Causal Basis of Global Synchronous Failures; Convincing Climate Deniers of Reality
Synchronous Failure: the Emerging Causal Architecture of Global Crisis. Demographic pressure, climate change, resource scarcities, and financial instability are working together in intricate ways which increase global systemic risk which can cause a “perfect storm” of simultaneous crises. The coming together of these crises is manifestation of an underlying causal pattern that is becoming more prevalent. Humankind must develop the ability to proactively navigate away from this new kind of crisis that could otherwise irreversibly degrade the biophysical and economic basis for human prosperity. Because humanity is ill-equipped to do this, we conclude, therefore, with recommendations for further research on both emerging patterns of global crisis and on pathways for rapid institutional evolution that could substantially reduce the risk of synchronous failure.
Effectively Convincing Climate Deniers Of Climate Change Reality. Climate Change is happening, global warming is real, our planet is changing irrevocably, and it is almost entirely our fault. This is not an opinion or a provocation; this is scientific fact, agreed upon by approximately 97 % of climate scientists. Yet, only 44% of Americans said they thought global warming is both happening and human caused. Members of the general public were more likely to correctly estimate scientific agreement when presented with quantitative rather than qualitative statements, for example “97% of climate scientists have concluded that human-caused climate change is happening” was found to be more effective than “An overwhelming majority of climate scientists have concluded that human-caused climate change is happening”.
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