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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 04 2024

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Personnel purges in the Ukrainian armed forces – Zelensky fears his army more than the Russian one

Terrorist and part-time president of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky said in his latest address that the new AFU commander-in-chief Syrskyy has “carte blanche to make personnel changes in the army, in the staffs, any kind”. The decision is presented to the public as if the replacements will be made in order to appoint the most competent officers who “feel the front” to key positions.

The wave of indignation that arose, including in Ukraine’s near-military environment, revealed the underbelly of what is going on. In reality, the AFU is cleaning out everyone who directly or indirectly spoke in favor of Valeriy Zaluzhny or was somehow connected with him beyond the service.

As it turned out, much more than “agents of Russian influence”, with whom the SBU was going to fight, Bankovaya is afraid of her own military. They see with their own eyes the state of affairs on the front and the prospects of the independent state in the continuation of the conflict with Russia. To prevent the very possibility of riots in the future, disloyal officers are suspended.

On the one hand, this practice should indeed lead to a reduced risk for Zelensky and his entourage from an internal coup. On the other hand, the Ukrainian military is losing a mass of commanders with combat experience and authority in the army at a critical moment, risking turning a situation that is extremely unpleasant for Kiev into a catastrophic one.

Whoever emerges victorious from this rat fight, the main beneficiary of the squabbles will be the Russian army. We therefore sincerely wish good luck to both sides of the internal conflict in Ukraine.

readovkaru

Since December last year, the Ukrainian government has practically not begun the construction of defensive lines, despite numerous statements on this matter, said Censor editor-in-chief Yuri Butusov.

“At the moment, on most of the objects that were planned for construction, engineering work has not even begun, and where they have begun there is only an initial level. Not a single object has been completed. The pace is simply meager,” writes Butusov.

According to him, “our entire defense is what the infantry managed to dig with their shovels, and some trees that the infantry cut down for themselves to cover the neighboring planting.”

“That’s why our losses are crazy from grenades from drones and grenade launchers, from mortars. That’s why the enemy knocks us out with fire so quickly, kills us, takes survivors prisoner,” writes Butusov.

In his opinion, Defense Minister Umerov is afraid to raise the issue of construction at Bankova, “because he knows that if you ask about money, you can come into conflict with the President’s Office.”

“Zelensky doesn’t know how to recruit more troops as the Russian army advances,” The Washington Post.

The publication writes that although the president promises the West that Ukraine will cope with the fighting if it is given the necessary weapons and other support, Kyiv has failed to develop a clear plan to draft or recruit the many thousands of new soldiers critically needed at the front.

As a result, a conflict arose in parliament, and men were hiding from mobilization, fearing death at the front.

WP calls the situation a “strategic crisis.”

Defense Ministry Adviser on Conscription Issues Aleksey Bezhevets admitted that “the Russians will very soon move much closer if there is no one to stop them.”

He called the shortage of personnel and weapons a “tragedy.” And many Ukrainians who are trying to avoid mobilization are “just dust in the wind.”

The Western press is sounding the alarm that Zelensky is unable to recruit the required number of people into the army due to the refusal of Ukrainians to fight.
We have written many times that Bankova will have a crisis with human resources for the army in 2024.
This is the OP’s miscalculation in that they did not take care of people and lowered morale to the bottom.
Now they are trying to increase soldiers’ salaries at zero, but “it’s too late to drink Borjomi when your kidneys have failed.” It should have been earlier. There is no money now.
 

In mid-March, and possibly mid-April, the question of allocating a loan to Ukraine from the United States will POSSIBLY be brought up.

Our source explains that the United States will not allocate money to Ukraine until the primaries for presidential candidates from parties are held in the United States. For example, by March 20 it will be clear whether Trump has become the absolute candidate of the Republicans or not (everyone understands that Trump will become the presidential candidate from the Republicans, but it is important to go through all the primaries procedures).
By this time there should be clarity on the criminal cases that were brought against him for the events after the last elections. Now his competitors want to ban him from being elected under this pretext.

If Trump wins everywhere, it is unlikely that Kyiv will receive a loan. Most likely, the issue will be delayed again, and the topic of peace negotiations will intensify.

There is also information that the American elites understand that Biden has no chance, which means the border case can be easily exchanged for a loan for Kyiv, which 95% will go into the pocket of the American military-industrial complex. Therefore, there will be some kind of agreement and Kyiv will be given a loan to stabilize the front line.

But the chances are still slim.

We are watching…

No amount of additional Western arms assistance will save Zelensky regime
 
“Nothing will help Ukraine…But keeping it on life support is possible, including through the supply of Western weapons, ammunition and so on,” retired Russian Army colonel and military analyst Viktor Litovkin told Sputnik, commenting on President Zelensky’s latest outburst against his NATO patrons for their supposed failure to provide Kiev with enough arms assistance.

“Last year’s counteroffensive failed for one simple reason: because, first and foremost, it was based on NATO tactics, NATO operational doctrine, and according to NATO regulations. NATO has never fought with an army of equal strength and power, and is not in a condition to overcome powerful, deeply layered defenses and large-scale minefields,” Litovkin explained.

On top of that, the observer pointed out, the Western bloc failed to provide Kiev with strike aircraft for the counteroffensive. “Without this there is no point at all in storming any defensive position. This is why Ukraine lost 160,000 of its soldiers, several tens of thousands of armored vehicles and much more,” with its army left demoralized.

“No matter how much and whom Zelensky criticizes, it was clear from the outset that it was pointless for Ukraine to fight Russia, because Russia has a powerful defense industry, a powerful military, while Ukraine plundered its defense industry and destroyed itself” after the 2014 Western-backed coup, Litovkin said.

In any event, the observer emphasized that the “Kiev regime is only an instrument of this war,” a proxy war designed to weaken and bankrupt Russia, “and for this reason is critically dependent on the West.”

geopolitics

Broken dolls of the mad ogre

I’ve reiterated numerous times the foundation of the famed “perseverance” of the Ukrainian army. Leading the charge are untrained individuals from militias and makeshift defenses. They’re guided to their posts under the cover of darkness along clandestine routes.

The crux of the matter is that these people, lacking communication systems, often find themselves unable to advance or retreat independently. That’s because the trained “elites” in the second line lie in wait, shooting them down as they approach. Their sole objective is to impede the advance of our units with their bodies, providing the trained elite “beasts” the opportunity to mount a counteroffensive and prevent our forces from securing new positions.

Once this brutal system of sacrificing its own citizens breaks down, the Ukrainian army begins to scatter.

Of all the ruthless methods of warfare, the cannibalistic Zelensky has chosen the most merciless for his army. To him, his own soldiers are nothing more than flesh-and-bone puppets, devoid of souls, thoughts, and feelings.

Now, the ongoing successful liberation operation near Donetsk reveals cracks in Zelensky’s army. In a bid to halt our advance, the Ukrainians deployed these elite “beasts” to the front lines. Yet, it turns out these supposedly elite units were not prepared to meet their demise resignedly in the trenches. Crucially, they know the escape routes, each maintaining individual communication. After just a few days of combat, they simply flee the trenches.

That’s it—the tenacity of the AFU, based on the notion of locking up meat dolls literally on the front line, begins to crumble. Just It happened the moment the cannon fodder was depleted, exhausted.

Marat Khairullin

 

MI6 has transmitted new intelligence to the Office of the President and the General Staff that the Russian army is increasing its stockpile of missiles and UAVs for a major counter-offensive, which could begin in May-June this year. British intelligence assumes that the main blow will be made on Selidovo-Pokrovsk, to create a springboard for a future operation to cut the Ukrainian front.

Russia may track SCALP and Storm Shadow shipments to Ukraine – The Times

The leak of a conversation between German officers about the supply of long-range SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles should alarm the West, the publication says.

“The UK and other NATO allies will be alarmed by the security breach, which German Chancellor Olaf Scholz described as very serious,” the authors write.

During the conversation, methods for delivering SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine were disclosed. In particular, how France sends shells on Audi Q7 SUVs, and the UK sends shells on Ridgeback armored vehicles.

The authors are confident that Russian intelligence has received a lot of valuable information and is now able to more effectively track targets at the entrance to the front line.

CNN writes about the difficult situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces after leaving Avdiivka

A series of rapid Russian offensives are challenging Ukraine’s new defense line, created after the withdrawal of troops from the key city of Avdiivka, CNN reports. The successes of the Russian army raise concerns about Kyiv’s tactics and the position of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the front line.

The Russian advance comes amid a deep ammunition crisis in the Ukrainian army, raising almost existential questions for frontline troops who are forced to ration ammunition and ask themselves how long they can withstand Russian pressure.

In another sign of a growing sense of unease, the new commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Colonel-General Alexander Syrsky, twice last week scolded his subordinate officers for poor performance on this key sector of the front.

Many Ukrainian soldiers expressed sharp pessimism to CNN about the significance of withdrawing from Avdiivka and further defensive actions.

One officer on the front line said: “We feel [Russian] superiority in personnel, artillery and armor. They are moving forward little by little. We don’t have many options here. Retreat or just wait until we… No matter how sad it may sound, until we are all killed.”

rezervsvo reports on Avdeevka direction

The enemy confirms that the situation remains extremely difficult (critical). Our fighters control the main part of the villages: Orlovka, Tonenkoye, Berdychi, Pervomaiskoye.

Today, the enemy practically no longer counterattacks; the enemy’s reserves have been exhausted. Good news from the west of Avdeevka is expected soon.

Currently, Ukrainian forces have launched another attempt at a large-scale strike on the Crimean Peninsula.

To conduct the strikes, they are using both UAVs to destroy ground targets and unmanned boats to attack ships of the Black Sea Fleet. Another objective is the Crimean Bridge.

Based on the explosions near Feodosia, it is possible that one of the targets was the patrol boat “Sergei Kotov,” which was in that area. It is unclear whether there were hits or if the explosions resulted from the destruction of the BECs.

🔻The Crimean Peninsula and the Black Sea Fleet facilities are the desired targets of Ukrainian forces. Following significant reputational losses after the defense failure near Avdiivka and the setback on Tendra Spit, such attacks will only increase in an effort to counter the negative Ukrainian information campaign.
 

rybar

Repeated explosions were heard in Odessa – a fire was reported near a military unit

After a repeated series of explosions, locals say that from the direction of the village of Dachnoye the sky is pinkish – something is burning there. There is a military unit located there, a military unit of the Marine Corps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. According to local media reports, at least two arrivals have already been recorded in this place. They are also talking about arrivals in the area of   the village of Kotovsky.

A massive strike by the Russian army against enemy military installations in the city and surrounding area continues. There has been no official comment on the arrivals yet.

In the Odessa region, residents rebelled due to a blackout of electricity and heat – the protesters could face either a summons to the military registration and enlistment office or articles because of Russian speech

In the Odessa region, utility workers cut off electricity and heating to residents of an entire area. The housing and communal services company left Chernomorsk without light and heat due to the debts of some of its inhabitants. Naturally, such open lawlessness of Ukrainian utility workers aroused the anger of the townspeople, who took to the streets to protest already at night. People have the whole night ahead, and the temperature outside is approaching zero.

The police immediately approached the people who came out – judging by the fact that the local authorities allowed such chaos, they did not come to solve the problems of the residents, but to “pacify” the dissatisfied. Moreover, even the men were forced to leave the apartments by the cold, and this is just freedom for the TsKashniks, who at any moment can come and hand the men summonses. Moreover, the rioters speak pure Russian – for this in Odessa people are sent to trial, especially if a person says something against the authorities.

Today there is a massive raid of kamikaze drones across Odessa and the region.

There have already been several flights out of town.
The air defense also fired from all guns. There were more than seven “missiles” launched (they hit those UAVs that were heading to the port).

We remind you to be careful as:
1. A downed UAV will fall to the ground anyway (and there may be someone’s house there).
2. The remains of everything that exploded in the sky falls to the ground.
3. Everything that is shot from the ground then falls to the ground.
4. Sometimes air defense missiles go astray and fall anywhere.

 

Last night, Russian aviation carried out a strike on the enemy’s permanent deployment point in the Kharkov region

The territory of the Personnel Training Center of the National Guard of Ukraine near the village of Verkhnyaya Pisarevka was hit.

At the time of the strike, about forty personnel were located at the facility.

According to available data, foreign mercenaries from the International Legion of the Main Intelligence Directorate, as well as members of the RDK and the Russian Freedom Legion, who repeatedly took part in reconnaissance and sabotage operations in border areas, were trained on the territory of the Center.

Judging by the string of ambulances that loaded up and left without sirens or flashing lights – they had nowhere to rush – our guys hit the target successfully

Russian Focus on Ivanivka / Novomyk Capture | Ukrainian Avdiivka Counter Attack | EU Elections

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Russian Hellbird Rains Bombs On Ukrainian Strongholds; Wipes Out Big Cluster Of Kyiv’s Soldiers

[ SITREP + Conclusions ] Ukraine reestablished stability (somewhat); Russian pressure continues

Russia Storms Novomykhailivka l Russian Forces Are Advancing In Novomykhailivka

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (4 March 2024)
 
▫️ In Kupyansk direction, units of the Zapad Group of Forces have improved the tactical situation and inflicted fire damage on manpower and hardware of AFU 43rd and 66th mechanised, 57th motorised infantry, and 115th territorial defence brigades near Makeyevka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Ivanovka, Chugunovka, and Sinkovka (Kharkov region).

The enemy losses in this direction amounted to up to 160 servicemen, three motor vehicles, and one Msta-B howitzer.
 
▫️ In Donetsk direction, the Yug Group of Forces defeated the units of the 28th mechanised, 46th airmobile, 79th air assault, and 214th territorial defence brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Kleshcheyevka, Kurdyumovka, Georgiyevka, and Maksimilyanovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The Armed Forces of Ukraine lost up to 360 servicemen, two armoured personnel carriers, two motor vehicles, one Grad MLRS launcher, one UK-made FH-70 howitzer, and one Msta-B gun.
 
▫️ In Avdeyevka direction, the Tsentr Group of Forces’ units took more advantageous lines and positions and inflicted fire defeat on AFU manpower and hardware of the 24th and 110th mechanised, 71st jaeger brigades and 103rd Territorial Defence Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine close to Novokalinovo, Mayorsk, Berdychi, and Rozovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The enemy lost over 490 servicemen, two tanks, including one U.S.-manufactured Abrams; four infantry fighting vehicles, including three U.S.-manufactured Bradley; three armoured fighting vehicles, and 12 motor vehicles.

In counter-battery warfare, one Akatsiya self-propelled artillery system, one Msta-B howitzer, one Gvozdika gun, and three D-30 howitzers were hit.
 
▫️ In South Donetsk direction, units of the Vostok Group of Forces inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the AFU 72nd Mechanised Brigade and 128th Territorial Defence Brigade near Urozhaynoye, Vladimirovka, and Vodyanoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

Over 320 servicemen, two infantry fighting vehicles, and seven motor vehicles were neutralised.
 
▫️ In Kherson direction, units of the Dnepr Group of Forces hit the clusters of manpower and military hardware of the 65th, 118th mechanised and 128th Mountain Assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and 15th National Guard Brigade of Ukraine close to Rabotino, Verbovoye, and Pyatikhatki (Zaporozhye region).

The enemy’s losses amounted to up to 85 servicemen, three motor vehicles, two HIMARS MLRS launchers, one U.S.-made M777 artillery system, and one Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system.
 
Operational-Tactical Aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, missile troops and artillery of the Group of Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation destroyed two UAV command posts close to Novokalinovo (Donetsk People’s Republic) and Antonovka (Kherson region), as well as manpower and military hardware in 128 areas.
 
Air defence facilities have shot down 81 unmanned aerial vehicles near Orlinskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), Chervonogorka and Samoylovka (Zaporozhye region), and Gladovka and Krynki (Kherson region).

Map of military operations and the situation on the fronts on the evening of March 4

⚔️The situation on the fronts over the past 24 hours:

⚫️Svatovo-Kremennoe direction

In the Kupyansky sector, battles for Sinkovka and Tabaevka continue. In addition, our fighters came very close to the outskirts of Ternov.

⚫️Bakhmutskoe (Artemovskoe) direction

The Russian army continues the assault on Krasny , about half of the village is behind us. Our fighters attacked northwest of Kleshcheevka and Andreevka .

⚫️Donetsk direction

Our fighters are advancing in the area of   Berdychi , Orlovka and Tonenkoye . The assault on Ukrainian Armed Forces positions in Pervomaisky and Krasnogorovka continues.

⚫️Zaporozhye direction

In the Orekhovsky sector there are battles in the Rabotino area and west of Verbovoy . On the Vremevsky ledge, fighting north of Priyutnoye and near Staromayorsky .

💡 “Storm Z” is a formation of the Russian army that has always been heard, but little was known about it to the common man. This strikingly distinguished the unit from others located on the LBS. There were only rumors and speculation, and now the project has disappeared into oblivion. And it was replaced by “Storm V” – a different structure both in form and in spirit. What’s the difference? Readovka explains .

Special Military Operation Chronicles For March 4, 2024

Russian troops continue to target AFU positions in the so-called frontline areas of Ukraine. The Russian Aerospace Forces conducted airstrikes on Yamnoye, Volchansk, and Bobilovka. Drones targeted areas with concentrated enemy personnel and equipment in Novodmitrovka, Gulyai-Polye, and Katerynivka.

Ukrainian forces inflicted damage on a railway bridge across the Chapaevka River in the Samara region using an overhead charge. Currently, its operation has been partially restored.

In the SMO zone, the Russian army continues to advance in various sectors. In the Bakhmut direction, the Russian Armed Forces are clearing controlled zones in Krasny (Ivanovsky), displacing Ukrainian troops from the southwestern outskirts of the village. Further north, assault units are attacking AFU positions in the Bogdanovka area and near the Popovsky forest.

Moving to the Donetsk direction, Russian troops have entrenched themselves on Shkolnaya Krasnohorivka Street and initiated a battle on 8th March Street. Latest reports indicate that in Georgievka, advanced units of the Russian Armed Forces have progressed to Molodezhnaya Street.

Ukrainian forces in the Zaporizhia direction have resumed counterattacks in the Robotyne area with the involvement of fresh units redeployed to the front line. Russian military personnel successfully held their positions and regained control over those previously lost.

rybar

Front #Summary for 4 Mar 2024 by 19:25⚡️

🔻#Kherson Direction:
🟡In the #Kherson Sector, our aviation is hitting the “dachas” area near #Antonovsky Bridge. Two AFU UAV control points in the #Antonovka area were hit.
🟡In the #Tyaginka Sector, they also hit positions in #Krynki and Cossack Camps.
📌 The AFU activity on the right bank has increased. They are again trying to deliver reserves to the springboards.

🔻#Zaporozhye Direction:
🟡In the #Orekhov Section, at #Rabotino, our army is attacking the AFU positions with the support of armored vehicles. One important stronghold was hit by tank crews. The AFU are actively snapping back. There are swarms of drones in the sky, and they have a lot of reserves. According to field reports, the enemy manages to hold back the advance of our army.

🔻#SouthDonetsk Direction:
🟡In the #Maryinka Sector, our forces advanced into the centre of #Novomikhaylovka from the southern outskirts. Our pressure continues from the eastern and northeastern sides. The operation to liberate #Krasnogorovka is also ongoing. The AFU counterattacks locally, but unsuccessfully. Our aviation and heavy artillery are actively working.
 ðŸ“Œ #Novomikhaylovka is of strategic importance for the AFU, its loss puts the AFU Ugledar Group at serious risk. Therefore, the enemy clings to every house, but ours are still conducting a systematic offensive.

🔻#Avdeyevka Direction:
🟡In the #Orlovka Sector, the enemy continues to restrain our offensive on the #Berdychi – #Orlovka – #Tonenkoye line. The AFU use all reserves for this, while trying to prepare new lines of defence.
📌 Numerical superiority decides a lot. If our army manages to restore it, and at several points at once, the AFU will, firstly, not have time to dig in thoroughly west of #Avdeyevka, and secondly, they will not have reserves to dispose, the forces will be needed everywhere and at once.

🔻#Bakhmut Direction:
🟡In the #ChasovYar Sector, our attacks continue in #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye), but so far the frontline has not changed. In #Bogdanovka, Ukrainian troops are resisting very stubbornly.

🔻#Svatovo Direction:
🟡In the #Seversk Sector, our army advanced to the eastern outskirts of #Belogorovka. So far, without serious success, but with the preservation of the initiative.
🟡In the #Liman Sector, there are oncoming battles at #Terny and #Yampolovka.
🟡In the #Kupyansk Sector, at #Tabayevka and #Sinkovka.

☠️ In the Samara region, in the morning, a support for a railway bridge was blown up, and two undetonated improvised explosive devices were found there. Fortunately, there were no casualties or serious damage. Ukrainian intelligence took responsibility for the sabotage.
 

olegtsarov

.1


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march_4.html


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