The day Joe Biden lost the November 2024 election

Admirably, President Bident wishes to narrow the income/wealth/power Gap between the rich and the rest of us. I agree with this sentiment because the current Gap, very simply, is bad economics and bad for humanity.

Wide Gaps negatively affect health and longevity, education, housing, law and crime, war, leadership, ownership, bigotry, supply and demand, GDP, international relations, scientific advancement, the environment, human motivation and well-being, freedom, and virtually every other issue in economics and the human condition.

To narrow the Gaps, Biden proposes changes to federal law.  In broad strokes, he has just three options:

1. Increase taxes on the rich (“rich” by any arbitrary measure).
2. Reduce taxes on those who are not rich.
3. Provide supplementary income and benefits to those who are not rich.

All three would narrow the Gap, though in different ways. From the standpoint of the U.S. economy, as measured by Gross Domestic Product, #1 would have a dramatically different effect than #2 and #3.

Increasing taxes on the rich (if the rich actually paid those increased tax levels) would take dollars out of the economy. #2 and #3 would add dollars to the economy). In short, #1 is recessive, and #s 2 and 3, would grow the economy.

This is demonstrated by the formula:

GDP = Federal Spending + Nonfederal Spending – Net Imports.

If the rich paid more taxes (#1), Nonfederal Spending would decline. The amount of the decline would be determined by various factors, most having to do with how much the rich actually pay.

History indicates that payment would be less than anticipated because of existing loopholes and/or new loopholes the rich would bribe Congress to enact.

Considering that the top tax rate in the 1950s was 90%, the rich did not pay much more in that period than they do now. And some of the richest among us pay little if anything.

For example, Donald Trump paid no income taxes at all, during ten of the fifteen years, 2000-2015, despite being a billionaire. Tax laws, favorable to the rich, gave him the ability to claim losses on investments that an ordinary taxpayer may not look at as “losing” money.

In summary, using federal taxation of the rich to narrow the Gap is bad economics. History shows the rich would find ways to avoid paying higher rates.

But, even if the rich were forced to pay more, the higher rates would take dollars out of the economy and recess the economy. Option #1 is a “heads-you-lose (the rich don’t pay more), tails-you-lose” (GDP falls) plan.

Sadly, that is the plan Biden seems to have chosen, and it will cost him the November election.

The electorate may be ignorant about economics, but the rich would make sure the voters understood that raising taxes — anyone’s taxes — would hurt the economy.

It’s simple math. The more the federal government takes out of the economy, the less the economy (GDP) has.

Reducing federal taxes and/or providing supplementary benefits to those who are not rich, (#2 and #3) are the sole economically sensible ways to narrow the income/wealth/power Gap.

Sadly this sensible approach is blocked by the non-sensible belief that federal deficit spending is “unsustainable.”

That’s associated with the equally wrong belief that “excessive” federal spending or an “overheated” economy cause inflation. The fact: Inflation is not caused by “heat” (whatever that is) or by federal spending.

All inflations are caused by shortages of critical goods and services, most often oil and food. Inflation can be cured by additional federal spending to acquire and distribute the scarce goods and services.

Here is what the right-leaning Tax Foundation thinks:Details and Analysis of President Biden’s Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Proposal

March 22, 2024, By: Garrett Watson, Erica York, William McBride, Alex Muresianu, Huaquin Li, Alex Durante

11-Year Revenue (Trillions)	Long-run GDP	Long-Run Wages	Long-Run FTE Jobs
+$2.2T	-2.2%	-1.6%	-788k

In plain English, the government would remove from the economy, an additional $2,2 Trillion. This would cause GDP to fall by 2.2%, wages to fall by 1.6%, and Full-Time Equivalent Jobs to shrink by 788 thousand.

Because the Tax Foundation has a right-wing agenda, one may doubt the specifics of their calculations, but I believe they are on the right track. When the federal government collects more taxes, the economy loses money.

When the economy loses money, the GDP, wages, and jobs all shrink. It’s straightforward math.

The tax changes Biden proposes fall under three main categories: additional taxes on high earners, higher taxes on U.S. businesses—including increasing taxes that Biden enacted with the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)—and more tax credits for a variety of taxpayers and activities.

The combination of policies would move the tax code further away from simplicity, transparency, and neutrality while making the U.S. economy less competitive.

The increase in the corporate tax rate and the additional taxes on top earners would result in U.S. top marginal tax rates on income that are among the highest in the developed world.

I urge you to read the entire Details and Analysis of President Biden’s Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Proposal as this post offers you the barest outline.

Everything Biden may propose is based on two false assumptions:

1. The federal government is running short of money while the private sector has too much money.
2. The middle- and lower-income taxpayers will not understand that taking dollars from the economy is recessive, and instead will happily vote for a “soak-the-rich” administration.

The ignorance and cynicism of these beliefs cannot be overstated. Biden seems to believe that taking the populist approach will gain him votes.

But, it is such government deceit that keeps you from:

1. The end of the FICA tax deduction from your salary
2. Comprehensive, no deductible Medicare for every adult and child.
3. Social Security benefits for everyone of all ages
4. Food cost aid
5. Free college for those who want it
6. Free public transportation
7. Housing aid
8. And a myriad of other benefits our Monetarily Sovereign government easily could afford, while preventing recessions and inflations.

Biden could beat Trump in a “truth vs. lies” competition, but he will not be able to out-lie Trump.

If he tries, he will lose.

Narrowing the Gap is good economics, but doing it by taxing businesses and the rich is a lie.

It may be a good time to repeat a few facts:

•Those, who do not understand the differences between Monetary Sovereignty and monetary non-sovereignty, do not understand economics.
•Any monetarily NON-sovereign government — be it city, county, state or nation — that runs an ongoing trade deficit, eventually will run out of money.
•The more federal budgets are cut and taxes increased, the weaker an economy becomes.
•Liberals think the purpose of government is to protect the poor and powerless from the rich and powerful. Conservatives think the purpose of government is to protect the rich and powerful from the poor and powerless.
•The single most important problem in economics is the Gap between rich and poor.
•Austerity is the government’s method for widening the Gap between rich and poor.
•Until the lower 99% understand the need for federal deficits, the upper 1% will continue to rule.
•Everything in economics devolves into motive, and the motive is the Gap between the rich and the rest.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Monetary Sovereignty

Twitter: @rodgermitchell Search #monetarysovereignty
Facebook: Rodger Malcolm Mitchell; MUCK RACK: https://muckrack.com/rodger-malcolm-mitchell

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The Sole Purpose of Government Is to Improve and Protect the Lives of the People.

MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY