ES Morning Update July 3rd 2025
The market grind-ed higher yesterday, which is wonderful in my opinion as it allows a better short entry over this 3 day weekend. The BIG resistance overhead is the 6350 zone on the ES, and man ol’ man would I love to see it hit into the close day (close is at 1pm, not 4pm EST). It would take out every last bear I think and the market will be ripe for a surprise news event over the 3 day holiday so we can open up with a nice gap down.
It’s the perfect setup for a little mini-flash crash in 3-4 days to hit the FP on the SPY of 588.79, and if we drop that fast and hard all the bears will have missed it and will pile up short on the next move up.
Of course that will just be tons of fuel to squeeze them hard into the 655.66 FP on the SPY, but I don’t think it hit’s it until September 18th. However, the first move up on the market after the low (if we get it?) should come right back up to the current highs very quickly. Then we should see some up’s and down’s for a month or more to put the bears to sleep again and get the bulls fully loaded up long.
But if I’m right the expected range of say 6200-6400, which will build a huge bull flag, won’t do a massive breakout of a 1000+ point run as many will expect. It should only go up another 200 or so point until that FP on the SPY is hit. Call it 6600+ on the ES, and after it’s hit that should be all she wrote for the bulls.
Again, I’m only speculating on the September 18th date, but I have strong reasons to think that’s when the FP will be hit. Anyway, for day, root for another squeeze up to 6350 so we can get a big surprise gap down on Monday.
Have a great 4th of July weekend.
Source: http://reddragonleo.com/2025/07/03/es-morning-update-july-3rd-2025/
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