The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 01 2024

Russian investigation moving quickly. West fears Russian offensive

‘Erase Kyiv Trace’: U.S. Trying To Distort Facts About Moscow Attack, Says Russian Intel Service

Russia Obliterating Ukrainian Army

Macron Sending Weapons, Thrown Away By France Army, To Ukraine Amid War Of Words With Putin

Macron’s ‘Troops In Ukraine’ Talk Wins NATO Nation Finland’s Backing; ‘Keep Russia Guessing’

The President’s Office failed the international track, but this will become obvious at the end of 2024, when Ukraine loses support in the West. First there was the failed NATO summit, then the Poles started blocking the border, and we lost bipartisan support in the US Senate, but all this will look like minor problems.

Elections to the European Parliament are a new threat to the existence of Ukraine

This summer, Ukraine will face a new existential threat – this time not from Russia, but from Europe, writes The Daily Telegraph. A small but powerful and vocal bloc of far-right parties is moving across the continent and is set to make a significant showing in the June elections to the European Parliament.

They have already achieved record results in Portugal and the Netherlands and are in government in countries such as Hungary, Finland and Italy. They also expect to achieve success in elections in Austria and Belgium this year. Opinion polls predict that Eurosceptic parties will win European Parliament elections in nine EU countries, and will come second or third in another nine.

Many of these parties believe that Europe should stop providing military and financial aid to Kyiv. Some even want the European Union to lift sanctions against Russia and push Ukraine towards peace talks. As The Daily Telegraph notes, on their own, parties such as the German Alternative for Germany, the Hungarian Fidesz-Hungarian Civil Union and the Austrian Freedom Party have little geopolitical weight, but together they can veto EU foreign policy decisions.

Another threat to Ukraine and its military efforts is the possible victory of Donald Trump in the US presidential election. The Republican nominee previously threatened to stop what he calls the “endless flow of American money” into Ukraine if he returns to the White House in November.

The Russian Federation is thinking about an attack on Odessa. This was stated by the speaker of the Ukrainian Volunteer Army Sergei Bratchuk.

Bratchuk noted that the Russians do not have the strength to launch such an offensive. However, he noted that we need to prepare for any actions of the enemy.

 “We need to prepare, assess our own resources and adequately respond to the risks and challenges that exist. They talk about Kiev, we also hear about Odessa all the time. ”
– noted Bratchuk.

According to him, Russians also dream that the unrecognized Transnistria will open a second front.

Our source reports that the defense fortification line of the Ukrainian Armed Forces “named after Zelensky” will not be able to stop the real offensive of the Russians.
Even without taking into account the fact that it is being built by “our own people” for money laundering.

Experts and Western intelligence services have already provided “friendly” reports to the Office of the President, which indicate that simply “mines, potholes, concrete and pits” will not be able to withstand the offensive of the Russian Armed Forces alone.
This means that a large quantity is needed:
a) artillery, infantry, ammunition
b) uninterrupted supply and closely located decentralized ammunition depots
c) a lot of air defense/missile defense/air defense systems and MANPADS
d) aviation
e) prepared and concentrated reserves nearby

And there are many more factors, but the most important thing is that all this must be prepared and placed in advance. But the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have such reserves of weapons/ammunition and human reserves.

Defending thousands of kilometers is difficult and almost impossible. The Russians can attack both in Donbass and in the North/South, etc.

The source indicates that if the Russians break through the defense line in one place, then the rest will cease to be relevant (there will be a risk of entry from the rear, or the formation of pockets). We will have to build new ones in a hurry and under fire from art and panic.
The source adds that Western intelligence services call “Russian planning bombs” (UAB/KAB) precisely those weapons that will change the course of the war and “bury” the defense line “named after Zelensky.”
Note, not UAVs, but bombs…

Our sources in the General Staff reported that the rotation of units on the front line was disrupted due to problems with mobilization. Now there are enough reserves to maintain the situation, the brigades are severely depleted, but Syrsksky, instead of withdrawing them to his place of deployment, simply staffs them on the front line.

Ukraine has not yet recovered from massive attacks on energy infrastructure facilities; their restoration throughout the country may take months, experts say.

Let us note that this was the largest attack on the Ukrainian energy system during the entire military conflict, as a result of which at least two large power plants were seriously damaged – Kharkov CHPP-5 and DneproHPP in Zaporozhye. As a result, tens of thousands of people are forced to do without electricity, and in a number of cities so-called schedules are in effect. “stabilization shutdowns”.

At the same time, the destruction of energy facilities has a very specific goal – to turn Ukraine into an additional cost burden for Europe. In addition to closing the “holes” in the Ukrainian budget, Europeans now also have to ensure the flow of electricity. At the same time, the population will be forced to pay tariffs at European prices this year.

If Ukraine loses all thermal power plants and hydroelectric power plants, it will lose the ability to normally distribute electricity from nuclear power plants.

As a result of Russian attacks on the Ukrainian energy system in March , 80% of DTEK’s thermal generating capacity, which was available before the Russian attack on the energy system on March 22, was damaged or completely destroyed .

According to DTEK executive director Dmitry Sakharuk, “5 out of 6 thermal power plants are very badly damaged, some units are almost completely destroyed, some are partially destroyed.”

Russian Armed Forces storm Novomikhailovka in the Donetsk direction

International TG channels report that the assault on the settlement is moving towards its finale. Now more than 60% of the village is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces.

Control over it will make it possible to cut off the bulge on the combat contact line, fighters from the front line admit.

“Novomikhailovka is important to us in order to cut off the route of supply of ammunition to Ugledar. This is still Konstantinovka ahead. But I think we can handle everything, we’ll do everything,” said a gunner from the airborne assault company of the 155th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Fleet with the call sign Dallas.

Shock tank fist of the Russian Armed Forces in the Avdeevsky direction.

During the battles for Orlovka and Tonenkoye, our army almost did not use armored vehicles – during the assault on villages there was infantry, and occasionally BMPs and tanks were brought in to cover assault groups.

During this time, we have accumulated enough armored vehicles in the Avdeevsky direction to use “armored fists”, more than two dozen units.

The day before yesterday we advanced towards Ukrainian positions in the Tonenkoye area and expanded control of the territory well.
They crushed a lot of Ukrainian fascists in the area, as well as their equipment.

The crests were terrified, and they tried to cover the equipment with FPV drones, fortunately, we had protection, but we still lost 5 tanks.
 

 

650 meters to Chasov Yar! Paratroopers continue to break through enemy defenses

 - Advancing from Artyomovsk (Bakhmut), the 98th Ivanovo Airborne Division is successfully advancing, smashing the AFU forces, occupying one after another enemy strongholds and approaching the important town of Chasov Yar.

 - Ukrainian military analysts are anxiously reporting defeats of the AFU and publishing maps of the Russian Armed Forces’ advance.

 - “On the Chasov Yar direction Russian troops have occupied the forest belt running from the eastern outskirts of the Lichnoye Forest to the Stupki-Golubovskie 2 wildlife preserve. Advancement in the area up to 2 kilometers wide and up to 620 meters deep.

 - The Russians continue to pull up reserves for assault actions with a wider coverage. From the town of Chasov Yar to the positions of the RF Armed Forces about 650 meters”, – write the enemy resources.

 - Fierce fighting also continues in Bogdanivka and near Ivanovskoye, with Russian troops continuing their assaults.

RVvoenkor

 

I wrote a post here a couple of hours ago about the destruction of the radar and the launcher S-300 of the AFU in the Kharkov area. Good Russian people believe in destruction, Ukrainians squeal about proofs, without which they say everything is nonsense. The video shows the very proof and excellent work of our reconnaissance and strikes complex, mercilessly and non-stop destroying the enemy on the Belgorod border and in the Kharkov region. This time, death from heaven overtook the 40V6M radar tower, the S-300 launcher, and the personnel who serviced this equipment. This will happen to all our enemies sooner or later, there is no third option.

Older than Edda

The leadership of Kharkov is deliberately putting city residents at risk by willingly not turning on the alarm

The outlines of the plan of the mayor of Kharkov Igor Terekhov and his team to create an information “bomb” with the help of city residents are slowly beginning to emerge.

Thus, in recent days in Kharkov, alarm sirens have not been turned on on purpose – notifications about a possible missile threat are transmitted exclusively through Telegram.

Look at the video: the time is 16:28, there is a missile danger in the city, a minute ago the Russian Armed Forces dealt a powerful blow to a military facility of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but there is no alarm – pensioners are calmly dancing on the site.

One gets the feeling that the leadership of Kharkov is deliberately exposing city residents to a missile attack in order to create a regulation in the style of “Bucha 2.0”. with civilian casualties.

Only Terekhov doesn’t care if innocent civilians die because of this “adventure” – the main thing for him is to create a beautiful picture for the Western media.

dillfrash

On the Readovka map there is a detailed examination of the operational situation in the Donetsk direction near Avdeevka on April 1

In the Donetsk direction near Avdeevka, the Russian army launched an offensive from the village of Tonenkoye to Umanskoye, due to the need to reduce the pressure of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the assault units of the Russian troops in the southern part of Semenovka – Ukrainian soldiers are attacking our positions from the western outskirts of this village. A successful offensive by the Russian Armed Forces on Umanskoye will jeopardize a flank attack by the military forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces entrenched on the outskirts of Semenovskoye.

The attack on Umanskoye also pursues another, not entirely obvious goal – to force the Ukrainian artillery to move away from the village as far as possible. Read more about the situation in the Donetsk direction near Avdeevka in the Readovka analytical report .

Russia Takes Control Over Ukraine’s Important Strongholds Near Chasov Yar

Russian Breakthrough Near Chasiv Yar Achieved l Battle Of Chasiv Yar Begins

Russia’s Newest Drone ‘JOKER-10′ Captured 60 Ukrainian Soldiers and Officers In AVDIIVKA Direction

Ukraine ‘repels one of Russia’s biggest tank charges since the start of the war’

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (1 April 2024)

Part I

▫️ In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Group of Forces in cooperation with Operational-Tactical Aviation engaged manpower and hardware of AFU 60th mechanised and 4th tank brigades close to Yampolovka and Terny (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 30 servicemen, two infantry fighting vehicles, four motor vehicles, and one Polish-made Krab self-propelled artillery system.

▫️ In Donetsk direction, units of the Yug Group of Forces improved the situation along the front line and defeated units of AFU 31st mechanised and 92nd assault brigades near Konstantinovka and Novodmitrovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were up to 510 servicemen, three tanks, four armoured fighting vehicles, including one U.S.-made M113 armoured personnel carrier, and 27 motor vehicles.

In the course of the counter-battery warfare, two multiple launch rocket systems, six self-propelled artillery systems, including three Polish-made Krab self-propelled artillery systems, one Msta-B howitzer, two D-30 howitzers, and one Bukovel-AD electronic warfare station were eliminated. Eleven AFU ammunition depots were also destroyed.

▫️ In Avdeyevka direction, the Tsentr Group of Forces’ units captured more favourable lines, and inflicted losses on units of AFU 47th mechanised, 59th mechanised infantry, 68th jaeger, and 25th airborne brigades close to Pervomayskoye, Berdichi, Tonenkoye, and Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

Two counterattacks launched by assault groups of the AFU 24th Mechanised Brigade were repelled near Leninskoye and Shumy (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 295 servicemen, one U.S.-made Abrams tank, five armoured fighting vehicles, and five motor vehicles.

In the course of the counter-battery warfare, one Grad MLRS combat vehicle, one Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, two D-30 howitzers, and one U.S.-made M119 gun were eliminated.

Part II

▫️ In South Donetsk direction, the Vostok Group of Forces’ units improved the tactical situation, and inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of AFU 72nd mechanised, 102nd and 108th territorial defence brigades close to Komsomolskoye, Malinovka (Zaporozhye region), and Staromayorskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were more than 120 servicemen, three tanks, two armoured fighting vehicles, and two pick-up trucks.

In addition, one Polish-made Krab self-propelled artillery system, two U.S.-made M777 howitzers, one Strela-10 anti-aircraft missile launcher, as well as one ammunition depot were destroyed.

▫️ In Kherson direction,  units of the Dnepr Group of Forces inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of AFU 35th marine, 128th territorial defence brigades near Novotyaginka (Kherson region) and Dobraya Nadiya (Dnepropetrovsk region).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 50 servicemen, five motor vehicles, two D-20 howitzers, as well as one Bukovel-AD electronic warfare station.

▫️ Operational-Tactical Aviation, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have engaged one radar guidance post, one battle command vehicle, and two S-300 anti-aircraft missile launchers.

In addition, one temporary deployment area of foreign mercenaries was hit near Kharkov region, as well as AFU manpower and hardware in 138 areas.

Russian air defence systems have shot down one Su-27 aircraft of Ukrainian Air Force close to Rayskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

228 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles, four HIMARS MLRS projectiles, and one U.S.-made JDAM aerial guided bomb have been intercepted during the day.

Special Military Operation Chronicles for April 1, 2024

Russian troops continue striking enemy targets in the border zone. A series of precise hits target the bases of AFU personnel in Lyubotin and Kharkov.

In the Lyman region, the Ukrainian command has deployed units of the 3rd Azov Brigade and the Kraken Special Forces to Borova to prevent Ukrainian formations from retreating from the bridgehead on the left bank of the Zherebets River. Similar troop movements are also observed in the Seversk sector.

In the Avdeevsky area, Russian troops are engaged in fierce battles for control of Semenovka. To the west of Orlovka and Tonenke, Russian Armed Forces units are attempting to advance towards Umanskoye, where Ukrainian formations are hastily constructing a defense line.

In the Zaporozhye sector, positional battles persist along the Kopani-Robotyne and Verbove-Novopokrovka lines. While the frontline AFU units buy time, defensive positions are being constructed in the rear around Orekhov.

In the Kherson region, Ukrainian formations maintain their positions in the village of Krynki. Over the past 24 hours, the enemy has made unsuccessful attempts to counterattack and evacuate the wounded. The AFU’s transfer of forces to the left bank is further complicated by the flooding of the Dnieper River and the shrinking of the island zone.

rybar

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april.html