May 27, 2019 - Intermediate-Term Weather Report - Calmer Weather
Written by Sig Silber
After the next few days, we expect a calmer more seasonal pattern to prevail. It will be less amplified so the ability to accurately predict the timing of things will be somewhat reduced. The question of whether or not there is a Kelvin Wave #4 of any consequence remains. We should know more in a week. Generally, the satellite imagery lags a bit and the Westerly Wind Burst (WWB) was a recent event and may not be over so it takes a while to quantify the impacts. This is important as it looks like the NOAA ENSO forecast is coming into agreement with the JAMSTEC forecast and another Kelvin Wave could change that for next Winter. So we are paying close attention to that.
Source: http://econintersect.com/pages/weather/weather.php?post=201905282830
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