canal. On the right bank of the Seversky Donets Canal, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are also actively preparing fortifications and reserve ammunition supply points. These structures are probably being built in case the Russian Armed Forces advance along the northern outskirts of Chasov Yar.
Also, in the area of the Severny mine, roaming mortars of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and crews of FPV drones of the Ukrainian Armed Forces operate from time to time, but their number is gradually decreasing due to counter-battery fire from the Russian side.
Eastern flank
At the line of defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, near the Canal microdistrict, numerous arrivals of FAB-250/500 with UMPC are recorded. Those are used mainly at night and arrive for the most part at the time of the beginning of the rotation of units, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine constantly try to carry out despite the prevailing conditions.
The eastern outskirts are considered the gateway to the city, as it allows access to five city streets at the same time. Here the positions are occupied by units of the 67th Mechanized Infantry Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which has suffered particularly sensitive losses over the past few days (including among middle and junior level command personnel).
Southern flank
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to strengthen themselves along new lines in the Novy microdistrict – from Vinogradnaya Street down to Yubileynaya and Donetskaya, freshly arrived units are accumulating, hastily transferred from neighboring Alekseevo-Druzhkovka and Malotaranovka.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces are also actively digging in along the Mezhinsky street in the area of the Avangard stadium and near the Mir children’s camp, apparently fearing a flank breakthrough by the Russian Armed Forces from the south.
Despite the generally successful development of the operation for the RF Armed Forces, the resistance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine should not be underestimated.
The fighting is fierce, and there was no easy assault or escape of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the very beginning.
Military Chronicle
The assault marines have entered the village of Kalinina, also known as the Ukrainian Kalinovka. If we manage to squeeze the AFU out of there, we will significantly denude the enemy’s flank in the Canal district.
There is also an advance of paratroopers supported by Terminators in the “German forest” from Krasnoye along the highway N-32 to the west.
condottieros
- Paratroopers of the battalion named after Hero of Russia Major Victor Omelkov during aerial reconnaissance uncovered the main firing points and enemy hideouts on the outskirts of the city.
- After air strikes and artillery strikes, which suppressed the enemy’s main firepower, Ivanovo paratroopers on BMDs were able to approach enemy positions from several directions, where assault groups under the cover of armored vehicles, quickly took over the positions of the AFU, destroying the enemy with fire from all types of small arms, grenade launchers and hand-held fragmentation grenades.
- After occupying the enemy stronghold, the airborne assault groups carried out a complete sweep of it.
An enemy fire position has been eliminated in the central part of Kalinovka; we continue to identify and destroy enemy firing points in the village and its environs.
In the Chasov Yar area, crests have increased the activity of shelling with cluster munitions.
The Kiev junta is transferring reserves from the Kherson and Zaporozhye fronts and tries to counterattack and regain lost positions.
In the central part of the Kanal microdistrict, our artillery destroyed an enemy ammunition depot.
Between the Stupki Golubovskie-2 and Ivanovsky reserves, our fighters managed to advance to the Seversky Donets canal.
▪️As it was reported yesterday, a separate guards 200th brigade of the Leningrad Military District, during fierce battles, knocked out the enemy from Bogdanovka in the Artyomovsk direction.
▪️Today the Armed Forces of Ukraine are publishing footage from yesterday: Russian fighters entered the south of the village – this is the far edge closest to Chasov Yar.
▪️”Russian infantry units carry out assault operations in the southern part of Bogdanovka 48.61116, 37.88933
▪️”They attacked from the territory of the Listvenny Forest, where additional forces had previously been deployed,” Ukrainian military analysts write.
▪️ “The Russian Armed Forces occupied the southern part of the village,” write other enemy resources.
Battle for Chasiv Yar: Liberation of Bogdanovka
Situation as of 12:00, April 8, 2024.
In Bakhmut, Russian troops are advancing towards Chasiv Yar. The 98th Airborne Division has reportedly secured the southwestern outskirts of Bogdanovka.
▪️ North of the settlement, Russian forces have advanced to the farm, while from the south they have reached the Orlova tract. The enemy has withdrawn towards Kalinovka, with fighting reported near Lesnaya Street on the eastern outskirts.
Ukrainian forces are fortifying a new defensive line along the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal, previously lined with mine-explosive barriers.
▪️ Clashes are ongoing in the eastern outskirts of Chasiv Yar, particularly around Gorbatov Street in the Kanal microdistrict. Although Russian forces have engaged near School No. 77, control over the building remains unconfirmed.
The Ukrainian command plans to maintain defense in the Canal microdistrict until the completion of the defensive line at the Seversky Donets-Donbass water barrier, to the city’s west.
AFU positions in Chasiv Yar are under constant artillery fire, with airstrikes targeting multi-story buildings housing enemy observation posts and ATGM operators.
▪️ West of Krasnoye, Russian paratroopers are engaged on the outskirts of the Seversky Donets-Donbass. Assault troops are attempting to secure high ground near the Stupki-Golubovskie-2 nature reserve.
🔻Despite recent successes, intense battles lie ahead. The current Russian Armed Forces objective is to breach the Seversky Donets-Donbass canal, where the AFU is erecting a new defense line.
Success would significantly complicate the Ukrainian position, prompting the enemy command to decide whether to exploit the Battle of Yar for media gain or preserve their depleted troops for new frontiers.
rybar
In the Berdychi area we are moving towards the northwestern part of the village, the enemy is fiercely resisting. We work with drones and art.
In Semyonovka, fighting is taking place in the central part of the village, and we are delivering fire strikes at enemy positions.
We approached Novokalinovo from the southeast, less than a kilometer remained to the settlement, we are processing enemy positions before the assaults.
South-east of Umanskoye we established a foothold along a forest clearing.
We are expanding control of the territory by clearing the supports and fortifications from AFU.
- After the liberation of Orlovka and Tonenkoye, the forces of Group Center with attached units of the 1st Army Corps continue their advance in Semyonovka and Berdychy, and have also approached Umanskoye.
- Enemy military analysts have again recognized the advance of the Russian army in their daily reports over the past few days and published maps partially underestimating the advance of our troops:
- “In Berdychy, Russian troops have occupied part of Tsentralnaya Street and continue to press toward the intersection of Tsentralnaya and Kazberova Streets. Having advanced in the area up to 1.03 km wide to a depth of 350 meters,” they wrote a day ago.”
- “In Berdychy continued fighting in the direction of the western part of the village,” they wrote today.
- “The Russians have entrenched themselves along the forest belts southeast of Umanskoye in an area up to 800 meters wide by up to 780 meters deep.”
- “In Semyonovka, the Russian Armed Forces advance another 250 meters deep along Tsentralnaya Street, /confirmed by footage of AFU commander-in-chief Syrsky from the central part of the village/.”
- West of Vodyanoye, Russian forces are attacking in an effort to improve their tactical position in the gully area.
RVvoenkor
West of Avdiivka, Russian troops are engaging in offensive operations across multiple sectors from Berdychi to Pervomaisky.
▪️ In Berdychi, the enemy is applying flank pressure from Novobakhmutovka, launching counterattacks with infantry units backed by armored vehicles. Presently, the village is predominantly under Russian control. The “pocket” formed after the initial breakthrough towards populated areas between Berdychi and Orlovka has also been diminished.
▪️ Advancing from Orlovka, Russian forces have penetrated the southern outskirts of Semenovka: reports suggest they have secured at least half of the village. Concurrently, the enemy maintains the ability to reinforce their troops via landings along the O0542 highway and the northern gully.
▪️ West of Tonenke, the Russian Armed Forces have made progress towards Umansky, although they have yet to reach the settlement’s outskirts. However, without capturing Semenovka and launching an offensive from Orlovka via the S051801 highway, the initiation of hostilities for Umanskoye seems improbable.
▪️ Russian troops are also pushing forward in the Pervomaisky region. Based on footage depicting enemy positions, the Russian Armed Forces have initiated an assault north of Staroavdeevsky Pond along the Vodyanaya River and are contending for positions north of Utyatnik Pond, located less than a kilometer from the eastern periphery of Netailovo.
rybar
North-west of Verbovoy, Ukrainian fighters, under pressure from our military, abandoned their positions and retreated. Forest plantations are being cleared, one enemy stronghold has been captured, and positions along the front line have been improved. In the area of Rabotino and Verbovoy in the Orekhovsky direction, ours are striking, and we see that we are having more and more successes in counter-battery combat. Several self-propelled artillery installations, an artillery system and a mass of enemy mortars were destroyed,
- said Rogov.
He added that Russian troops repulsed an attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the direction of the village of Mirnoye and in the village of Rabotino. The enemy attacks there in small groups: from five to ten people and suffers serious losses in manpower and equipment.
Chronicles of the Special Military Operation for April 8, 2024
Russian troops once again attacked targets in the front-line and rear areas within territories controlled by the Kyiv regime. Explosions were reported in the western regions of the so-called Ukraine, as well as in Odessa, Zaporizhia, and Kharkov.
In the Bakhmut direction, the Russian Armed Forces have successfully liberated Bogdanovka and are expanding their zone of control towards Chasov Yar, where the enemy is shifting reinforcements from the Territorial Defense brigades.
Advancing in various areas along the Avdeevsky direction, Russian units are storming AFU positions in Semenovka and have occupied several forest plantations west of Tonenke.
Battles are ongoing in Pervomaisky along the Donetsk direction, and following consolidation in Vodyanoy, Russian military personnel are pushing towards Netailovo.
rybar
Battle for Chasov Yar begins. NATO weapons shortage
Russian Attritional Offensive Intensifies With Several Advances
Russia’s 24 Shahed Drones Buzz In Ukraine’s Airspace For 5th Straight Night; Damages In 5 Regions
The Most Powerful Russian Spetsnaz ‘VIKING’ Horrified Ukrainian Army┃US Tanks Are Useless In UKRAINE
RUSSIA CONFIRMS CAPTURE OF VODYANE; Netailove within reach; Russia entered Novokalynove
Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (8 April 2024)
▫️ In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on the AFU 32nd Mechanised and 95th Air Assault brigades near Sinkovka (Kharkov region) and Terny (Donetsk People’s Republic).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 25 servicemen, two armoured fighting vehicles, two motor vehicles, one 152-mm Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, three 152-mm D-20 howitzers, and one U.S.-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar station during the day.
▫️ In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Group of Forces took more advantageous lines and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the 67th and 93rd mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Kleshcheyevka and Krasnoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).
The AFU losses amounted to more than 460 servicemen, two tanks, two infantry fighting vehicles, eight motor vehicles, one U.S.-made M777 howitzer, one Polish-made 155-mm Krab self-propelled artillery system, one 152-mm Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, and two U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 counter-battery radar stations during the day.
▫️ In Avdeyevka direction, the units of the Tsentr Group of Forces have improved the situation along the front line and repelled five counter-attacks launched by assault groups of the 24th, 47th, 74th, 115th mechanised, and 68th Jaeger brigades of the AFU near Novogorodskoye, Novokalinovo, and Berdychi (Donetsk People’s Republic).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 325 servicemen, six armoured fighting vehicles, five motor vehicles, one 155-mm U.S.-made M777 howitzer, and one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system.
▫️ In South Donetsk direction, the Vostok Group of Forces improved the situation along the front line and inflicted fire damage on the 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade of the AFU and 128th Territorial Defence Brigade close to Urozhaynoye and Staromayorskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).
The enemy’s losses amounted to up to 80 servicemen, one tank, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery system, and one UK-made 155-mm FN-70 howitzer.
▫️ In Kherson direction, the Dnepr Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of the 65th Mechanised and 128th Mountain Assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Rabotino, Stepovoye, and Pavlovka (Zaporozhye region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 50 servicemen, three tanks, four motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm Paladin self-propelled artillery system and two 155-mm M119 howitzers, as well as one 122-mm D-30 howitzer.
▫️ Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have engaged AFU manpower and hardware in 117 areas during the day.
▫️ Russian air defence systems have shot down 291 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles, three French-made Hammer aerial guided bombs, and four HIMARS MLRS projectiles.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_8.html
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