Timing A Correction/Crash Model #Stocks #Commodities #Dollar #Bitcoin #Gold
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| TAC Model |
Short-term price fluctuations do not influence long-term trends, cycles, and profitability. The majority, guided by price trends and emotions, concentrate on short-term trading noise rather than cyclical trends of price, time, and energy. This focus creates confusion, frustration, missed chances, and typically leaves them holding the bag during trend shifts. Investors can sidestep this pattern by embracing the Evolution of the Trade and aligning with the minority.
The Timing A Correction/Crash Model defines the backdrop for stocks and risk-on/(off) assets through allocation percentages. It is defined in the trends Tab of The Matrix for subscribers.
Subscriber Comments
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The study of risk, what we refer to as cracks in the economic facade, typically eludes the majority. The majority, a complacent group that believes nothing matters until it matters, typically surfs high-risk trends. This mindset inevitably leads to panic selling when the invisible hand proves prevailing assumptions, like Fed policy will always save the markets, false.
The key to surviving and thriving is not necessarily defining the assumptions, but rather following the invisible hand. We use the Timing A Correction/Crash Model (TAC Model) to quantify the risks into a balance of percentages between crash/correction and stability (Trends Tab Line 137 in the PREV Matrix). The spread between the percentages help us time when false assumptions break. The higher spread between the correction/crash (C/C) and stability percentages, the greater the risk to the trend. C/C percentages of 70% and higher are extremely unstable.
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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.
Source: http://www.edegrootinsights.com/2024/08/timing-correctioncrash-model-stocks.html
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