AI: crashing and burning foreseen, in plain view
Munching our popcorn (while we still have fuel to heat it up) & waiting for Trump to crash and burn …
We’ve discussed before the AI bubble, its seemingly inevitable forthcoming bursting, and the system-crashing potential it might hold. Well here’s something to give anyone pause:
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| Source: CHARTR / date from Bloomberg |
It’s pretty remarkable to me that Uber needed such a long runway – surely its only major assets are software? Tesla looks pretty outstanding value & commercial discipline[1] by comparison – and Musk was shooting for the moon, with serious hardware involved, as well as software.
But why am I gazing at the foothills? Because then we step back and look at the mammoth on the mountain, and – wow! What type of revenues do they “forecast” – and persuade investors of – to make that even vaguely sane? And OpenAI isn’t alone out there. What kind of economy can afford their products on the necessary scale?
Sometimes you have to look at something – a bullion price spike, a US president – and just tell yourself the obvious conclusion is the correct one. That Is Insane.
And the US economy[2] has been wagered on this? Hello China – the rest of the century belongs to you.
ND
PS: for something more edifying on AI, try this:
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[1] One would need to interrogate that tapering-off of the black bars: was it Tesla that bought X? Had greenie car buyers lost faith in Musk even before 2025 and his rogue DOGE behaviour?
[2] And I’m the one that has said, many times: in the long run, never bet against the US economy …
Source: http://www.cityunslicker.co.uk/2026/04/ai-crashing-and-burning-foreseen-in.html
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