Trump Believes Bad Intelligence
These numbers strain credulity for at least two reasons:
- During recent casualty exchanges, the numbers have been lopsided in the other direction, with Ukraine handing over the remains of fewer than 50 Russian troops while receiving the remains of hundreds or over a thousand of their soldiers in return.
- Russia’s combat troops tend to be well-paid volunteers, while Ukraine has had to resort to grabbing men off the street to fill its military’s ranks. If Russia were really losing 14x as many men as Ukraine (as Trump’s figures suggest), one would figure military-age Russian men would be hiding from conscription squads, rather than casually walking around Moscow, enjoying a summer evening.
Lack Of Understanding Russia’s Position Explains It Too
Trump doesn’t seem to understand that Russia views the Ukraine conflict as existential, and as such, won’t deviate from its main terms: that Ukraine must be neutral, and not host NATO troops or weapons, and that it must be largely demilitarized, and that Ukraine recognize Russia’s sovereignty over Crimea and the four oblasts it annexed. So, as Professor Mearsheimer summarizes in the video clip embedded below, there’s really no deal to be made with Russia: either we agree to their terms, or the conflict gets settled on the battlefield.
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Reminds me of Trump believing and promoting Operation Warp Speed.
David DeGerolamo
Source: https://ncrenegade.com/trump-believes-bad-intelligence/
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