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By-election BS: open thread

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The ‘first draft of history’ on this one is quite difficult to essay: the number of variables in play has been quite remarkable, and continues in the same manner.  4-D chess?  Try 5 or 6.  The consequences for Labour, in particular, are complex and highly contingent on many things.  (Could have been even more amusing if Your Party had been at the races – and in future it might just be.)

But we’ll all have some early thoughts.  Here are a couple of mine:

  • WTF was Reform doing, fielding a prize prat like Goodwin?  Just about the worst candidate imaginable for fighting a working-class / Muslim seat.  And Farage a man with his finger on the pulse?  I have heard only two ‘excuses’: (1) this was always a big stretch for Reform – something like no. 440 on their list of potential targets, IIRC;  (2) “Farage wanted to slap down a potential leadership rival” (yes, I’ve seen that surmised on the airwaves – but possibly a hypothesis born of the same bewilderment as my own).
  • Obviously this is a Big Test for them / him, but right now I’d say Team Starmer is determined to tough it out.  (No guarantee of success, of course.)
  • Polanski will now be striving to get his lovable piss-artist act together properly – which may in turn piss off some of his “support” as he seeks to ditch the “our policy is dictated by Conference and the leadership is only allowed to parrot it” doctrine of the Greens: which can’t possibly survive if he’s to capitalise on this.

I could go on … but I said I wouldn’t – so over to t’readership.

ND


Source: http://www.cityunslicker.co.uk/2026/02/by-election-bs-open-thread.html



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