La France sous pression
- Market Impact: French 10-year bond yield spreads hit their highest since 2012, reflecting investor concerns about political instability.
- Budget Controversy: The €60bn budget proposal includes significant austerity measures, risking parliamentary backlash.
- Political Stakes: Far-right leader Marine Le Pen’s party could trigger a no-confidence vote, threatening government collapse.
- Debt Concerns: France’s budget deficit exceeds 6% of GDP, far above the EU’s 3% target.
- EU Oversight: France is under an EU “excessive deficit” procedure, pressuring it to reduce deficits within five years.
French financial markets are under pressure as Prime Minister Michel Barnier faces a political and fiscal crisis. His proposed €60bn budget, featuring spending cuts and tax hikes, has been met with fierce opposition, risking a no-confidence vote that could topple his government. Investor concerns have pushed 10-year French bond yields above 3%, nearing levels seen in Greece, signaling heightened debt sustainability fears. The budget deficit, projected at over 6% of GDP, has drawn scrutiny from Brussels, placing France under “excessive deficit” monitoring. Political uncertainty compounds economic challenges, with the government struggling to reassure markets.
Source: FT
Source: https://global-macro-monitor.com/2024/11/27/la-france-sous-pression/
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