This Fourth Turning's Market Crash Risks Are 'Exceptional' - Neil Howe
In this 6 January 2025 published video, host Adam Taggart talks with Neil Howe who has long predicted that widespread systemic change would occur during the 20-teens and 20-20s — as America and much of the rest of the world experience a replacement of the old order and the birthpangs of a new one.
All of us who have lived through this period and especially the year 2025 that just ended probably find it hard to argue that massive change — culturally, politically, geo-strategically and economically — is indeed now afoot.
So how much more of this change still lies ahead? How disruptive will it likely be? And what kind of new system does it look like we’ll have on the other side?
For perspective, we have the privilege of welcoming back to the program demographer Neil Howe, co-author of the seminal book “The Fourth Turning” and its sequel “The Fourth Turning Is Here”.
https://youtu.be/l86zUCh5FOgeeting
- 0:00- Neil’s New Year Greeting
- 4:28 – Summary of Howe’s Predictions
- 6:51 – Shift in Perspective on Predictions
- 8:12 – The Role of Conflict
- 9:30 – Themes of Internal and Geopolitical Conflict
- 12:01 – Financial Market Concerns
- 15:39 – Inflation as a Tool
- 20:01 – Timing Financial Crashes
- 24:06 – Investor Sentimentality During Market Cycles
- 30:40 – Societal Response During Crisis
- 32:23 – The Dynamics of Housing Prices
- 34:56 – Trust in Institutions
- 39:26 – Neil’s New ETF
- 41:19 – The Democratic Nature of the ETF
- 45:10 – Mental Health and Community
- 50:11 – Preparing for Future Crises
- 55:29 – Political Polarization
- 1:01:22 – Historical Perspective on Authority
- 1:09:06 – External and Internal Conflict
- 1:13:56 – Societal Responsibilities During Transformation
- 1:19:20 – Shifting Dynamics in Global Influence
- 1:34:07 – Parting Thoughts from Neil Howe
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