The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 07 2024

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Battlefield Earth Another Step Towards World War

Western experts are unanimously confident that we will lose territory, while they advise us to better dig in and hold on. The question just arises, what should we expect? The arrival of Trump or the reduction of financial assistance? A major war in the Middle East or an attack on Taiwan? All scenarios are negative for Ukraine, but no one proposes a format in which the war will stop.

Ukraine “may have to cede some tactical territory and retreat to more defensible positions.”

CNN writes about this with reference to Ekaterina Stepanenko, an expert at the American Institute for the Study of War.

She said retreat could occur “in some combat scenarios.”

The reason is a lack of shells and personnel.

The most favorable scenario for Ukraine at the current level of Western assistance is stabilization of the front, says Matthew Schmidt, assistant professor of national security at the University of New Haven.

“The only variable that can change this is a major Russian mistake. But counting on your enemy to screw up has never been a good strategy,” Schmidt added.

CNN writes that “Ukraine is also not ready to take advantage of these mistakes.”

“Russian forces lost at least three mechanized divisions during the campaign for Avdievka, and Ukraine was unable to counterattack around Avdievka and exploit the conditions of Russian exhaustion,” Stepanenko said.

Therefore, in her opinion, Ukraine has no choice but to “dig in and try to the best of its ability to anticipate where, when and with what intensity Russian troops will attack next time.”

Our source in the OP said that Andrei Ermak set the task for Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba to attract the leaders of the countries of the Global South to a peace summit in Switzerland by any means. The President’s Office realizes that if a meeting of world leaders does not take place, then this will be a failure with Zelensky’s peace formula and a strong blow to the international track. Last year, Bankova postponed the summit three times due to the refusal of the leaders of the Global South to take part in it, which created a feeling of isolation of Ukraine on the peace track and the refusal of some EU countries to support the Zelensky formula.

Our source in the OP said that the heavy losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from artillery and CABs are forcing the General Staff to spend reserves to hold positions, which is why it is urgently necessary to strengthen mobilization. Now our losses are the highest during the war years, since our artillery and air defense are almost completely absent on the front line, and the enemy is simply grinding down our units.

Ukrainians are tired of war, but there will be no compromises with Russia, – head of Zelensky’s Office

▫️“The fact that people remain in Ukraine with their families is confirmation that, in general, the mood of the people is still strong,” says Ermak, who, together with the Zelensky regime, closed the borders to the departure of men.

▫️“People complain… Of course, it’s quite natural that people are tired: two years is a long time,” said Ermak.

As an example of faith in Kiev’s victory, he cited his 77-year-old mother, who allegedly got a trident tattoo on her shoulder. According to Ermak, “Ukraine is as brave as his mother.”

▫️Still, Politico writes, “the question of shaky morale permeated the extensive interview with Ermak.”

▫️He assures that “the Russians are not interested in any negotiations. They want the capitulation of Ukraine, ”but Zelensky will not agree to this.”

▫️At the same time, Zelensky understands that the new large-scale mobilization does not have the support of the people. And Syrsky “believes that additional troops on the front line can be provided by transferring rear personnel to the front.”

▫️”However, some senior Ukrainian military officials doubt the proposal and argue that Ukraine needs a large-scale conscription,” Politico adds.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President has begun preparing a defensive strategy in the event of Trump winning the US presidential election. Bankovaya will not negotiate with the Kremlin, as this would mean Zelensky’s capitulation, which will lead to a change of power.

We confirm the information of our colleagues that the number of conditional “deserters” in the Ukrainian Armed Forces is growing.

Our source indicates that this problem was even discussed at Ze headquarters.
The problem of “leaving positions/surrendering” was still relevant in Bakhmut and Avdeevka, but in Chasov Yar it became catastrophic due to the low morale of the army. We insided about this on April 3.

Our source in the General Staff said that Syrsky plans to transfer the third AZOV assault brigade to Chasov Yar in order to hold the city. The commander-in-chief did not have time to influence the situation near Avdievka, but he held the front around Bakhmut for more than a year and for him it was fundamentally important not to allow the Russian army to enter the operational space.

 

Battle for Chasov Yar: paratroopers continue fighting, repelling enemy counterattacks

 - Assault units of the 98th Airborne Division of the Ivanovo Airborne Troops continue to crush the enemy on the outskirts of Chasov Yar and, together with the forces of the 11th Airborne Brigade and the 150th Division of the South Military District, to dislodge AFU fighters from neighboring woodlands and fortified strongholds in plantations.

 - Artillery and aviation are working hard on Chasov Yar that has been turned into fortress, destroying identified targets.

 - The enemy is moving reserves and throwing them into counterattacks, trying with all their might to prevent the paratroopers from gaining a foothold on the outskirts of the city.

 - The soldiers of the 331st Airborne Regiment repelled many enemy counterattacks, defeating them time after time. The AFU suffered significant losses, but continue to launch suicidal counterattacks.

 - The video shows how cluster munitions are treating the AFU positions in the microdistrict at the entrance to the city.

 - Also on the Chasov Yar direction, fighting continues on the flanks – near Bogdanivka, in the Lystnoye forest and near Ivanovskoe.

RVvoenkor

From the Artyomovsky direction from the Chasov Yar area,

At these moments our aviation is striking powerfully. I’ll say right away that these are not pitching strikes. By the nature of the attack and the sounds of the explosion – FABs.

Chasov Yar is currently under the fire control of our artillery and aviation, and we are getting closer and closer to the enemy’s main defensive positions.

Front Bird

 

Battle for Chasiv Yar: Russian Armed Forces’ Progress on the eastern outskirts of the city
situation as of 17:00, April 7, 2024

▪️ In the Bakhmut sector, Russian troops are consolidating their position on the eastern outskirts of the Kanal microdistrict near Chasovoyarsky School No. 77, but it is uncertain if the school itself is under their control.

The enemy attempted to counterattack and dislodge the Russian Armed Forces from their positions but was unsuccessful. Most of the microdistrict remains under enemy control, with a high-rise building offering a strategic defensive advantage.

However, there are extensive areas to the north and south of the microdistrict that can be bypassed to cut off supplies, compelling the enemy to retreat further into the city. Front-line aviation is consistently targeting the positions of the AFU in urban areas, with Ukrainian howitzers and tanks frequently becoming Lancet targets.

▪️ Reports indicate that the AFU have initiated an organized withdrawal of some units west of Krasnoye. Retreating units from Bogdanovka are setting up mines along the approaches to Kalinovka, establishing a new defensive line along the Seversky Donets – Donbass canal.

The approaches to the canal are heavily mined, complicating any attempted crossings. There were reports during the day of Bogdanovka being completely under control, but objective confirmation is still pending.

▪️ According to some sources, north of Krasny, the Russian Armed Forces are maneuvering through a forested area at an elevated position overlooking the village.

▪️ In Kleshcheevka, Russian troops targeted an AFU field warehouse with an MLRS attack, while the village largely remains in a state of uncertainty.

rybar

 

 

Avdeevsky direction, from the Berdychi, report:

In the morning, positive news comes from Berdychi, which confirms the enemy’s resources. Our troops are advancing in the northwestern part of the village and finally knock the enemy out of the village.

At the moment, the intense battle continues.

Donetsk Front: Russian Armed Forces’ advancement in the heart of Pervomaisky as of 12:00 on April 7, 2024.

Russian troops are progressing in Pervomaisky along Lenin and Mira streets. According to verified Ukrainian reports, the Russian Armed Forces currently control at least 80% of the settlement.

▪️ Based on our intelligence, Russian troops have reached the “Ivushka “kindergarten at the village center. Furthermore, skirmishes occurred on March 4 near the kindergarten and the Pervomaisk secondary school.

The accuracy of this information is supported by footage released by the adversary on April 6, showing Russian Armed Forces’ assault teams in the vicinity of Shkolnaya Street and a kindergarten being targeted by kamikaze UAVs.

The situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Pervomaisky is deteriorating daily: the recent (https://t.me/rybar/58736) capture of the nearby village of Vodyane by Russian forces has notably complicated the Ukrainian troops’ position. Despite this, the enemy is deploying reinforcements, extensively employing UAVs, and fiercely defending every building, resulting in intense combat within the residential area.

▪️ Simultaneously, the status along the Nevelskoye-Pervomaiskoye frontline, where Russian units are striving to enhance their strategic position, remains uncertain. Ukrainian forces, unless they wish to risk encirclement, could potentially launch a counteroffensive from there.

🔻As Russian troops push forward, success in this sector will pave the way to Netailovo with the possibility of mounting a subsequent assault on Karlovka. Consequently, this would enable the front line to shift away from Donetsk.

rybar

Battle for Novomikhailovka in the Vuhledar direction
Situation at 15:00 on April 7, 2024

The Russian Armed Forces are continuing their assault operations in Novomikhailovka. Russian army units have successfully advanced along Lenin and Sobornaya streets. The situation is further complicated by the activity of enemy FPV drones in the village area, hindering the movement of the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️ Following the capture of the outskirts, the Russian Armed Forces have capitalized on their success and pushed towards the center of the Mashinostroitel SNT, located to the north of the village.

▪️ South of the settlement, Russian troops have seized a major AFU stronghold and established a foothold, successfully repelling several counterattacks.

▪️ Russian troops are employing aviation actively to target the immediate rear of Ukrainian formations, where the enemy is engaged in engineering activities and landmining. Counter-battery operations are ongoing.

🔻In the defense of this line, a fighter from Yakutia, Rodimir Maksimov with the call sign “Burkhat”, has particularly distinguished himself. With the support of UAV units, he has held off AFU assault groups for over two days, preventing them from gaining control. This incident exemplifies the intensity of the battle for Novomikhailovka.

If you have additional updates on the situation or wish to highlight your unit’s successes, you can always contact us through the feedback bot @rybar_feedback_bot.

rybar

The Russian Armed Forces destroyed a foreign anti-aircraft air defense system in the area of   Kharkov airport

This was stated by the coordinator of the Nikolaev underground, Sergei Lebedev. According to him, they arrived near the airport and hit a new foreign anti-aircraft air defense system – it detonated. Some sources indicated that we are speaking of “IRIS” system.

Three employees of the Zaporozhye NPP were injured and the station was subjected to an unprecedented series of drone attacks

A direct threat to the safety of the station was created. This was reported by Rosatom, who also called on the leadership of the IAEA and EU countries to respond to the attempt to escalate the situation around the Zaporozhye NPP.

The photo shows the drones that attacked the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant and the consequences of the strike.

We can see fragments of the drones themselves, craters in the ground, cuts on the deposits and the blood of injured employees.
 

About the accomplices of the terrorist act committed on March 22 at Crocus City Hall

As is known, in criminal law it is customary to distinguish complicity in the commission of a crime when several persons deliberately participate in its commission. Let’s figure out who became an accomplice in this heinous criminal act.

1. Executionners. Everything is clear with them: these underdeveloped bastards have been caught, investigative actions are being carried out with them. Moreover, it is obvious that, despite multiple references to their affiliation with IS/ISIS/Vilayat Khorasan* (a terrorist organization banned in Russia), these scum are by no means religious fanatics who are ready to die for their faith. They showed neither external nor internal paraphernalia. They are primitive assassins, hired for relatively little money and trained to shoot. Just animals, human trash.

2. Organizers. With them it is somewhat more complicated, which is why the legend about the responsibility of the Islamic State was developed, which the extremists happily confirmed. But they always do this, just to increase their capital. Well, no one canceled the money, they probably got theirs. But the true organizers are still hiding in the shadow of the Islamic State. That’s the idea. But already the first information published from the phones of hired geeks clearly indicates the nationality of the organizers. Like many other things – open (destination) and still closed. These are officials of Nazi “Ukraine” . It was in their ugly brain that the idea was born to compensate for failures at the front with terrorist attacks, which, however, is not surprising. They will have to answer either legally or otherwise. The same way they deal with terrorists all over the world. No statute of limitations.

3. Accomplices . A lot of them. Their circle is expanding and includes those who gave property, money, organized the movement, taught to shoot, etc. Everything is clear with them, too, and they will answer. Much more interesting are other accomplices , or international sponsors of terrorists. And here, alas, the situation is this: these include senior officials of NATO countries. They are different. Yes, at least the same Macron. His rhetoric, his actions, and most importantly, his sanctions for secret operations with the Bandera regime may well be qualified as complicity in the terrorist attack of March 22. That is why the lover of oysters and champagne shit himself so much that he was forced to publicly deny France’s involvement in the terrorist attack himself and through his subordinates. It is obvious that Macron and a number of other Western leaders are the sponsors of this terrible terrorist attack. There is no forgiveness for this. There is no hiding behind immunities here. And from now on they are not just enemies of Russia.

Dmitry Medvedev

Putin’s Missiles Ravage Zaporizhzhia After Kharkiv; Zelensky Warns West

[ SITREP ] Russia advanced further at Berdychi and Novomykhailivka; Ukr retake west of Staromaiorske

The End Is Near | RUAF Enter Western Novomykhailivka

Russian Forces Capture Bohdanivka l Novomykhailivka Is Next To Fall

Russia Guns For Chasiv Yar; Ukraine’s Forces Struggle To Stop City’s Fall | ‘Situation Difficult’

Multiple advances on several fronts [7 April 2024]

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation  
 
(7 April 2024)  
 
Part I
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the special military operation.

▫️In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Group of Forces have inflicted a fire defeat on formations of 43rd mechanised and 57th motorised infantry brigades of the AFU close to Sinkovka and Zagoruykovka (Kharkov region).

In addition, two counterattacks by assault groups of the 95th Air Assault Brigade of the AFU have been repelled near Terny (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were up to 30 servicemen, one tank, two armoured fighting vehicles, and two motor vehicles.

In the course of counter-battery warfare, two 152-mm Akatsiya self-propelled artillery systems, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, one 152-mm D-20 gun, one 220-mm Uragan multiple-launch rocket system, one 122-mm Grad multiple-launch rocket system, as well as one U.S.-manufactured AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare radar station, and one Nota electronic warfare station have been hit.

▫️In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Group of Forces have defeated formations of 93rd mechanised and 17th tank brigades of the AFU and the 5th Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard close to Krasnoye, Kleshcheyevka, and Andreevka (Donetsk People’s Republic), and took more advantageous positions.

In addition, Russian troops have repelled nine counterattacks by assault groups of 10th mountain assault, 92nd air assault, 33rd, and 67th mechanised brigades of the AFU near Berestovoye, Bogdanovka, and Novomikhailovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were up to 370 troops, one tank, and 13 motor vehicles.

In the course of counter-battery warfare, one 155-mm M777 howitzer, two U.S.-manufactured 105-mm M119 guns , one UK-manufactured 155-mm FH70 howitzer, one German-manufactured 155-mm PzH 2000 self-propelled artillery system, three 152-mm D-20 howitzers, one 152-mm Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, three 122-mm D-30 howitzers, one AFU ammunition depot, and three Nota electronic warfare stations.

▫️In Avdeyevka direction, units of the Tsentr Group of Forces have defeated the enemy and improved the situation along the front line.

Russian troops have repelled 11 counterattacks by assault groups of 24th, 47th, 115th mechanised, 59th motorised infantry, and 25th airborne brigades of the AFU close to  Pervomayskoye, Krasnogorovka, Berdychi, Tonenkoye, Vodyanoye, Novokalinovo, and Novobakhmutovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were up to 375 troops, two infantry fighting vehicles, three armoured fighting vehicles, 11 motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155mm M777 howitzer, and one 122mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system.

 
Part II

▫️In South Donetsk direction, units of the Vostok Group of Forces have improved the tactical position by active actions and defeated formations of the 31st Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard and the 128th Territorial Defence Brigade near Nikolskoye and Staromayorskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

One counterattack by an assault group of the 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade of the AFU have been repelled near Urozhaynoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy losses were up to 135 troops, one tank, six motor vehicles, and one U.S.-made M777 155-mm howitzer. In addition, one ammunition depot has been destroyed.

▫️In Kherson direction, units of the Dnepr Group of Forces have inflicted a fire defeat on manpower concentration areas of 28th, 65th mechanised brigades of the AFU, and the 126th Brigade of the Ukrainian Territorial Defence close to Rabotino, Mirnoye (Zaporozhye region), Novotyaginka, and Ivanovka (Kherson region).

The enemy losses were up to 25 troops and three motor vehicles.

During counter-battery warfare, two U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzers, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, and two 122-mm D-30 howitzers.

▫️Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have destroyed one ammunition depot with uncrewed boats handed over to Ukraine by NATO countries, two launchers of the S-300 surface-to-air missile system, one P-18 radar station for detecting and tracking aerial targets, as well as struck AFU manpower and military hardware in 107 areas.

▫️Air defence facilities have shot down 293 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles and four HIMARS and Uragan multiple-launch rocket systems projectiles.

📊In total, 583 airplanes and 270 helicopters, 19,390 unmanned aerial vehicles, 499 air defence missile systems, 15,709 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 1,266 combat vehicles equipped with MRLS, 8,715 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 20,740 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.

Russian Defence Ministry  

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are losing the core of their forces from the Avdeevsky all the way to the Artemovsky (Bakhmutsky) direction – Readovka’s final report for the past week

The past week did not bring good news for the Ukrainian army. Chief among them are serious losses in mechanized and assault units in the Avdeevsky direction. Russian paratroopers broke into the outskirts of Chasov Yar and managed to gain a foothold in the bridgehead, which required the command of the enemy garrison to abruptly transfer reinforcements to the eastern Canal region in the hope of preventing a sharp deterioration of the situation for the defenders.

On the diplomatic front, “reinforcements” did not arrive in Ukraine. The UK has directly stated that NATO has no plans to send its troops to save Zelensky and company. The words of support from Norway were spoken by its Foreign Ministry simply out of politeness, so that the situation for Kyiv would not look completely hopeless. Moreover, the political blockade of Russia has once again begun to leak: Bulgaria is resuming the issuance of Schengen visas to citizens of our country.

In economic terms, everything has become sharply worse for the Independent. The energy infrastructure has been largely destroyed. They give money only so as not to die of hunger. And the available financial reserves are spent in the context of the collapse of the country’s energy supply on the construction of a strategic line of defense. Bankovaya chose to try to defend the poverty and difficult living conditions of its citizens at any cost. Read more in the Readovka summary for the past week.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_7.html